OT: Stock and Investment Thread

RU05

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EXPE balancing out the loss in my portfolio, up over 6% on double beat.

Reinstituting a div. Nice.

ELF down 10% on it's earnings. I sold that dog the other day. Took a pretty big hit on that one.
 

T2Kplus20

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So 56 is too many?😂 But there are so many more I want to buy.

Josh Brown selling MCO to Al Michaels.

Some lady telling a compelling story regarding FTAI (recently tanked on a short report which she said was inaccurate).

Lam Research.
LOL! I'm not that much better. My custom large-cap basket is 33 stocks (which I track against the S&P 500). I have 7 or 8 extra holdings which include my leap call plays and also 6 clinical stage biotech in a second custom basket. So, that's about 46 or 47.

This afternoon, I finally bought WOLF Jan 2026 calls. Maybe a big pop once the new CEO is announced. This is more of a trade.
 
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T2Kplus20

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Don’t really like him and never really watched his show once I saw what it was about. Fast Money since its inception with Dylan Ratigan was a show I’ve liked and continue to watch here and there currently. Also liked that they’ve had chart technicians as guests like Louise Yamada, Carter Worth, etc over the years.

Cramer is just a clown show but it doesn’t mean he’s always wrong. I’m sure he’s right sometimes and wrong as well just like anyone else. Mad Money is grating to me but like mentioned above, in the morning he’s tolerable lol.

If you’re in a stock it should be independent of him or anything he says. Unless he says something that changes/affects your reasoning for being in that stock, it shouldn’t matter what he says.
Fast Money is awful. Dan Nathan and Guy D are every bit as wrong as Cramer. Both are hopeless permabears that were scarred by the dot.com crash.

Halftime show with Josh Brown, Stephanie Link, and a few others is the best on CNBC.
 
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RUAldo

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Fast Money is awful. Dan Nathan and Guy D are every bit as wrong as Cramer. Both are hopeless permabears that were scarred by the dot.com crash.

Halftime show with Josh Brown, Stephanie Link, and a few others is the best on CNBC.
If CNBC had any balls they would track picks/recommendations and show their batting average below their names. Would love to see how guys like Nathan, Guy, Kramer, etc. perform.
 
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RU05

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Fast Money is awful. Dan Nathan and Guy D are every bit as wrong as Cramer. Both are hopeless permabears that were scarred by the dot.com crash.

Halftime show with Josh Brown, Stephanie Link, and a few others is the best on CNBC.
Closing Bell with Wapner is also good.

I like Fast Money though. Very entertaining even if Guy and Dan have gone to the dark side. And it is good to have some bearish voices.....though those guys have gone way too far.
 

T2Kplus20

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Closing Bell with Wapner is also good.

I like Fast Money though. Very entertaining even if Guy and Dan have gone to the dark side. And it is good to have some bearish voices.....though those guys have gone way too far.
I gave up on Guy and Dan's YouTube channel. Such a waste of time. Same thing over and over and over again. Closing Bell is very good as well. Tom Lee is on that one quite a bit.
 

T2Kplus20

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Been watching some JC and Strazza on their morning show. Charts out the ***! Not high-end production value, but still good content to start the day.



Also, a channel called Blue Cloud Trading posts CNBC's Halftime Show and highlights JB quite a bit.
 
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rutgersguy1_rivals

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Fast Money is awful. Dan Nathan and Guy D are every bit as wrong as Cramer. Both are hopeless permabears that were scarred by the dot.com crash.

Halftime show with Josh Brown, Stephanie Link, and a few others is the best on CNBC.
Josh Brown and Stephanie Link are Fast Money contributors. Dan Nathan I don’t like, Guy Adami is okay. You pick and choose which ones you think give some good insight like anything else. Some are good and some I don’t bother about.
 
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voltz99

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Don’t really like him and never really watched his show once I saw what it was about. Fast Money since its inception with Dylan Ratigan was a show I’ve liked and continue to watch here and there currently. Also liked that they’ve had chart technicians as guests like Louise Yamada, Carter Worth, etc over the years.

Cramer is just a clown show but it doesn’t mean he’s always wrong. I’m sure he’s right sometimes and wrong as well just like anyone else. Mad Money is grating to me but like mentioned above, in the morning he’s tolerable lol.

