Toggle sidebar

OT: Stock and Investment Thread

RUinPinehurst

RUinPinehurst

Well-known member
Aug 27, 2011
8,350
7,873
113
rutgersdave said:
Have you been in the market? I know you moved out awhile ago.
Click to expand...
Never completely out of equities. But have significantly reduced exposures, particularly to more vulnerable and over-valued segments. What remains mostly is large cap value. Did create a variety of Treasury (Note) ladders including TIPS. Holding on to I-Bonds but not accumulating; they serve as a reserve. And maintain short-term Ts via the likes of SGOV and VMFXX. Did exit gold with the recent run up. Expecting to rebalance some and move more into equities when the opportunity "seems" right.

Always get a kick out of following all the manuevering as posted in this thread....
 
  • Like
Reactions: RU in IM
R

rutgersdave

New member
Jan 23, 2004
49,908
13,993
0
RUinPinehurst said:
In his defense, he's young.
Click to expand...
That’s actually true, almost all investors start investing in their 401k account in their 20-40’s and then realize they accumulate quite a sum. Then in their 50’s they have more assets and start buying individual stocks and start trading. In 5-10 years, he will be trading his main account
 
J

jtung230

New member
Jun 30, 2005
18,767
11,983
0
rutgersdave said:
That’s actually true, almost all investors start investing in their 401k account in their 20-40’s and then realize they accumulate quite a sum. Then in their 50’s they have more assets and start buying individual stocks and start trading. In 5-10 years, he will be trading his main account
Click to expand...
I feel like that’s the exact opposite of what you should be doing. FOLM should kick in when you are closer to retirement.
 
R

rutgersdave

New member
Jan 23, 2004
49,908
13,993
0
jtung230 said:
I feel like that’s the exact opposite of what you should be doing. FOLM should kick in when you are closer to retirement.
Click to expand...
Got enough saved, don’t really worry about losing in the market. I moved to 60% cash CD before the tariffs and waiting to buy at lower prices.

What FOLM stand for?
 
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
jtung230 said:
Just imagine you can time it right. I was lucky enough to do that during GFC. I don’t think this is anywhere near that. I do think it’s time to sit on cash and be patient.
Click to expand...
We were young/early in our investing during the GFC, so we just bought all the way down and all the way back up. It worked like a dream. So many people that got out during the GFC were too scared to get back in. The stats on this were remarkable (in a bad way).
 
J

jtung230

New member
Jun 30, 2005
18,767
11,983
0
T2Kplus20 said:
We were young/early in our investing during the GFC, so we just bought all the way down and all the way back up. It worked like a dream. So many people that got out during the GFC were too scared to get back in. The stats on this were remarkable (in a bad way).
Click to expand...
I had a front row seat on GFC. Went 100% cash in 2008 and bought it all back in 2009. Hope I would never have to do that again.
 
  • Like
Reactions: T2Kplus20
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
jtung230 said:
I had a front row seat on GFC. Went 100% cash in 2008 and bought it all back in 2009. Hope I would never have to do that again.
Click to expand...
We started investing in late 2005, but our balances were modest by the GFC. The GFC also never impacted us directly. Pharma is essentially immune to the economy in many ways and the wife was already working at RU on multi-year grants.
 
R

rutgersdave

New member
Jan 23, 2004
49,908
13,993
0
jtung230 said:
I had a front row seat on GFC. Went 100% cash in 2008 and bought it all back in 2009. Hope I would never have to do that again.
Click to expand...
I was 95% in cash before the crash in 2008 and brought afterward. Cramer actually called it the day before the crash.
 
R

rutgersdave

New member
Jan 23, 2004
49,908
13,993
0
FOLM?

FOLMFriends of the Littleton Library and Museum (Littleton,CO)
FOLMFriends of Lake McQueeney (Texas)
FOLMFriends of Lake Merced (San Francisco, CA)
 
  • Haha
Reactions: jtung230
R

rutgersdave

New member
Jan 23, 2004
49,908
13,993
0
jtung230 said:
You have FOLM.
Click to expand...
Yes because 95% of the time I don’t lose money but yes, I might make more leaving it in. My sister leave it in and doesn’t really look at it.

However, if I’m scared of losing money why am I in the stock market? I should put everything in treasuries bonds and CD. I also play poker and won 6 out of the last 7 times I played. Most people that I played at home don’t play at a casino because they found they lose money at casinos.

I think there are people that sense danger and I’m one of them.
 
Last edited:
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
rutgersdave said:
Yes because 95% of the time I don’t lose money but yes, I might make more leaving it in. My sister leave it in and doesn’t really look at it.

However, if I’m scared of losing money why am I in the stock market? I should put everything in treasuries bonds and CD. I also play poker and won 6 out of the last 7 times I played. Most people that I played at home don’t play at a casino because they found they lose money at casinos.

I think there are people that sense danger and I’m one of them.
Click to expand...
You sense danger and pull out of the market literally every week (and miss out on so much). You are way too jittery. Can't live life scared.
 
R

rutgersguy1_rivals

New member
Dec 17, 2008
45,216
16,775
0
rutgersguy1 said:
I’ve mentioned them before here. V and MA are favorites of mine. Perfect “financials” for me. No credit risk and just transaction processing. People will use them all the time regardless of economy.

