Revised Win Totals 7-5

Bigred_b1624

Freshman
Nov 20, 2018
786
63
28
Then just making the playoffs shouldn’t be enough. We need to win at least one playoff game or Rhule gets the ax!
I'm keeping my standards low. Literally just being above average gets us to 10-2. Our schedule is week again, like most years. It's sad how far our expectations have fallen.
 
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Harry Husker

Sophomore
Jul 7, 2025
155
191
43
It's hilarious to me that people would be ok with 8 wins. This is Nebraska, one of the top 8 programs in the history of college football. Anything short of a playoff appearance in year 3 should be termination. We fired coaches with better records and less resources.
And where did that get us?
 
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Shimmer003

All-Conference
Feb 25, 2005
10,027
2,631
96
I'm keeping my standards low. Literally just being above average gets us to 10-2. Our schedule is week again, like most years. It's sad how far our expectations have fallen.
It’s possible to have high long term expectations and be realistic about where we were and are. Being delusional does nothing but continue push us further into irrelevancy.
 

realHuskerDrew

All-Conference
Jun 12, 2001
13,138
3,690
81
As of today, I feel 6 wins. Was at 8 before the season but see that we still suck
Holgorsen was fvcking fools gold, he’s not even running the same offense as he did 5 years ago. Not sure why he’s running this ****
 
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Bigred_b1624

Freshman
Nov 20, 2018
786
63
28
It’s possible to have high long term expectations and be realistic about where we were and are. Being delusional does nothing but continue push us further into irrelevancy.
We've had low standards long enough. Time to stop being losers! 10-2 with a weak schedule shouldn't be unexpected. We've been way too easy on coaches over the last decade.
 

oldjar07

All-Conference
Oct 25, 2009
9,458
2,000
113
It's hilarious to me that people would be ok with 8 wins. This is Nebraska, one of the top 8 programs in the history of college football. Anything short of a playoff appearance in year 3 should be termination. We fired coaches with better records and less resources.
It's Nebraska Nice... State has turned into a bunch of pussies.
 

GeorgeFlippin

Heisman
May 29, 2001
38,547
35,527
113
When did the narrative start of DR not having arm talent? I find that to be an extremely hawt take. If you want to criticize DR fine, but arm talent is the dudes biggest strength.

The only Qb's with the overall arm talent comparable to DR is Vince Ferragamo and Turner Gill. (I almost put Tanner Lee on this list.)

Zac Taylor and Joe Ganz were really good, but their biggest strengths were not their arm talent.
Zac Taylor, while not having a cannon for an arm, put up monster numbers for the 26 games he started. His arm certainly was a huge strength, only surpassed by his toughness and leadership.
 
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Cruel Halo

All-Conference
Jun 27, 2003
6,551
1,636
97
I couldn't find the season prediction thread, so I'm re-posting here.

W - Cincinnati
W - Akron
W - Houston WTF
L - Michigan
W - Michigan St
W - Maryland
L - Minnesota
W - Northwestern
L - USC
L - UCLA
L - Penn St
L - Iowa
 
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Shimmer003

All-Conference
Feb 25, 2005
10,027
2,631
96
We've had low standards long enough. Time to stop being losers! 10-2 with a weak schedule shouldn't be unexpected. We've been way too easy on coaches over the last decade.
You’re absolutely right. Rather than put booster money into NIL to upgrade talent, let’s keep spending all that cash on coaching buy outs even if they’re showing an upward trajectory. Brilliant plan. You should replace Dannen with your unique and cutting edge insight.
 
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Trike Rider

All-Conference
Jan 6, 2009
7,474
1,039
113
Zac Taylor, while not having a cannon for an arm, put up monster numbers for the 26 games he started. His arm certainly was a huge strength, only surpassed by his toughness and leadership.
That is exactly my point. Raiola has a monster arm with incredible arm talent to go with the power. I would argue Raiola lacks the intangibles that mad Zac and Joe some of the best NU QBs since 2001. I dont see Raiola as a natural leader, it almost seems forced.
 

