I think we might need to start understanding that the last two weeks will end up being the easiest part of this war for the United States.
Over the next few weeks, keep your eyes on the Middle East
- Thread starter HunterPKP
- Start date
yeah I think I have gotten AIDS...at least herpes
@P. Marlowe info that he can share publicly is about the only thing I've kept reading
Thanks for your contribution
That’s as much as I’ll say for now.
Unfortunately, that’s why several people that have actual knowledge left the thread. What is being reported as news (not even talking opinion/commentary) on Twitter and other outlets - even when accurate - is often very behind what’s actually unfolding. You have two major developments in the last 24 hours that I’ve seen reported nowhere. To be fair, I haven’t looked that hard.
OSINT is reporting lots of equipment movement around the country but it’s very difficult to decipher what’s noteworthy and what’s noise from normal rotations that typically go unnoticed being reported now because of global events.
Is that not dependent on who it is/why they’re there?
Yes. They are on the way. I am not referring to them when I say there are others. There now. And arriving in the coming days.
I haven't commented on this thread yet but I am following it, can anyone let me know who might actually have some legit info as to what's going on so I can just follow that instead of the twitter/social media posts that do not know anything.
You're supposed to wrap it before you tap it bud.
Personally my litmus test for that is what it means for resolving the conflict and returning global supply chains to a steady state. I’d prefer withdrawing and finding a way to make peace first but a large scale intervention that has meaningful effect towards moving both parties to an off ramp is a distant second preference and still well ahead of not doing enough in either direction and allowing Iran to squeeze energy prices by dictating movement through the SoH indefinitely while we air strike and special operations our ways to no meaningful objectives.
My guy who was “in Poland” in the winter of 2021 and 2022 took a bad fall last year on a jump and is on CONUS desk duty so my inside info on this one is limited. I’m sure we’ve got SF assets on the ground for a while now though based on how things went for him with Syria and Eastern Europe. Usually major force movements are much harder to hide than teams though because of the amount of infrastructure that travels with them. If we were doing things that advanced us towards option 2 right now, I wouldn’t like it but I’d expect us to be able to see evidence of it relatively early.
Last edited:
This isn’t football recruiting. People with actual inside info could go to jail for sharing it. Everything here is likely third or fourth hand at best.
Thanks for trying to stick around and for providing useful updates. Sucks that the others left.
CENTCOM was created to prevent the SOH closing and being mined and yet here we are
Someone pretty sharp could have spotted the asset movement within the last few days. Kind of amazing to me with all the internet sleuths that geek out over **** like this that we haven’t seen more. Evidence was and is publicly available. You’d just have to have been in the right place on the right day around 11:00UTC or know how to find it.
You assume he was pitching
Last edited:
bro if you're going to go searching through my post history for some bizarre reason, let me at least point you in the appropriate direction....
Crazy Nancy Mace still sucks and Palmetto State citizens should be embarrassed that she's anywhere close to the governor's race hth
Thank you so much for your contribution to this thread.
Think I will need more information to hedge my wagers accordingly. I dm'd Jr and hit Pete up on Signal but neither is talking.
CHS has been busy but ...
1. OPSEC
2. I like my job.
3. OPSEC
To be honest, most of what I would have to offer is conjecture based on what I hear and see at my level, which is very low level operational and mostly tactical. I don't ask much and don't go looking. Sometimes people just talk. So, I try to stick to inane retorts to asinine remarks made by the misinformed, over educated, or undersexed masses of which I include myself.
We’ve all been around for at least a few of your Nancy mace meltdowns. Pretty sure there’s one in this thread, iirc. Something about her boobs and the citadel. They aren’t hard to find.
Weird that you went to the trouble of going back 8 months ago in a different thread then but feel free to dig up another banger
Weird that you went to the trouble of going back 8 months ago in a different thread then but feel free to dig up another banger
Search queries are difficult. Loads of trouble…
Business - France confirms oil crisis, says 30-40 percent of Gulf energy infrastructure destroyed
France's Finance Minister Roland Lescure revealed on Wednesday that between 30 and 40 per cent of Gulf refining capacity has been damaged or destroyed by Iran's retaliatory strikes, leaving a shortage…
www.france24.com
France's Finance Minister Roland Lescure revealed on Wednesday that between 30 and 40 per cent of Gulf refining capacity has been damaged or destroyed by Iran's retaliatory strikes, leaving a shortage of 11 million barrels a day on global oil markets. Lescure warned it could take up to three years to restore damaged facilities, and several months to restart those that were urgently shut down.
Not true. I provide first hand info on how the war is impacting my happy hour schedule here in Abu Dhabi. Today, I am at Tiki Pacifico, my local watering hole in Yas Bay, and all is clear.
In all seriousness, there were a couple of missle alerts earlier and sadly some fatalities due to falling debris from the interception. But these have gotten a lot less frequent. The biggest issue right now is not the war but the weather. We have had torrential rain for the last few days and half the UAE is underwater. Dubai and AD just aren't equipped to deal with it and the water has no place to go. Got one more night of heavy stuff tonight and hopefully that will be the end of it.
I clicked on the link, but couldn't get the full story because the page sucked. I am curious where he is getting his info. Not saying he is wrong, but that isn't tracking with what I am reading and seeing here.Business - France confirms oil crisis, says 30-40 percent of Gulf energy infrastructure destroyed
France's Finance Minister Roland Lescure revealed on Wednesday that between 30 and 40 per cent of Gulf refining capacity has been damaged or destroyed by Iran's retaliatory strikes, leaving a shortage…
France's Finance Minister Roland Lescure revealed on Wednesday that between 30 and 40 per cent of Gulf refining capacity has been damaged or destroyed by Iran's retaliatory strikes, leaving a shortage of 11 million barrels a day on global oil markets. Lescure warned it could take up to three years to restore damaged facilities, and several months to restart those that were urgently shut down.
One example of why I question it is that the Ruwais refinery in the UAE got hit by drone debris a week or two ago. It caused a fire that was put it. I used to live in Ruwais and drive by it all the time it is the 4th largest refinery in the world and is massive. I doubt that strike made a dent in production. But it was described in western press as a major impact.
Not true. I provide first hand info on how the war is impacting my happy hour schedule here in Abu Dhabi. Today, I am at Tiki Pacifico, my local watering hole in Yas Bay, and all is clear.
In all seriousness, there were a couple of missle alerts earlier and sadly some fatalities due to falling debris from the interception. But these have gotten a lot less frequent. The biggest issue right now is not the war but the weather. We have had torrential rain for the last few days and half the UAE is underwater. Dubai and AD just aren't equipped to deal with it and the water has no place to go. Got one more night of heavy stuff tonight and hopefully that will be the end of it.
man...now you just made me want a beet and itis only 10:40...decisions! I'm gonna change my phone clock to Dhabi time
Just add 8 hours and you are good. Nine in November because you suckers still change the clocks.
Cheers!
I'm hoping what we are seeing is just reflections of lighting fixtures. If not enjoy the fireworks.Just add 8 hours and you are good. Nine in November because you suckers still change the clocks.
Cheers!
View attachment 1232075
My guess would be that this is propaganda designed to put pressure on US to negotiate.
Doesn’t take a ton of damage to cause major problems…for instance, the blown transformer that took VCSNS offline for 2 months a few years back…
And prior to this kicking off, we had a surplus of roughly 2.5MM bb/day. Input costs are going to increase some. IF we avoid this dragging out and extended issues in the strait, we are going to be fine from an O&G production standpoint. It won’t be a crisis. It will be a temporary issue that gets absorbed for a bit then reverts to mean.