Antitrust issues come up from time to time but it hasn’t been much of an issue to date.
Click to expand...
V/MA in the green on this red open. Telcos like T and VZ as well. Utilities mixed to slightly down. UNH in the green pushing up against 550 again and healthcare also mixed to slightly down. META only one on my tech screen in the green.

Personally, I'd be looking to see what might get attractive if this down turn turns into something more. NKE I've been wanting deeper in the 60s but it's held that low 70s support. Maybe CMG will have some pain from he tariffs that might make it a little more reasonable. Possibly some tech names as well. INTC back down to the low end of its recent trading range.

I'm not a fan of buying when things are up up up and think there are more potential opportunities when things are red not just for a day but over some time. To me it's a time to have your antennae up.
 
  • Like
Reactions: redking and T2Kplus20
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
rutgersguy1 said:
V/MA in the green on this red open. Telcos like T and VZ as well. Utilities mixed to slightly down. UNH in the green pushing up against 550 again and healthcare also mixed to slightly down. META only one on my tech screen in the green.

Personally, I'd be looking to see what might get attractive if this down turn turns into something more. NKE I've been wanting deeper in the 60s but it's held that low 70s support. Maybe CMG will have some pain from he tariffs that might make it a little more reasonable. Possibly some tech names as well. INTC back down to the low end of its recent trading range.

I'm not a fan of buying when things are up up up and think there are more potential opportunities when things are red not just for a day but over some time. To me it's a time to have your antennae up.
Click to expand...
NKE rallied back for me to turn my position green (as of Friday). Would love to buy CMG, SHAK, Walmart, and some banks if they dip enough.
 
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
jtung230 said:
Cramer said a lot of things during that time. He said to buy Bear Stearns.
Click to expand...
He's on TV so much and has to give like 10-15 positions/calls every damn day. He is right and wrong on many things. The big problem is, nobody knows when he is right or wrong so his advice is essentially useless.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Anon1750875978
R

rutgersguy1_rivals

New member
Dec 17, 2008
45,216
16,775
0
T2Kplus20 said:
NKE rallied back for me to turn my position green (as of Friday). Would love to buy CMG, SHAK, Walmart, and some banks if they dip enough.
Click to expand...
Yea it bounced off that low 70s area and got up to the high 70s but don't expect it to break the low 80s where the 200DMA is currently. It would take a real turnaround for it to break through that definitively and I don't see that on the table any time soon. China tariffs might hurt it too and if earnings might not bring it to the level I'm willing to step in maybe the tariffs will.
 
  • Like
Reactions: T2Kplus20
R

rutgersguy1_rivals

New member
Dec 17, 2008
45,216
16,775
0
rutgersguy1 said:
V/MA in the green on this red open. Telcos like T and VZ as well. Utilities mixed to slightly down. UNH in the green pushing up against 550 again and healthcare also mixed to slightly down. META only one on my tech screen in the green.

Personally, I'd be looking to see what might get attractive if this down turn turns into something more. NKE I've been wanting deeper in the 60s but it's held that low 70s support. Maybe CMG will have some pain from he tariffs that might make it a little more reasonable. Possibly some tech names as well. INTC back down to the low end of its recent trading range.

I'm not a fan of buying when things are up up up and think there are more potential opportunities when things are red not just for a day but over some time. To me it's a time to have your antennae up.
Click to expand...
Staples also mixed to slightly red, except for alcohol which looks more red. WM/RSG green too, essentially staples. Loved these companies, specifically WM, way back when the dividend yields were much better. Still good but not the same attractiveness for me now. Good long term hold though from back then.
 
N

nutfromSEC117

New member
Nov 2, 2002
7,775
5,769
0
Happy Avocado Toast GIF by Lisa Vertudaches
 
  • Haha
Reactions: rutgersguy1_rivals
K

Knight Owl

New member
Jul 27, 2001
3,536
2,580
0
jtung230 said:
Don’t mess with my Modelo and Avavados
Click to expand...
My daily lib breakfast of Colombian coffee and Mexican avocado toast was in serious peril the past couple of weeks.
Good thing Emperor Hero-eat-o has over 2% real GDP growth to “play with” because a recession would be an absolute disaster.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Anon1750875978
R

RU in IM

Well-known member
Nov 3, 2011
2,670
2,130
113
T2Kplus20 said:
AAPL valuation is reasonable, especially when you factor in past and future buybacks. AAPL's float has gone from 25B shares to only 15B over the past 10-12 years. And more importantly, its future plans are even more aggressive. With a cash flow that is practically endless, AAPL share prices will continue to go up and up.

TSLA is purely a sentiment stock based on FSD and robots. Current valuation is completely meaningless. NVDA is cheaper now than any time in its history. META is fine. PLTR is very high (which I sold at $71).
Click to expand...
Looks like we’re both wrong on PLTR, 😮. Up 12% on strong financials.
 
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Well-known member
May 1, 2007
29,831
17,800
113
RU in IM said:
Looks like we’re both wrong on PLTR, 😮. Up 12% on strong financials.
Click to expand...
F! And I'm not talking about Ford. I am NEVER looking at valuations anymore. Bears are so stupid. I should never have sold at $71. Valuations be damned. LOL!
 
  • Like
Reactions: RU in IM
You must log in or register to reply here.
Top Bottom