Cruel Halo

All-Conference
Jun 27, 2003
6,551
1,636
97
That is exactly my point. Raiola has a monster arm with incredible arm talent to go with the power. I would argue Raiola lacks the intangibles that mad Zac and Joe some of the best NU QBs since 2001. I dont see Raiola as a natural leader, it almost seems forced.
I would love to see what Raiola could do at LSU, Ohio St, Oergon, Clemson, Penn St ot Tennessee.
 
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Bigred_b1624

Freshman
Nov 20, 2018
786
63
28
You’re absolutely right. Rather than put booster money into NIL to upgrade talent, let’s keep spending all that cash on coaching buy outs even if they’re showing an upward trajectory. Brilliant plan. You should replace Dannen with your unique and cutting edge insight.
Yes, winning football games is somehow a controversial take. Being above average in year 3 at Nebraska isn't too much to ask. Being above average this season gets you in the playoffs. Why are your standards so low?
 

Kakdawg

Heisman
Sep 8, 2004
35,377
15,512
113
I predicted 7-5 or 8-4 during the offseason

I also told everyone here Cincy would give us all we could handle week 1

we looked about as expected, and I'm one who thinks that was a good win

the people chalking up Sparty as an auto-win should rethink that position - tough coach, tough team (opposite of us)
Outside of maybe the next 2 games we dont have any auto wins on the schedule. We have to improve a lot defensively for that to be the case. 17 points isn't a lot to give up. In fact I said 17-20 I would be happy with before the game. I think it's the way they got to 17 that bothers me. Offensively Cincy played like a BIG team. The way our DL couldn't get off blocks and our OL struggled scares me.


I was thinking 7-5 or 8-4 this year. If that's gonna be the case our offense is gonna have to make a jump. I had this game as a 31 to 17 type game. But I'll give Cincy credit they had a great game plan defensively. I also give them credit for how well they tackled in the secondary.

I think we will improve offensively and defensively as well. But if we can get off blocks on the DL better it will be a struggle all year. Outside of the mizzu transfer kid and Davis a time or two our guys got stuck too many times to Cincy OL.



Holla
 

poundth3rock

Junior
Jul 20, 2007
2,165
338
83
I was at 8-4 with a chance to win 9 before last night. My only change was switching Minnesota to a L after our

Cincinnati W
Akron W
HCU W
Michigan L
Michigan State W
Maryland W
Minnesota L
Northwestern W
USC L
UCLA W
Penn St L
Iowa L

7-5 with a potential to win 8 games. We desperately need to pull off a win against USC or UCLA.

Prior to season I had it broke down like this

1. Teams that were bad last (80 or lower in many models, cincy was in low 50's as comparison) year that I expect us to beat (Akron, HCU, Michigan State, Maryland and Northwester) 5-0

2. Competitive Teams (UCLA, Cincy)

3. Pretty Good teams (Iowa, Minnesota, USC)

4. Top 15 teams (PSU and Michigan)

I have us 6-0 with bad teams and Cincy win

I had us splitting Iowa, Minny, USC and UCLA and Losing to Penn State and Michigan and will stick with that for now.

Staying 8-4 for but watching MSU who may actually be competitive this year and for how Butler attempts to mature our run defense between now and Michigan week.
 
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Walleye 1

All-Conference
Mar 7, 2021
4,946
1,759
113
Outside of maybe the next 2 games we dont have any auto wins on the schedule. We have to improve a lot defensively for that to be the case. 17 points isn't a lot to give up. In fact I said 17-20 I would be happy with before the game. I think it's the way they got to 17 that bothers me. Offensively Cincy played like a BIG team. The way our DL couldn't get off blocks and our OL struggled scares me.


I was thinking 7-5 or 8-4 this year. If that's gonna be the case our offense is gonna have to make a jump. I had this game as a 31 to 17 type game. But I'll give Cincy credit they had a great game plan defensively. I also give them credit for how well they tackled in the secondary.

I think we will improve offensively and defensively as well. But if we can get off blocks on the DL better it will be a struggle all year. Outside of the mizzu transfer kid and Davis a time or two our guys got stuck too many times to Cincy OL.



Holla
I’m still sticking with 8 wins and reserve further judgement until the Michigan game. Yes both lines struggled at times. But at times the oline was getting a nice push against a decent dline. I may be in the minority but I think the oline will gel and get better with a few new additions. I hope Pritchet will get out of his own mind. My opinion the oline was at there best with him on the field.
 
