Relf was nothing more than a spot player before he took over in 2010....and EVERYTHING we have seen out of Dak is better than Relf at the same point in their careers.
To me it simply comes down to this:
Would we be better off having 40 plays of offense in the hands of Dak, Perkins, and JRob carrying the load running zone reads, counters, and option- with 20-25 passes to our our WR's who are largely untested
OR
Would we be better off with Tyler and the untested WR's throwing it 30-35 times per game- no threat of the QB running the ball-and then zone stretch runs and the counter with Perk and JRob- with Dak coming in on 3rd and short and goalline plays?
I think it's option 1 myself
Well said. Been tied up today, but I think 57 and 34 are on the money with this one.
In response to Bogey, it is nowhere close to "a classic case of just wanting the backup". If you would have read anything we said in this thread, you would realize that and never have made that statement.
Harbaugh was in the same situation as we will be in next season. He has a team with a decent/good passing QB with limited mobility, 1 decent WR(we actually have zero of these returning), 1 good TE, a great OLine, and a stable of RBs. We will have the same thing. So what did Harbaugh do? He decided to play to their strengths and go with the talented dual threat QB that had been solid off the bench.
The only difference in his situation and Mullen's, was that Mullen's dual threat guy (Dak) was far less experienced than his passing QB. So rather than feed the freshman to the wolves, he gave "going pass heavy" a shot. It led to 8 wins but not a great offense....so maybe now he should get back to what works.
The schedule is tough next year, we have no talent returning at WR, we have an experienced OLine returning, we have a stable of RB's returning, and we have an experienced dual threat guy returning at QB. Nothing about the above says "play the passing QB". At the very minimum there will be little difference in the win column expected from either...but the upside to Dak is better because of the OLine and RB's vs Russell's WR options. So would you rather go with Russell and basically know you've got 4-6 wins coming...not much higher can be expected with that schedule. OR do you go with a ground game that can potentially run clock, shorten games, and keep you in games against better competition because of the experience at the key positions? Dak may not make us "predict" more wins, but he gives our team a higher "potential" ceiling next year....Meaning, Daknand Tyler both beat the scrubs next year, but Dak gives us a better chance at the toss ups and expected losses, due to the style of play we would have to play, in my opinion.
Unless Chappelle and Corey Smith (who will be playing for Ohio State) are Corderelle Patterson and Justin Hunter....our offense can not possibly get better with Russell under center. Why? Because he will have no experience to throw to, and teams will stack the box and not have to fear Russell keeping it on the Option read.