OT: Stock and Investment Thread

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,600
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FYI - I read a few negative analyses of the RIVN earnings report. The burn rate is still way too high at $1.5B or so. Cash on hand is $9.3B and the money only gets them to late 2025. More raising?

I have stock and LEAP calls. Wonder if I should get rid of the calls for now?
Ya it had a run, but it has not been a good time in the market for companies that lose money.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,600
9,127
113
Pretty much. I wonder what will happen to the stock once all the BTC spot ETFs hit? I guess MicroStrategy is more like a leveraged play.
I imagine the BTC on the balance sheet would dictate the stock price, at least to some extent.

Could be a moment where it becomes a buy if a lot of money flows out of it to go to the ETF's. Kind of like how GBTC was trading at such a discount.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
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A little sad you didn’t buy the coin that’s up 5x this year with 5 more to go to ATH?
I looked at GSOL, but its volume is so low that the movements are crazy and who knows if you can sell when/if you wanted to. I made the decision to stick with Fidelity, no COIN or other exchanges. In that context, I never had the option for a SOL play. Hopefully Fidelity will expand its roster soon. It is what it is!
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,600
9,127
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CSCO seems like a pretty safe bet.

17xPE, little bit of growth, always beats(by a little), 3% div.

Been trading in a range since 2019. It's been dabbling in some growth area's, if it can gain traction there could it look to break out? Some nice upside if so.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
113
CSCO seems like a pretty safe bet.

17xPE, little bit of growth, always beats(by a little), 3% div.

Been trading in a range since 2019. It's been dabbling in some growth area's, if it can gain traction there could it look to break out? Some nice upside if so.
Sounds like ORCL has a partnership going on with MSFT on cloud/AI bandwidth. ORCL is part of Tom Lee’s stock list.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,600
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INDI reported in line including guidance. Up 8%, which is fairly modest given the downward trend it has been on.

100% rev growth yoy. 50+% expected next year as well as reaching profitability.

Hanging in there but it's been rough.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
113
INDI reported in line including guidance. Up 8%, which is fairly modest given the downward trend it has been on.

100% rev growth yoy. 50+% expected next year as well as reaching profitability.

Hanging in there but it's been rough.
Now it sounds like a good time to buy! :)
Got it on my watch list. Looking for entry points with INDI and WOLF.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
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@jtung230 (and anyone else!)
I think you have experience with individual bonds. I have been learning about them and have a handle on the basics. Question, are BBB bonds very popular? I see that the historic default rate is only 1%'ish, but the return is so much better than higher rated bonds. I am missing something here?
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
18,970
12,164
82
@jtung230 (and anyone else!)
I think you have experience with individual bonds. I have been learning about them and have a handle on the basics. Question, are BBB bonds very popular? I see that the historic default rate is only 1%'ish, but the return is so much better than higher rated bonds. I am missing something here?
Define popular? Certainly not among retail investors.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
113
Define popular? Certainly not among retail investors.
I guess my question is, why buy A or AA corporate bonds vs BBB when you get 2%+ better annual returns (based on Fidelity) and a default rate only marginally higher?
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
18,970
12,164
82
I guess my question is, why buy A or AA corporate bonds vs BBB when you get 2%+ better annual returns (based on Fidelity) and a default rate only marginally higher?
BBB is technically investment grade. Unlikely to go straight to default. But more likely to be downgraded first and then default. A lot of companies lost their investment grade rating but are not defaulting
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
113
BBB is technically investment grade. Unlikely to go straight to default. But more likely to be downgraded first and then default. A lot of companies lost their investment grade rating but are not defaulting
Got it. So the default rate isn't the entire story. Companies may be downgraded first and default at a lower rating.

Interestingly, I see a lot of big names like Wells Fargo and JP Morgan in the B range.....BBB+ or Baa. Bunch of large utility companies as well.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
18,970
12,164
82
Got it. So the default rate isn't the entire story. Companies may be downgraded first and default at a lower rating.

Interestingly, I see a lot of big names like Wells Fargo and JP Morgan in the B range.....BBB+ or Baa. Bunch of large utility companies as well.
Yes, because those companies issue a lot of debt.
 
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Knight Owl

All-Conference
Jul 27, 2001
3,536
2,580
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MSFT showing impressive momentum. Next stop may be $400/sh as FOMO has kicked in. The AI exuberance has a ways to go…saw today that a voice-activated AI lapel pin is going to be a thing.🤔🤷‍♂️
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,867
18,863
113
MSFT showing impressive momentum. Next stop may be $400/sh as FOMO has kicked in. The AI exuberance has a ways to go…saw today that a voice-activated AI lapel pin is going to be a thing.🤔🤷‍♂️
Getting close, may dethrone AAPL as the largest company by market cap.