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Shimmer003

All-Conference
Feb 25, 2005
10,027
2,631
96
Yes, winning football games is somehow a controversial take. Being above average in year 3 at Nebraska isn't too much to ask. Being above average this season gets you in the playoffs. Why are your standards so low?
Just because our timelines are different, doesn’t mean my standards are low. Why are you ignoring the nuance of the arguments people have with what you’re saying? It’s ridiculous to say “if you don’t agree with me, you have low standards”. That’s a false equivalency.
 

orclover11

Senior
Dec 1, 2014
1,140
807
113
A reality where Iowa State and K State are football programs we are trying to catch up to.
Not in terms of revenue and resources. NU spends more on sycophants and idiots than any other program in the country, evidenced by our constant irresponsible contracts and buyouts, with Rhule being the next in line. The program has become a siphon for donations and fan money to go to people who do not have talent or ability to win football games. This should be why fans are angry. We are a top program in revenue, fans are supportive to a fault, and spend to a fault, but the decision makers, who take millions to make the decisions put a bottom tier product on the field, often because of laziness or just pure incompetence. Eventually, if we ever get a moral person with a shred of character, work ethic, and competence, you will see this program explode and become a top program nationally. There is talent in the area, with weak competition, there is a huge alumni base, with people with money who still remember 95-97...a beautiful stadium, with a unique tradition. We just keep hiring literally the worst coaches, and pay them to retire.
 
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orclover11

Senior
Dec 1, 2014
1,140
807
113
Prior to season I had it broke down like this

1. Teams that were bad last (80 or lower in many models, cincy was in low 50's as comparison) year that I expect us to beat (Akron, HCU, Michigan State, Maryland and Northwester) 5-0

2. Competitive Teams (UCLA, Cincy)

3. Pretty Good teams (Iowa, Minnesota, USC)

4. Top 15 teams (PSU and Michigan)

I have us 6-0 with bad teams and Cincy win

I had us splitting Iowa, Minny, USC and UCLA and Losing to Penn State and Michigan and will stick with that for now.

Staying 8-4 for but watching MSU who may actually be competitive this year and for how Butler attempts to mature our run defense between now and Michigan week.
Cincy has lost 5 in a row, your whole theory rests on them being competitive, but they are bad...and we barely won with home field advantage. That puts Michigan state, Maryland, Northwestern as toss up games...we could easily go 2-1, 1-2. The Iowa, Minnesota, USC as losses along with PSU and Michigan. We had a potential playoff team last year with a very good to elite defense, but terrible coaching on offense and special teams...and so we barely made a bowl game. This team is worse although special teams might be better, offense isn't. Getting to another bowl should be expected but 5 wins could happen with just a few injuries.
 

Walleye 1

All-Conference
Mar 7, 2021
4,946
1,759
113
Cincy has lost 5 in a row, your whole theory rests on them being competitive, but they are bad...and we barely won with home field advantage. That puts Michigan state, Maryland, Northwestern as toss up games...we could easily go 2-1, 1-2. The Iowa, Minnesota, USC as losses along with PSU and Michigan. We had a potential playoff team last year with a very good to elite defense, but terrible coaching on offense and special teams...and so we barely made a bowl game. This team is worse although special teams might be better, offense isn't. Getting to another bowl should be expected but 5 wins could happen with just a few injuries.
You have become boring and repetitive. I guess you struggle with coming up with original thoughts. Keep babbling with your simple mind.
 

poundth3rock

Junior
Jul 20, 2007
2,165
338
83
You need higher standards. This is Nebraska.

Actually unrealistic standards are about the worst thing you can have.
Cincy has lost 5 in a row, your whole theory rests on them being competitive, but they are bad...and we barely won with home field advantage. That puts Michigan state, Maryland, Northwestern as toss up games...we could easily go 2-1, 1-2. The Iowa, Minnesota, USC as losses along with PSU and Michigan. We had a potential playoff team last year with a very good to elite defense, but terrible coaching on offense and special teams...and so we barely made a bowl game. This team is worse although special teams might be better, offense isn't. Getting to another bowl should be expected but 5 wins could happen with just a few injuries.
My theory is based on analytics models that say Cincy was about the 50th best team and that bottom half of Big12 is better than the Big Ten. People act like Big is good but after PSU, OSU, Michigan and Oregon it is not better if not worse than Big12.