If you’re in a stock it should be independent of him or anything he says. Unless he says something that changes/affects your reasoning for being in that stock, it shouldn’t matter what he says.


I really liked the now defunct Nightly Business Report with Paul Kangus. I used to get a lot of great tips. NBR used to track the insider picks and let you know who was up and who was down. I doubt Cramer lists his up or down returns.

WSJ Heard on the street column also had a lot of good info.
 
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mdk02

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I really liked the now defunct Nightly Business Report with Paul Kangus. I used to get a lot of great tips. NBR used to track the insider picks and let you know who was up and who was down. I doubt Cramer lists his up or down returns.

WSJ Heard on the street column also had a lot of good info.

Always liked the analysis of the old Wall Street Week with Louis Rukeyser back 35-40 years ago.
 

T2Kplus20

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Early drop! Special guest, one of the best fund managers in the business. David Giroux (PRWCX) is a legend. His fund is moderate asset allocation and the only exposure I have to bonds. Along with Steve Wymer from Fidelity (FDGRX) both are the managers I listen to and research the most.

 
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T2Kplus20

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GRNY did a quarterly rebalance on Wed. From FS Insights public announcement:

Dear Fundstrat Capital Community,

On Wednesday, February 5th, 2025, the Fundstrat Granny Shots US Large Cap ETF (GRNY) executed its first Shorter-Term theme rebalance since inception on November 6, 2024.

The three Shorter-Term themes updated as part of this rebalance include:
  • Style Tilt
  • Seasonality
  • PMI Recovery

The stock specific changes to the Fund are highlighted below. All positions in the Fund were rebalanced to equal weight.
We look forward to providing further insights on these updates through our weekly video briefings and monthly webinars. For the latest news and updates on GRNY, please visit grannyshots.com.
 
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RU05

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Added to BBAI. Still a small position. Still looking to add.
up 30% today. Sold my add. Hope it falls back and I buy back in for real.

Currently $8.80. Was an original spac so the $10 level is probably resistance.
 

T2Kplus20

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Got stopped out of NKE. Oh well. Also, swapped GWW with GEV in my custom basket (originally had it as an individual holding). So back in this one after taking a short break.
 

RU05

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Probably a good move especially if you got in around $6-7.
$7.05 original, then added at $6.52.

Sold that second position at $8.80ish.

If it's down even a little on Monday I'll buy some more. And if it drops more I'll add more. I only sold today because it was up 28%.

11x price to rev's prior to todays move.
 

RU05

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Got stopped out of NKE. Oh well. Also, swapped GWW with GEV in my custom basket (originally had it as an individual holding). So back in this one after taking a short break.
NKE's 3 year chart is perfectly terrible. Top left to bottom right.

Todays move brings NKE back down to 2015 levels, ATH's it set after a great run coming out of the GFC. So maybe there is some support here?

Rev's are expected to drop in 2025(we are already in the 3rd qtr), stay flat in 2026 and rise minimally in 2027.

Fairly similar story for EPS with 2028 expected to be below 2024's EPS.

So although it's very cheap relative to itself on a TTM PE, it's still relatively expensive on a FTM.
 
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T2Kplus20

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NKE's 3 year chart is perfectly terrible. Top left to bottom right.

Todays move brings NKE back down to 2015 levels, ATH's it set after a great run coming out of the GFC. So maybe there is some support here?

Rev's are expected to drop in 2025(we are already in the 3rd qtr), stay flat in 2026 and rise minimally in 2027.

Fairly similar story for EPS with 2028 expected to be below 2024's EPS.

So although it's very cheap relative to itself on a TTM PE, it's still relatively expensive on a FTM.
Yeah, sure. But Ackman bought it! :)
 

RUAldo

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NKE's 3 year chart is perfectly terrible. Top left to bottom right.

Todays move brings NKE back down to 2015 levels, ATH's it set after a great run coming out of the GFC. So maybe there is some support here?

Rev's are expected to drop in 2025(we are already in the 3rd qtr), stay flat in 2026 and rise minimally in 2027.

Fairly similar story for EPS with 2028 expected to be below 2024's EPS.

