OT: Stock and Investment Thread

Rutgers Chris

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ya, probably worth watching the interview.

Basics seem to be

1)Currently partnering with Waymo.
2)UBER's growth accelerating even in markets (San Fran) where autonomous is already in play.
3)Autonomous has to be very good because of the risks
4)Autonomous still very small. To this point I think he said UBER has 31mil bookings a day. I think autonomous is like 170K(and that might be weekly).
I’ve heard more than once that Tesla buying them could be a play too.
 

Rutgers Chris

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Bit of a side note but on closing bell last night some one was talking about GOOGL developing a "virtual cell" on which companies can test drugs before going to an actual lab.
Assuming this is an Isomorphics Lab project. I’ve heard this discussed a few times on podcasts as being right there with Waymo as potential Google spinoff companies
 
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RU05

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DIS beats. Up just a little at the moment. Been watching it. A few heads have it as one of their best bets for 2025.

Looks like $120 is going to be a difficult level to clear.
 

T2Kplus20

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DIS beats. Up just a little at the moment. Been watching it. A few heads have it as one of their best bets for 2025.

Looks like $120 is going to be a difficult level to clear.
Need to use leap calls to get enough gains to make it worthwhile.
 

RU05

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@T2Kplus20. Just a quick look.

MDB has a 3ish year downward trend it needs to break out from.

Reported $500 mil in revs in it's last qtr. Currently a $20B market cap. Fairly expensive, but there is definitely more expensive stuff out there. Growth rate in the high teens, which is good, but not great, and thus the struggles with the stock.

Next quarterly report is 3/5/25.
 

RU05

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Johnson Controls ripping on earnings. Up 13%. I think that's industrials?


Edit: Another industrial I've had an eye on lately is FSS. Chart goes all the way back to the 1970's, but since the GFC they are up more then 25x. 4x on the 5 year. 20+% on the one year, but it's been dealing with the $100 level for the last 6 months.

28x p/e on 10ish%, which sounds pricey for an industrial, so I'm not jumping in just yet. But the chart says it's worth a watch.
 
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T2Kplus20

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Johnson Controls ripping on earnings. Up 13%. I think that's industrials?


Edit: Another industrial I've had an eye on lately is FSS. Chart goes all the way back to the 1970's, but since the GFC they are up more then 25x. 4x on the 5 year. 20+% on the one year, but it's been dealing with the $100 level for the last 6 months.

28x p/e on 10ish%, which sounds pricey for an industrial, so I'm not jumping in just yet. But the chart says it's worth a watch.
Yes, industrials. Johnson Controls is part of Tom Lee's Granny Shots (GRNY).
 
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rurahrah000

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Good to know. I was looking at AI and BBAI as well. Shares or calls?

Thanks for the thoughts on SOUN. They have a great AI story with their voice technology, but obviously the market cap is a little stretched.
I bought both AI and BBAI outright. BBAI is exploding again today.
 
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RU05

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I
I bought both AI and BBAI outright. BBAI is exploding again today.
Wow, I thought for sure BBAI was going to be a 100 price to rev's type of stock. Or maybe even a zero rev, but it's about 10x even after todays move.

Just dipped a toe in despite it going from up 38% to 44% in a couple minutes, as it's still very cheap for the space. Small position to start. Looking for a pull back to add more, but I could definitely see this thing continuing to rip.
 
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T2Kplus20

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Wow, I thought for sure BBAI was going to be a 100 price to rev's type of stock. Or maybe even a zero rev, but it's about 10x even after todays move.

Just dipped a toe in despite it going from up 38% to 44% in a couple minutes, as it's still very cheap for the space. Small position to start. Looking for a pull back to add more, but I could definitely see this thing continuing to rip.
Wow, what's the news on BBAI? Starting buying AI, but will wait on BBAI for it to calm down (hopefully!). SOUN is up again today.
 