Predictive Analytics Model 2024 end of season as follows. Basically the Big10 had 3-4 teams at top but our Bottom 3 teams were worse than any Big Ten team. Anyone looking at predictive models from last year to this year expected a competitive ball game with Cincinnati. They struggled last year but had 9 dudes on Phile Steeles top four All Big 12 (average team would have 4) including Corleone and that TE that were each on various all Big 12 teams and a returning starter at QB that is pretty decent player and a bad matchup the way we were scheming on defense. According to any predictive model I saw Cincy is expected to better opponent than Maryland, MSU and Northwestern as quite frankly, the bottom quarter of Big was hot garbage last year and all those teams have QB issues this year.

2024 ESPN Analytics

Nebraska 39

Cincinati - 51

Maryland - 69
MSU - 82
Northwester - 89
Purdue - 120

Predicting 7-8 wins with a win over Cincinnati and HCU, Akron, Maryland, MSU and Northwestern on schedule is not far fetched based on predictive analytics models. That is why models predicted 7.5 wins and a 1 score win over Cincy. Nothing has changed from Cincinnati game with run defense being a concern with all new starters on front 6 but offset a lot but what appears to be a complete overhaul of special teams (which not one is talking about)
 
Jun 21, 2001
2,090
435
83
My half glass full take (after Game 1): we have upgraded in some areas, about the same in some areas, and maybe a bit down in some areas. Ekeler and the ST likely to continue to improve. Holgerson, if you believe the hype, should be able to adjust the play calling as the season progresses and he has a better idea of our strengths against an opponent. Defense matches up well enough against most teams.

With the above in mind, we probably lose against PSU and Mich, although we could pull an upset. The other games are essentially a toss up. If everything falls our way (find a way to win instead of finding a way to lose), we could be 10-2. It is necessary for someone on offense, defense, and ST to make a play when it matters. Thursday night it happened.
 
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huskerj12

Heisman
Oct 3, 2007
16,203
11,889
113
Buncha battered wives in here
 

huskerj12

Heisman
Oct 3, 2007
16,203
11,889
113
That is exactly my point. Raiola has a monster arm with incredible arm talent to go with the power. I would argue Raiola lacks the intangibles that mad Zac and Joe some of the best NU QBs since 2001. I dont see Raiola as a natural leader, it almost seems forced.
I hate to talk crap because he definitely seems well-liked by the team and he's a total pro in front of the cameras and embraces all of those parts of the job, but similarly to Rhule's prowess in those areas, we're at the point where Nebraska Football the football team needs to take precedent over Nebraska Football the tv show/content machine.

I don't wanna only sound critical - he clearly has INCREDIBLE physical tools to become a "generational QB", he's clearly very smart and he has a great attitude, there's no doubt. I'm just looking forward to seeing him gain some old school scrappyness on the field and truly balling out and giving us some glimpses of his ceiling and what truly sets him apart and makes him a special QB, aside from making the easy passes look easy (which, I will note, is a very welcome quality at NU haha).

I’m excited to see him just let it rip and make some Wow Plays. I don’t feel like we’ve seen much of that yet in his first 14 games.
 
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Walleye 1

All-Conference
Mar 7, 2021
4,946
1,759
113
I hate to talk crap because he definitely seems well-liked by the team and he's a total pro in front of the cameras and embraces all of those parts of the job, but similarly to Rhule's prowess in those areas, we're at the point where Nebraska Football the football team needs to take precedent over Nebraska Football the tv show/content machine.

