US Drought

DFSNOLE_rivals

Heisman
Sep 25, 2002
4,100
10,895
113
The western panhandle has improved to the "abnormally dry" category in the latest drought monitor. Baby steps.
 

TC_Nole_OX

All-American
Mar 29, 2002
253,562
8,730
113
Orlando weather: Storms ahead occurring near the I-4 corridor



 
Last edited:

TC_Nole_OX

All-American
Mar 29, 2002
253,562
8,730
113
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore



⛈️ Big Bust Potential 🌵Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.

So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert 🐪 miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.

This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.

We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
 

DFSNOLE_rivals

Heisman
Sep 25, 2002
4,100
10,895
113
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore



⛈️ Big Bust Potential 🌵Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.

So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert 🐪 miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.

This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.

We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.

The Tampa Shield in effect early?
 
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Reactions: TC_Nole_OX

NDallasRuss

Heisman
Jun 2, 2025
2,456
10,381
113
Currently still at least two more weeks before we get any rain, or highs that don't hit 100+.

 
  • Sad
Reactions: jedhawk77
Jun 1, 2026
1,511
505
113
Getting fugan sick of the rain here in Iowa. Seems more like spring recently than the middle of August. Usually by now the grass is starting to turn brown but that sh*t’s going to be needing mowed for weeks to come. Just mowed Tuesday and need to mow again whenever it stops actually raining.
 
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Reactions: Outbackbowl2017
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