ESPN releases updated 2024 March Madness Bracketology following transfer portal moves

Austin Brezina05/23/23
Photo by Alika Jenner/Getty Images

With the NCAA Transfer Portal changing the landscape of college basketball, ESPN has released its updated 2024 March Madness Bracketology. Joe Lunardi shared his latest thoughts on who would play in what seed, with a few major changes to the bracket this time around. The biggest change of this iteration — listing Kansas as the new No. 1 overall seed of the tournament.

Additionally, Lunardi now lists St. John’s as the first team out now, while Boise State remains the last team in. Another mover on the list of bubble teams was Auburn, who he now lists as one of his Last Four Byes.

“For all the attention paid to big-name transfers such as Hunter Dickinson and Max Abmas, the truth is that their new schools — Kansas and Texas, respectively — were already NCAA tournament locks for 2024,” explained Lunardi. “To see the real impact of player movement, we have to dig deeper. Namely, we need to focus on bubble teams, for which a single offseason decision can mean the difference between the Big Dance and the NIT.

“In this update, a pair of surprises — 6-foot-11 Tolu Smith pulling out of the NBA draft and returning to Mississippi State, preceded by Rutgers’ leading scorer Cam Spencer making a late portal entry — are enough to massively change the fortunes of two schools. Suddenly, the Bulldogs are off the bubble as a projected 10-seed, while the Scarlet Knights sink to the dreaded “First Four Out” list. It is indeed a whole new world.”

2024 Bracketology: Last four in/First four out

Last Four Byes: AuburnFloridaProvidenceVirginia

Last Four In: IllinoisOhio StateMemphisBoise State

First Four Out: St. John’sRutgers, Texas Tech, Kansas State

Next Four Out: New MexicoIowaOklahoma State, Stanford

2024 Bracketology: East Region (Boston)

No. 1 Duke vs. No. 16 Texas Southern/Howard

No. 8 Indiana vs. No. 9 Iowa State

No. 5 USC vs. No. 12 Charleston

No. 4 Arkansas vs. No. 13 Drake

No. 6 Maryland vs. No. 11 Florida

No. 3 Texas vs. No. 14 Long Beach St.

No. 7 UCLA vs. No. 10 Auburn

No. 2 UConn vs. No. 15 Wright St.

West Region (Los Angeles)

No. 1 Marquette vs. No. 16 Colgate

No. 8  Northwestern vs. No. 9 Clemson

No. 5 Kentucky vs. No. 12 Grand Canyon

No. 4 Arizona vs. No. 13 Furman

No. 6 Wisconsin vs. No. 11 Duquesne

No. 3 Houston vs. No. 14 McNeese State

No. 7 Xavier vs. No. 10 Virginia

No. 2 Alabama vs. No. 15 Weber St.

Midwest Region (Detroit)

No. 1 Michigan State vs. No. 16 Morehead St./Wagner

No. 8 TCU vs. No. 9 Oregon 

No. 5 North Carolina vs. No. 12 Yale

No. 4 Florida Atlantic vs. No. 13 James Madison

No. 6 Villanova vs. No. 11 Illinois/Memphis

No. 3 Gonzaga vs. No. 14 Kent State

No. 7 Baylor vs. No. 10 Providence

No. 2 Tennessee vs. No. 15 Radford

South Region (Dallas)

No. 1 Kansas vs. No. 16 South Dakota State

No. 8 Miami vs. No. 9 Colorado

No. 5 San Diego St. vs. No. 12 Liberty

No. 4 Texas A&M vs. No. 13 E. Kentucky

No. 6 Saint Mary’s vs. No. 11 Ohio State/Boise St.

No. 3 Creighton vs. No. 14 Vermont

No. 7 West Virginia vs. No. 10 Mississippi State

No. 2 Purdue vs. No. 15 Iona