I don't wanna only sound critical - he clearly has INCREDIBLE physical tools to become a "generational QB", he's clearly very smart and he has a great attitude, there's no doubt. I'm just looking forward to seeing him gain some old school scrappyness on the field and truly balling out and giving us some glimpses of his ceiling.
He has shown his arm and showed scrappiness in last years bowl game. And certain posters on here decided they hated him for it. Husker fans can be there own worse enemy sometime
 
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huskerj12

Heisman
Oct 3, 2007
16,203
11,889
113
He has shown his arm and showed scrappiness in last years bowl game. And certain posters on here decided they hated him for it. Husker fans can be there own worse enemy sometime
Well I certainly have no hate for him at all, just looking forward to seeing the type of unique star power that can lift up a team! The pedigree and talent are there.
 

realHuskerDrew

All-Conference
Jun 12, 2001
13,138
3,690
81
After watching games Thursday, yesterday, and all day today… for the like 8th straight year it looks like we aren’t even playing the same sport as the top 25 teams.
So, I am hoping for 6 wins. I will be utterly shocked if we get to 8 wins.

I’ll come back to this post and eat crow if I am wrong, but I won’t be
 

WHCSC

All-Conference
Feb 4, 2002
10,785
3,598
88
After watching games Thursday, yesterday, and all day today… for the like 8th straight year it looks like we aren’t even playing the same sport as the top 25 teams.
So, I am hoping for 6 wins. I will be utterly shocked if we get to 8 wins.

I’ll come back to this post and eat crow if I am wrong, but I won’t be
Other teams always look better. It’s some weird bias because we know them better or something.
 
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konaki

All-Conference
Oct 18, 2002
11,599
2,946
113
I was at 8 or 9, and I'll stay there for now. Too early and hard to tell where things will go yet.
I think if you go over to huskermax and read Josh and Matts conversation about concerns about our DL it will shed some light on our DL, I know it did for me.
 
Jun 21, 2001
2,090
435
83
I hate to talk crap because he definitely seems well-liked by the team and he's a total pro in front of the cameras and embraces all of those parts of the job, but similarly to Rhule's prowess in those areas, we're at the point where Nebraska Football the football team needs to take precedent over Nebraska Football the tv show/content machine.

I don't wanna only sound critical - he clearly has INCREDIBLE physical tools to become a "generational QB", he's clearly very smart and he has a great attitude, there's no doubt. I'm just looking forward to seeing him gain some old school scrappyness on the field and truly balling out and giving us some glimpses of his ceiling and what truly sets him apart and makes him a special QB, aside from making the easy passes look easy (which, I will note, is a very welcome quality at NU haha).

I’m excited to see him just let it rip and make some Wow Plays. I don’t feel like we’ve seen much of that yet in his first 14 games.

i have seen it referenced several times. People are looking for “wow” plays from DR. I am curious what is considered a “wow” play from a QB (and a pocket QB at that).
 

VictoryRed

All-Conference
Sep 3, 2004
20,246
3,126
113
Cincinnati W
Akron W
HCU W
Michigan L
Michigan State W
Maryland W
Minnesota L
Northwestern W
USC L
UCLA W
Penn St L
Iowa L

7-5 with a potential to win 8 games. We desperately need to pull off a win against USC or UCLA.
I think 7 wins is all we can hope for. The defense will get worked by anyone with a running game and mobile QB.
 
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huskerj12

Heisman
Oct 3, 2007
16,203
11,889
113
i have seen it referenced several times. People are looking for “wow” plays from DR. I am curious what is considered a “wow” play from a QB (and a pocket QB at that).
I mean there’s not a specific definition obviously haha but ya know, big yardage plays that require an uncanny mix of vision, skill, guts, and intuition and leave you saying “HOW THE HELL DID HE DO THAT?”

Once those moments get in the mix more often we won’t necessarily NEED to rely on completing 80% of passes with such a low yardage per attempt. I mean come on he’s a freak athlete with incredible skills and our top recruit in like 30 years! Of course I’m excited to see him make more plays that look that way haha.
 
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NU65

All-American
Dec 9, 2005
53,212
8,576
113
Cincinnati W
Akron W
HCU W
Michigan L
Michigan State W
Maryland W
Minnesota L
Northwestern W
USC L
UCLA W
Penn St L
Iowa L

7-5 with a potential to win 8 games. We desperately need to pull off a win against USC or UCLA.We don't have a gimme game
We don't have a gimme game on the schedule and yes that includes to two upcoming. Nothing I saw Thursday would lead me to believe otherwise.