So far so good with DIS! Morningstar sets its fair market value at $145.
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
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Any way to see his list or his picks? I remember someone I thought posted a clip on here of his monthly picks or something like that. I like they way he breaks down the market. He's a good follow on X
I've found that Amazon's prices aren't that great. But it's just super convenient. They have almost everything, all my info is in their ready to go, and they get it there the next day.
I've actually never been in a Walmart. None close to me, and just not that interested.
I do go to Target a bit, some good prices on groceries.
Looking at TOST.
Sold off after earnings. Down around $14.
Came public originally at about $60 in late 2021, sold off all the way down to about $12 in spring/summer 2022 before getting back into the $20's again.
So this could be a good support level. Currently trading at 2x price to rev's. Expected to grow rev's at 20% annually over the next couple years. Not yet profitable but it is cash flow positive as of the past couple quarters.
Morgan Stanley lowered it's price target from $28 to $22, but still over weight. They said this after earnings.
"Results fell short of expectations, mgt acknowledged weaker GPV per location & guided SaaS ARPU growth lower vs. prior. These factors likely pressure shares on T+1, underpricing the 40%+ gross profit CAGR thru CY25 in our de-risked model. As the story evolves, leading secular position remains. OW"
A Josh Brown holding.
Sold off after earnings. Down around $14.
Came public originally at about $60 in late 2021, sold off all the way down to about $12 in spring/summer 2022 before getting back into the $20's again.
So this could be a good support level. Currently trading at 2x price to rev's. Expected to grow rev's at 20% annually over the next couple years. Not yet profitable but it is cash flow positive as of the past couple quarters.
Morgan Stanley lowered it's price target from $28 to $22, but still over weight. They said this after earnings.
"Results fell short of expectations, mgt acknowledged weaker GPV per location & guided SaaS ARPU growth lower vs. prior. These factors likely pressure shares on T+1, underpricing the 40%+ gross profit CAGR thru CY25 in our de-risked model. As the story evolves, leading secular position remains. OW"
A Josh Brown holding.
That's a pretty darn good idea. I really think COIN's business is going to tank once ETFs are out. When is their next earnings report?
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Not crazy expensive at the moment at 8x rev's(not cheap either) but rev's are expected to decline and profitability is nowhere in sight.
Some pretty rich premiums though for even way out of the money options.
Looking at Jan 2025 $50 strike. Premium is about $6.50. Going out to Jan 2026 $50 strike the cost is $11.45.
Now, if you think COIN will retest all-time lows of $30'ish, premiums drop quite a bit.
By the way, on the flip side, how about CVX as a bullish play? Just hit a 52-week low. I bet OPEC will cut production again their next meeting. They seem determined to hold the $80 level. Call option?
This could be a good long-term speculative play. I used the technology at a small restaurant chain and it was super easy and convenient to use. If the company can get some large chains on board, while making further inroads with smaller independents, they should be successful. Borrowing costs should be getting lower over the next few years. I also like the ability to use weekly options.
I have way too much oil exposure already. Need to shed some actually
Please let us know when you sell. I may pick up some CVX then.
However, if we are keeping score, I totally missed on CSPR. Could have bought at $40'ish. D'OH! Got some BLUE at well into the 2's. My main biotech play remains CLRB. They announced the release of their data at the big JPM conference in early January. Folks normally don't "announce" an announcement without knowing the data is positive.
man I hope so, we have a lot of that stock in post retirement acct
Obviously I spend some time in a crypto echo-chamber but many there think Coin continues to run. They’re being listed as the custodian for almost every crypto ETF which would presumably lead to a bump in revenues.
I'm sure they will get a bounce with the first approved ETF (like all crypto stocks), but doesn't it seem likely for trading activities to dump since ETFs are so convenient and easy? Can't imagine revenue as a custodian would offset this. Something to look into. Regardless, a leap put play would come after the first approval, so we can be patient.
I purchased DIS in March of 2020 when everything dipped. I didn't research it much just got some because everything was cheap. At the same time also got XOM and MSFT. Obviously wish I got more of the other two instead of DIS. I am considering selling it now and adding to my MSFT position. Not sure if it's foolish though to sell at a low point to buy at a high point for MSFT? Decisions, decisions
ATH close for NVDA, day before earnings. Good grief, even if the report is excellent, doesn't it feel like there will be tons of profit taking afterwards? Any anyone here have the balls to buy puts?
DIS has been showing some life lately. It's never a bad idea to add to MSFT, but DIS may rally due to exceeding very low expectations.
From my experience, good technology but poorly run company. I know first hand the sales people lie to prospective clients, telling them the system is fully PCI compliant when it isn't. Tread carefully,
People already using $coin will likely stick there as they’re used to holding their own coins, I don’t see much of a drop off. Those moving to etf only will likely be canceled out by fees. The growth question will be do people become more comfortable holding their own as things progress.
Definitely a nice feature, especially with high tax states! However, what's up with the de minimis tax rule for municipal bonds sold below par? Is that a potential backdoor tax to be aware of?
Love Disney’s parks but from an investment perspective I didn’t understand DIS rally during COVID and I still don’t understand the current appeal especially as it approaches $100. Not to mention they still have yet to re-instate the dividend.
The Disney rally was due to the potential of Disney+, but its stock crash was mostly due to how unprofitable it has been since starting it years ago. Can Disney+ actually make money? We shall see! Not sure.
What's most attractive to you? Below par, about par, or above par. Or is yield to maturity all that matters? Thanks!
Muni bonds are fed tax free and state tax free if you live in the state that issued the bond (i.e. NJ tax free for NJ munis if you live in NJ, NY munis not NJ tax free for NJ residents). If you can get them below par and want to hold to maturity, that would be a win. I buy callable muni bonds based on yield to next call (one of my advisors specializes in muni bonds and is quite accurate as to when they will be called). Callable munis have higher interest rates than non-callable munis.
You can buy NJ and DC and the INTEREST is tax exempt. If you buy at discount, the principal repayment over your basis is taxed as capital gains. You can actually buy other states but you only get the federal tax exemption.