Rutgers Chris

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Robinhood pushing gold now too. Email this morning:

By signing up for Robinhood Gold, you could earn a boosted APY on your uninvested cash* for 60 days. Every dollar you add works around the clock, helping you pursue your financial goals faster.​
Here’s how it works:​
  • Sign up for Robinhood Gold
  • You will get a 0.5% APY boost for 60 days on top of the base rate, currently 4%, even if the base rate changes.**
  • There is no cap on how much you can earn and you can access your money at any time. Your money is also FDIC-insured up to $2.5M at partner banks.*
 
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T2Kplus20

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I thought with that Rev beat the stock would be jumping, but down 4+% on weak guidance.
Yo, did you see the new Kraneshares China ETFs? Advertised on The Compound. Both are based on KWEB:

KBUF = 90% downside protection, upside capped at 40%

KPRO = 100% downside protection, upside capped at 20%

Looks need you need to hold for 2 years to ensure the max benefit.
 
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RUAldo

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I didn’t realize that Sweetgreen now has a fairly large short-interest. I have a decent size position and still sitting deep in the green (no pun intended). Anyone have thoughts on whether it’s time to double-down for a potential kaboom when it reports in a couple of weeks? Part of my investing theory was based on RTO and healthier trends especially after the packaged foods companies are getting hammered.
 

RU05

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I didn’t realize that Sweetgreen now has a fairly large short-interest. I have a decent size position and still sitting deep in the green (no pun intended). Anyone have thoughts on whether it’s time to double-down for a potential kaboom when it reports in a couple of weeks? Part of my investing theory was based on RTO and healthier trends especially after the packaged foods companies are getting hammered.
Without looking it’s probably very expensive……but so is PLTR.

If its behaving well of late maybe let it roll into earnings and then trim just prior and if it pulls back jump back in.

A little trading tactic based on risk mgmt.

Is it a significant holding for you? Edit: I see you say its a decent size.
 

RUAldo

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Without looking it’s probably very expensive……but so is PLTR.

If its behaving well of late maybe let it roll into earnings and then trim just prior and if it pulls back jump back in.

A little trading tactic based on risk mgmt.

Is it a significant holding for you? Edit: I see you say its a decent size.
Funny thing is my trading portfolio has gone through the roof ever since I prioritized growth over PE and fundamentals.

In my trading portfolio I usually consider any single position around $35k-$50k as decent size. Curious how others on this thread categorize their positions?
 

RU05

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Funny thing is my trading portfolio has gone through the roof ever since I prioritized growth over PE and fundamentals.

In my trading portfolio I usually consider any single position around $35k-$50k as decent size. Curious how others on this thread categorize their positions?
My biggest position is only about 8% of my portfolio. My 2nd biggest is less then 5%. Im overly diversified. But if can’t help myself, i want to own all the stocks

Back to SG i see it missed and sold off last earnings after a hot run. Expectations definitely lower going into this qtr.

All about execution.
 

T2Kplus20

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Funny thing is my trading portfolio has gone through the roof ever since I prioritized growth over PE and fundamentals.
Something value investors have had trouble learning over the past 15 years.
 

T2Kplus20

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My biggest position is only about 8% of my portfolio. My 2nd biggest is less then 5%. Im overly diversified. But if can’t help myself, i want to own all the stocks

Back to SG i see it missed and sold off last earnings after a hot run. Expectations definitely lower going into this qtr.

All about execution.
If you want to own "all the stocks", you run the risk of just matching the S&P 500.....so what's the point then. Tom Lee is very direct about limiting stocks to 30-35. This is just for large caps, so you can obviously do more with small/mid caps.

Sometimes I struggle with wanting to buy too many, but you need to stick with your high conviction stocks.
 
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T2Kplus20

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Honeywell trying to pull GE 2.0! @rutgersguy1

Honeywell, one of the last remaining U.S. industrial conglomerates, will split into three independent companies, following in the footsteps of manufacturing giants like General Electric and Alcoa.

The company said Thursday that it will separate from its automation and aerospace technologies businesses. Including plans announced earlier to spin off its advanced materials business, Honeywell will consist of three smaller entities in hopes that they will each be more agile.

"The formation of three independent, industry-leading companies builds on the powerful foundation we have created, positioning each to pursue tailored growth strategies, and unlock significant value for shareholders and customers,” Honeywell Chairman and CEO Vimal Kapur said in a statement.

Honeywell had said in December that it was considering spinning off its aerospace division. The public announcement arrived about one month after Elliott Investment Management revealed a stake of more than $5 billion in the aerospace, automation and materials company. Elliott had been pushing for the Charlotte, North Carolina, company to separate its automation and aerospace businesses.