So although it's very cheap relative to itself on a TTM PE, it's still relatively expensive on a FTM.
NKE is a lost company from a brand and product perspective. ONON, Hoka, plus the resurgence of Adidas and other running brands has put Nike in limbo from a stock perspective. I was thinking of buying it during one of its recent drops but the “I told you so” ad campaign put a stop to that. Nike is completely lost at the moment although I suspect they will figure it out sooner than later.
 

rutgersdave

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Brought back some MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, BDX,UNH the last two days after their fall. Hope the market fall further so I can buy more. Also started buying ET, O, EPD, VZ, and PFE for dividend avg 6.5-7%.
 
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RUAldo

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Brought back some MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, BDX,UNH the last two days after their fall. Hope the market fall further so I can buy more. Also started buying ET, O, EPD, VZ, and PFE for dividend exposure.
I sold MSFT last week. Got impatient after it basically did nothing in my portfolio over the past year. Not sure I see many catalysts for it unless I’m missing something with co-pilot and the fact that AI laptops have gone nowhere. Also losing a bit of confidence in GOOG although I’ve held it for 10 years and they always seem to figure it out. I’d like to buy Amazon and more Netflix on dips. My guess is Trump has been rather quiet the past week or two so he’s due for rattling some cages which will spook the market.
 

RUinPinehurst

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For retirees or those very near retirement, now may be "the" time to rebalance US equity exposure some by weighting more toward non-US large cap value, especially dividend payers. See: VYMI. 10.7 p/e. 5.17% div yield.
 

rutgersdave

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I sold MSFT last week. Got impatient after it basically did nothing in my portfolio over the past year. Not sure I see many catalysts for it unless I’m missing something with co-pilot and the fact that AI laptops have gone nowhere. Also losing a bit of confidence in GOOG although I’ve held it for 10 years and they always seem to figure it out. I’d like to buy Amazon and more Netflix on dips. My guess is Trump has been rather quiet the past week or two so he’s due for rattling some cages which will spook the market.
i’m willing to wait for MSFT and GOOG. I don’t see NFLX retreating much but will buy if it happens. I’m staying away from AAPL and TSLA due to China.
 
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RUAldo

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For retirees or those very near retirement, now may be "the" time to rebalance US equity exposure some by weighting more toward non-US large cap value, especially dividend payers. See: VYMI. 10.7 p/e. 5.17% div yield.
I never understood international exposure. When US stocks do great, international do well. When US stocks do poorly, international do terrible. The world’s wagon is hitched to the US for better or worse.
 

rutgersdave

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For retirees or those very near retirement, now may be "the" time to rebalance US equity exposure some by weighting more toward non-US large cap value, especially dividend payers. See: VYMI. 10.7 p/e. 5.17% div yield.
I’ll buy some. I also brought more short term CDs just in case market drop and opportunities arise. Moved from 60% cash to 50% cash with more safer dividend stocks. The market needs to drop 10-15% to have good stock opportunities. I’m close to 70 and I hear I should be at 40% stock.
 

RUinPinehurst

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I never understood international exposure. When US stocks do great, international do well. When US stocks do poorly, international do terrible. The world’s wagon is hitched to the US for better or worse.
Sure, looking backwards. But we appear to be on the cusp of a "seachange".... US equity valuations are historically crazy high. And this note is in context of capital preservation for "mature" portfolios. Diversification is warranted. Just an opinion, of course.
 

rutgersguy1_rivals

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NKE's 3 year chart is perfectly terrible. Top left to bottom right.

Todays move brings NKE back down to 2015 levels, ATH's it set after a great run coming out of the GFC. So maybe there is some support here?

Rev's are expected to drop in 2025(we are already in the 3rd qtr), stay flat in 2026 and rise minimally in 2027.

Fairly similar story for EPS with 2028 expected to be below 2024's EPS.

So although it's very cheap relative to itself on a TTM PE, it's still relatively expensive on a FTM.
I'm still fine stepping if it drops further into the 60s. I've been waiting to see if it would break that low 70s support and looks like it has now. Lower 50s/upper 40s next support after that. As said above, this isn't likely to be a quick turnaround but more likely a slog. Tariffs won't help either. I'm sure there will be tradeable bottoms in the meantime as well.
 
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