College Football Predictions: ESPN picks winners of every Top 25 game in Week 11

IMG_6598by:Nick Kosko11/08/23

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The latest college football predictions are in from ESPN’s FPI regarding every top 25 game in Week 11 of the regular season.

There are a few games that could go a long way in determining CFP rankings moving forward. Others are low key ranked games, but should be fun ones as well.

Let’s dive into the latest predictions for the top 25 ranked games in college football, per ESPN’s FPI metrics.

No. 9 Ole Miss vs. No. 2 Georgia

(Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports)

Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Georgia (-10.5)
FPI Prediction: Georgia – 69.8%

This is the game of the weekend because Lane Kiffin and the Rebels could totally screw everyone’s predictions up with an upset. Georgia is a big favorite for a reason, since the Bulldogs are at home. But this could be a weird game.

No. 3 Michigan vs. No. 10 Penn State

(Kirthmon F. Dozier / USA TODAY NETWORK)

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Michigan (-5)
FPI Prediction: Penn State – 50.9%

Michigan is the favorite in this one but Penn State is the slight pick to win this per the FPI metrics. This is about as close as it can get. This game will also eliminate Penn State from CFP contention with a loss or cause chaos in the Big Ten.

Miami vs. No. 4 Florida State

(Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports)

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Florida State (-14)
FPI Prediction: Florida State – 85%

The Seminoles want to keep the undefeated season going here and are the big favorites to do so. Miami is 6-3, but not exactly the ACC dark horse like some thought. Although the Hurricanes could certainly throw a wrench in the ACC with an upset.

No. 18 Utah vs. No. 5 Washington

(Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports)

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Washington (-9.5)
FPI Prediction: Washington – 69.1%

This is an interesting matchup. Can Washington avoid a let down after a shootout win over USC? Utah is as physical as it gets and could get the offense rolling against a shaky defense. This could be a sneaky close game.

No. 8 Alabama vs. Kentucky

(Mickey Welsh/The Montgomery Advertiser via USA TODAY Sports)

Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (ESPN
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)
FPI Prediction: Alabama – 85.8%

The Crimson Tide are hot right now and a big favorite on the road against Kentucky. The Wildcats had a 5-0 start to the year but are 1-3 since. They’ll need a huge performance to pull this one off.

No. 13 Tennessee vs. No 14 Missouri

(Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports)

Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
Spread: Tennessee (-1)
FPI Prediction: Tennessee – 60.6%

This is about as close as it gets in the SEC. Tennessee is the favorite going into this one despite being on the road. Maybe Missouri peaked and then ran into a wall against Georgia. But this is a pick ‘em. Don’t rule out Eli Drinkwitz’s squad.

Rest of Top 25 games:

Michigan State vs. No. 1 Ohio State
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC)
Spread: Ohio State (-31.5)
FPI Prediction: Ohio State – 97.9%

USC vs. No. 6 Oregon
Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Oregon (-15)
FPI Prediction: Oregon – 83.3%

No. 7 Texas vs. TCU
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Texas (-10)
FPI Prediction: Texas – 77.2%

Virginia vs. No. 11 Louisville
Kickoff: THURSDAY – 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN
Spread: Louisville (-20)
FPI Prediction: Louisville – 92.1%

Stanford vs. No. 12 Oregon State
Kickoff: 5:30 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network)
Spread: Oregon State (-21)
FPI Prediction: Oregon State – 94.4%

No. 15 Oklahoma State vs. UCF
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Oklahoma State (-3)
FPI Prediction: UCF – 51.8%

Texas Tech vs. No. 16 Kansas
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (Fox Sports 1)
Spread: Kansas (-4)
FPI Prediction: Kansas – 54.8%

West Virginia vs. No. 17 Oklahoma
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: Oklahoma (-13)
FPI Prediction: Oklahoma – 88.9%

Florida vs. No. 19 LSU
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (SEC Network)
Spread: LSU (-13.5)
FPI Prediction: LSU – 87.4%

No. 21 Arizona vs. Colorado
Kickoff: 2:00 p.m. ET (Pac-12 Network)
Spread: Arizona (-10.5)
FPI Prediction: Arizona – 70.3%

Rutgers vs. No. 22 Iowa
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network)
Spread: Iowa (-1.5)
FPI Prediction: Iowa – 62%

Tulsa vs. No. 23 Tulane
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (ESPN2)
Spread: Tulane (-23)
FPI Prediction: Tulane – 92.6%

Duke vs. No. 24 North Carolina
Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET (ACC Network)
Spread: North Carolina (-14.5)
FPI Prediction: North Carolina – 62.8%

Baylor vs. No. 25 Kansas State
Kickoff: 3:00 p.m. ET (Big 12 Network/ESPN+)
Spread: Kansas State (-20.5)
FPI Prediction: Kansas State – 95.4%

Now that the predictions are in, get ready for Week 11 of college football. Since we’re coming down to the wire, it’s about to get wild in terms of the CFP and conference title races.