 

rutgersguy1_rivals

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Honeywell trying to pull GE 2.0! @rutgersguy1

Honeywell, one of the last remaining U.S. industrial conglomerates, will split into three independent companies, following in the footsteps of manufacturing giants like General Electric and Alcoa.

The company said Thursday that it will separate from its automation and aerospace technologies businesses. Including plans announced earlier to spin off its advanced materials business, Honeywell will consist of three smaller entities in hopes that they will each be more agile.

"The formation of three independent, industry-leading companies builds on the powerful foundation we have created, positioning each to pursue tailored growth strategies, and unlock significant value for shareholders and customers,” Honeywell Chairman and CEO Vimal Kapur said in a statement.

Honeywell had said in December that it was considering spinning off its aerospace division. The public announcement arrived about one month after Elliott Investment Management revealed a stake of more than $5 billion in the aerospace, automation and materials company. Elliott had been pushing for the Charlotte, North Carolina, company to separate its automation and aerospace businesses.

Long time ago GE tried to buy Honeywell but iirc it was blocked on antitrust.

UTX, GE..guess Honeywell now all have gone that route. Conglomerates aren’t the thing anymore, at least for now.

Maybe GE aerospace and Honeywell’s aerospace unit could merge down the line. What’s old is new again lol.
 
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voltz99

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If you want to own "all the stocks", you run the risk of just matching the S&P 500.....so what's the point then. Tom Lee is very direct about limiting stocks to 30-35. This is just for large caps, so you can obviously do more with small/mid caps.

Sometimes I struggle with wanting to buy too many, but you need to stick with your high conviction stocks.


Still too many. It is tough following that many.

The problem is the spinoffs. You buy ONE and a year later you can have 4+ with the spinoffs.
 

voltz99

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Anyone watch Cramer? Is that guy ever right? I always worry when he promotes a stock I have. It makes we want to sell.

Cramer buys high and sells low. He then tells you to buy it back after it goes back up.
 

RU05

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Anyone watch Cramer? Is that guy ever right? I always worry when he promotes a stock I have. It makes we want to sell.

Cramer buys high and sells low. He then tells you to buy it back after it goes back up.
I watched him a lot when I first started trading/investing in 2020. Haven't watched him much in a couple years, though I do kind of like him in the 9AM spot.

Now is he ever right? Well he coined FAANG and those stocks crushed it. He was also early on NVDA, again crushed it.

Does he get stuff wrong? Of course, everyone does, and he comments on dozens of stocks everyday.

But he's just too much shtick for me anymore.
 

RU05

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I have FLG, formerly NYCB, up big on earnings, only gets me slightly into the green overall. Double beat.

I like the Mnuchin angle.

Could I have added? Obviously, but I'm just glad I didn't sell. Might sell some calls here.
Continuing to roll.

Up 24% in a month, but still down 35% in the last 12 months.

VLY was my regional leader up 15%, but FLG is now in the lead up 18%(for me). Though VLY pays a better div at this point.
 

RU05

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If you want to own "all the stocks", you run the risk of just matching the S&P 500.....so what's the point then. Tom Lee is very direct about limiting stocks to 30-35. This is just for large caps, so you can obviously do more with small/mid caps.

Sometimes I struggle with wanting to buy too many, but you need to stick with your high conviction stocks.
So 56 is too many?😂 But there are so many more I want to buy.

Josh Brown selling MCO to Al Michaels.

Some lady telling a compelling story regarding FTAI (recently tanked on a short report which she said was inaccurate).

Lam Research.
 
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rutgersguy1_rivals

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Anyone watch Cramer? Is that guy ever right? I always worry when he promotes a stock I have. It makes we want to sell.

Cramer buys high and sells low. He then tells you to buy it back after it goes back up.
Don’t really like him and never really watched his show once I saw what it was about. Fast Money since its inception with Dylan Ratigan was a show I’ve liked and continue to watch here and there currently. Also liked that they’ve had chart technicians as guests like Louise Yamada, Carter Worth, etc over the years.

Cramer is just a clown show but it doesn’t mean he’s always wrong. I’m sure he’s right sometimes and wrong as well just like anyone else. Mad Money is grating to me but like mentioned above, in the morning he’s tolerable lol.

If you’re in a stock it should be independent of him or anything he says. Unless he says something that changes/affects your reasoning for being in that stock, it shouldn’t matter what he says.