Doesn't
@Wrestleknownothing know something about which ranking is most accurate, or is that the other person who pops in only just before nationals?
Has
@Wrestleknownothing created a measure for outcome prediction accuracy and determined how bad they are in mid-December and monthly through mid-March?
There are some issues here. The ranking services claim these are not predictions and therefore any error in making predictions is intentional. Meh.
But let's say they are rankings/ratings then the only true way to measure them is based on next results. How do today's rankings predict each wrestler's next match?
That is why I only look at this at year end when I have intermat, wrestlestat, flo, coaches' poll, and seeds all lined up in a row that I can then compare to tournament results. Having larger sets to compare against each other (both predictions and outcomes) makes for better analysis.
As I like to say about all my numbers, they are all wrong but I am right on average.
I did look at this at the end of last season and if memory serves (it never serves at my age) I believe the coaches' poll was more accurate than the others. I will see if I can find that.