I wonder what the time frame was on this, because that is well below the last 3 months average.
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
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I wonder what the time frame was on this, because that is well below the last 3 months average.
For the 529 I'm going to keep steadily funding it for my 2 past $100K. I've been doing $10K per child per year. T2K did mention principal so he may have crushed it on returns so his balance is well above $100k. But I'm thinking $80,000 x 4 years = $320,000 needed by entry to college. Rather overfund it than not have it. And, to be clear, I don't relish the thought of paying that type of money to an expensive private school unless the chosen academic major makes sense. And RU offers great value which would allow the 529 to fund grad school.
I think most people expect $100,000 invested over 18 to 22 years will get them close to $300,000
Ukraine says?
So far the articles I read point to "Ukrainian sources" or no sources
Europe has cooled on Zel and fewer Americans buying the con - Zel needs more smoke for US butts
US weapons for Ukraine showing-up all over the world
The hyped "offensive victory" was a con - Ukraine attacked empty space
Zel meeting with defense contractors this month and he's trying to look viable still (even Ukraine not happy with him and his mafia).
Col. Doug Macgregor has been on this con from the start.
Monday, September 12, 2022
Update on the last 72-96 hours in Ukraine:
1) Russians inflicted huge casualties on the Ukrainians that advanced to Izium.
2) Russians took very, very few casualties.
3) Ukrainians advanced through empty space. They did not force the Russians out. They simply moved in after the Russians withdrew.
4) Ukrainian forces are now out of the cities and forests and must fight in the open. This the fight the Russians prefer.
Russian Counterstroke will occur soon. The stage is set. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians are attacking Krasny-Lyman, but the Russians were present in strength and the Ukrainians in a single day of combat lost 300 KIA and over 1000 WIA.
There are over 2000 AFU wounded from the failed Kherson offensive. The hospitals are overwhelmed. Locals are lined for blocks up to give blood.
Several AFU units are refusing to return to front lines. Perhaps the AFU will collapse at the rank and file level to end the insanity.
Posted by Dougals A. Macgregor, Ph.D. at 11:36 AM
Yes. Unfortunately. But if the fed funds rate stays elevated through much of 2023 like some believe it will…
Inflation is crashing. Two possible scenarios:
1. Fed gets smart and starts to react to real metrics instead of lagging garbage (and stops raising rates)
2. Fed stays dumb and crashes the economy by mistake (and has to start cutting rates).
Either option should play out by Q1-23.
Stanley Druckenmiller talking about equities being flat for the next ten years…
The US$ is back trading at it's highs and the British Pound just hit lows not seen since 1985.
We are in a full blown global currency war, luckily the US is in much better shape than the rest of the world. I think we are going to start to see sovereign debt defaults sooner than later.
We are in a full blown global currency war, luckily the US is in much better shape than the rest of the world. I think we are going to start to see sovereign debt defaults sooner than later.
There are stagflation funds…saw one with exposure to oil, gold and TIPS bonds and US Real Estate. I’ll beat that fund with US treasury I bonds for the next couple years. Sobering prospects if you’re a young investor.
Interesting thoughts on ADBE (via CNBC investing club team):
Adobe (ADBE) shares down again premarket after sinking 16% on Thursday on $20 billion deal to buy Figma, a cloud-based software designer. CNBC's tech team says Silicon Valley loves the move, but clearly Wall Street does not. Downgrades and price targets or both from the likes of Baird, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler to name a few. Along with announcing the acquisition Thursday, Adobe beat on quarter earnings and matched on revenue; but warned on next quarter revenue. Figma brings a lot of dilution.
So tech experts love the move. Long-term gain after some short-term pain?
Adobe (ADBE) shares down again premarket after sinking 16% on Thursday on $20 billion deal to buy Figma, a cloud-based software designer. CNBC's tech team says Silicon Valley loves the move, but clearly Wall Street does not. Downgrades and price targets or both from the likes of Baird, Morgan Stanley, and Piper Sandler to name a few. Along with announcing the acquisition Thursday, Adobe beat on quarter earnings and matched on revenue; but warned on next quarter revenue. Figma brings a lot of dilution.
So tech experts love the move. Long-term gain after some short-term pain?
That would change a lot of people plans especially the 50-60’s planning to retire.
Stagflation. LOL! This is the greatest time to be a young investor. Amazing buying opportunities everywhere. Just need patience and perspective.
I decided to take my $70 loss and sold 10 shares this morning and kept 5 shares. The readjustment in the market is finally here and will bring everything down a notch.
Cramer mentioned he purchased 2 year treasuries Yesterday. Normally buys S&P every month but stopped for now.
Yeah, like me… I found a savings offering 2.6%. Probably just a teaser rate that won’t go up but I’m all ears at this point and will look into it. UFB is the bank name.
Gotta stick to the plan and keep buying, especially with inflation crashing. If the economy truly turns south, the Fed will just cut back to zero and start the QE again. That's the new playbook.
Will buy but still too early but have been buying the 3, 6, 9 mths and 2 year treasuries at 3% and higher. Waiting for the 4+ % 2 and 5 years. The market recovery won’t be fast and the treasuries will mature in time to invest in the market.
That could be the playbook but the FED will be out of options at that point to stimulate the economy
Lots of people thought the same thing in March 2020. Be careful. Going back further, the Volker bear market was completely eliminated in under 4 months.
What else is needed to stimulate the economy? I guess Congress can provide stimuli again, but that's not on the Fed.
I can see the Fed jumping to 1% then going .5 and sitting back given the time lag. My view is changing on how aggressive they will be given housing and global economic indicators. The real issue is the gov't and the green move as that is really fking things up globally
You can get a one year treasury that pays over 4% right now. I believe that parking some, obviously not all your money, for period of time into bonds is not a bad idea. No state income tax and if rates drop, you can sell the bonds for a gain. We are starting to see corporate profits decline and it will be difficult for for companies to sustain their dividend rate.
I bonds are 9.62% and compound semi-annually. Limit is 10K in purchases per year for most people.
Should be .5% and wait. Inflation is coming down hard. They need to be smarter than relying on a garbage metric that lags 6-12 months (CPI).
That limit is a killer. Total BS.
mkt has priced in 1.75 to date, mkt is now behind the fed rate expectations which is good
Seems like throwing a bone to the middle class is it’s purpose…which is better than nothing. Good advertising to get people on TreasuryDirect too.