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Playoff Picture - 1 Week Left

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blindref73

Redshirt
Oct 27, 2014
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Only 4 spots left!!!!

I highly doubt Mt Tabor makes it. Their low Conf % will put them at the bottom of the list of 5-win teams. They need a lot of help Friday night to qualify.

Laney, Apex, Sanderson and Leesville Rd its simple: Win and you're in. Davie needs to win and have some help.

Reagan may be Small 4A depending on what happens Friday. I think Mooresville is locked in to 4AA.
 
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blindref73

Redshirt
Oct 27, 2014
62
1
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Looking closer at it 2 games can really change the picture.
Berry @ Olympic
Berry wins: they lock in their spot and eliminate Olympic
Olympic wins: Both teams will be on the outside looking in hoping for some help. Neither team would be guaranteed a spot.

Millbrook @ Sanderson
Millbrook wins: Millbrook locks in Auto-Qualifier spot and Sanderson is eliminated
Sanderson wins: Sanderson becomes Auto-Qualifier and Millbrook qualifies as a Wildcard with 7 wins, pushing another bubble team out.
 
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viking1504

Redshirt
Apr 19, 2006
275
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blindref73 said:
Only 4 spots left!!!!

I highly doubt Mt Tabor makes it. Their low Conf % will put them at the bottom of the list of 5-win teams. They need a lot of help Friday night to qualify.

Laney, Apex, Sanderson and Leesville Rd its simple: Win and you're in. Davie needs to win and have some help.

Reagan may be Small 4A depending on what happens Friday. I think Mooresville is locked in to 4AA.
Click to expand...
I have to disagree with Overhills. They will end up with a 2-4 conf record with 5 wins. There are some other ones I question as well.
 
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RaidersRocks

Redshirt
Sep 14, 2015
274
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If Davie wins they wont need much help, since their conf. record would be .500/3-3, compared to other teams % maybe .420, .400, or .333
 
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Mr Honda

All-Conference
Nov 12, 2012
2,441
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I know they're borderline right now, depending on who's in and out. But, do you see Page heading east or staying west? There's been some talk of them being east this year.
 
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RaidersRocks

Redshirt
Sep 14, 2015
274
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Not great with brackets, but Page being 4AA and the West being top-heavy, East is probably where they'll end-up, don't know how great that'll be for travel. Page seems a shoe-in to the East due to NWG also being shipped East. Now, NWG may slip back West due to upcoming Fri. nite finals. Ither way looking at the games left, there's not much that's going to create a BIG change.
 
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bknights#77

Senior
Oct 30, 2003
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bknights#77 said:
+1
Click to expand...
Southern Alamance underdog to Page
Overhills underdog to Jack Britt
Apex underdog to Middle Creek
Leesville Road underdog to Wakefield
Sanderson underdog to Millbrook

I like Davie, Berry & Laney to make it and Tabor has a chance b/c not out of the realm of possibility that there are 16 other W/C teams that get to 5 wins.
 
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JMACDE99

Junior
Oct 22, 2013
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those teams are the east are likely all to loose except for Laney as you guys have discussed. I think the question becomes if Olympic can win and get in with Berry (who probably gets in either way) and does that push Regan down into 4a thus moving the line farther east for brackets.
 
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blindref73

Redshirt
Oct 27, 2014
62
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The key for Reagan is really the Berry vs Olympic game. If Olympic wins they get in before Mt Tabor, and Mt. Tabor gets in before Berry. If Olympic is in and both Mt Tabor and Berry are out, that opens a spot and moves Reagan 4A.
 
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bknights#77

Senior
Oct 30, 2003
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blindref73 said:
Only 4 spots left!!!!

I highly doubt Mt Tabor makes it. Their low Conf % will put them at the bottom of the list of 5-win teams. They need a lot of help Friday night to qualify.

Laney, Apex, Sanderson and Leesville Rd its simple: Win and you're in. Davie needs to win and have some help.

Reagan may be Small 4A depending on what happens Friday. I think Mooresville is locked in to 4AA.
Click to expand...
Okay guys here goes a stab. I think the top 11 of your wildcards are in so 57 spots are filled. The games tonight effect what the last 7 teams will be. Calling Berry and Olympic a tossup and going with the favorites winning tonight here is what I come up with:
Laney 5-5 .750
Davie 5-5 .500
W. Meck 5-5 .425
Heritage 5-5 .425 That is 61 which leaves 3 teams
The winner of Berry-Olympic (loser will not make it) 62
three teams tied for the last 2 spots
S. Alamance 5-5 .400
Lumberton 5-5 .400
Glenn 5-5 .400

So three scenarios if Olympic wins based on draw
S. Alamance, Lumberton-Reagan 4A West
S. Alamance, Glenn-Reagan 4AA West moves East Forsyth 4AA East
Lumberton, Glenn-Reagan 4A West
So three scenarios if Berry wins based on draw
S. Alamance, Lumberton-Reagan 4AA West
Lumberton, Glenn-Reagan 4AA West
S. Alamance, Glenn-Reagan 4AA West moves McDowell up to 4AA West moves East Forsyth to 4AA East
Probably will be upsets but interesting to look at
 
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