College Football Odds: Ranking the SEC with Las Vegas 2024 win totals from top to bottom

On3 imageby:Thomas Goldkamp02/10/24
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With the dust settled from national signing day and rosters considerably more clear now than a month ago, oddsmakers have released the team win totals for the 2024 season for each of the SEC teams.

That includes Oklahoma and Texas, which will join the league in 2024. And Texas is projected to be near the top of the league, tying Georgia for the highest over/under win total.

Let’s take a look at how the SEC stacks up in terms of win totals from the oddsmakers at FanDuel.

Georgia Bulldogs – 10.5

Carson Beck Georgia Bulldogs
Tony Walsh / UGA Sports Communications

Coming off a tremendous season that came up just short of a College Football Playoff appearance, Georgia will once again be one of the favorites to win the SEC in 2024. The return of quarterback Carson Beck is a huge part of that.

Georgia also used the transfer portal more than normal this cycle, using it to land a handful of instant-impact players, including a couple in the pass-catching ranks. Beck will have all the tools he needs, and the Bulldogs could be on a revenge tour in 2024.

Texas Longhorns – 10.5

Steve Sarkisian
Steve Sarkisian (Will Gallagher/Inside Texas)

Texas loudly declared itself back in the 2023 campaign, reaching the College Football Playoff for the first time after a terrific year. The Longhorns proved they could hang with best of the best in the SEC, beating Alabama in Tuscaloosa.

Now they’ll get to try to do it with a full SEC slate, one that will include some juicy matchups. To top the over of 10.5, Texas will have to find a way to take on Michigan, Oklahoma, Georgia and Texas A&M and lose only once.

Alabama Crimson Tide – 9.5

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John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Alabama shocked the world by losing early and then still making the College Football Playoff, courtesy of an SEC title game win over Georgia. Like Georgia, Alabama has quarterback Jalen Milroe returning and has added some pieces around him.

The biggest question for the Crimson Tide, of course, will be how they handle the departure of Nick Saban. Kalen DeBoer has won everywhere he’s been. Will that continue in the ultra-competitive SEC, enough to hit the 9.5 win total?

LSU Tigers – 9.5

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Matthew Dobbins-USA TODAY Sports

LSU had the luxury of a Heisman Trophy quarterback or it might not have had nearly the success that it did in 2023, because the defense was a disaster for a second year running. But the program still managed to scratch out 10 wins.

Now the real question is whether the recruiting that coach Brian Kelly has done to date will start paying dividends as guys get more time in the program. Vegas likes the odds that LSU will remain around that 10-win mark again.

Missouri Tigers – 9.5

Missouri HC Eli Drinkwitz
(Denny Medley | USA TODAY Sports)

There may not be a Power 5 schedule in the country as navigable as Missouri’s, which features a non-conference slate of Murray State, Buffalo, Boston College and UMass. Even the SEC portion is very favorable, with Alabama and Oklahoma the top threats.

Given what Eli Drinkwitz has done in recruiting and in the transfer portal, the Tigers could be a surprise contender for the SEC title next fall. Ten wins is certainly doable.

Ole Miss Rebels – 9.5

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(Petre Thomas | USA TODAY Sports)

Few teams were as active pulling in quality Power Five players through the transfer portal as Ole Miss, which added a handful of studs, especially defensively. And Ole Miss was already a quality 11-win squad in 2023.

The big loss, of course, was the departure of running back Quinshon Judkins via the transfer portal. Still, quarterback Jaxson Dart is back with a handful of elite weapons around him. The Rebels will be dangerous.

Tennessee Volunteers – 8.5

Nico Iamaleava
(Morgan Tencza-USA TODAY Sports)

Tennessee loses starting quarterback Joe Milton but could conceivably get better with former prized recruit Nico Iamaleava taking over. The schedule is pretty brutal, though the non-conference doesn’t look like much to worry about.

The Volunteers will face Alabama, Georgia and Oklahoma, as well as traditionally pesky Florida. The rest of the schedule includes winnable games throughout, but Tennessee will have to prove it can win consistently.

Texas A&M Aggies – 8.5

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Daniel Dunn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The sheer talent level at Texas A&M is likely the reason the over/under win total is listed where it is, despite the fact that the Aggies have not topped seven wins in either of the last two years. Talent can do a whole lot, though, and the Aggies have been stacking it.

The real key will be how quickly new coach Mike Elko can establish his culture and get players to buy in. Because that — as well as injuries — has been one of the chief problems for Texas A&M the last couple years.

Auburn Tigers – 7.5

Auburn HC Hugh Freeze
Matt Rudolph | Auburn Live

The Tigers went just 6-7 in Hugh Freeze‘s first season in charge, but things appear to be looking up for the program. Freeze has recruited remarkably well and also added some talent via the transfer portal.

The schedule is tricky, including a stretch with three straight road games against Georgia, Missouri and Kentucky. Alabama and Oklahoma also appear on the schedule, so Auburn will have its work cut out for it hitting the over.

Oklahoma Sooners – 7.5

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NATHAN J. FISH/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Sooners suffered a significant blow when quarterback Dillon Gabriel opted to hit the transfer portal and finish his career elsewhere. That will challenge coach Brent Venables as he heads into his third season in charge with the Sooners.

The schedule is very difficult. Oklahoma faces Tennessee, Texas, Ole Miss, Alabama and LSU. That right there will make it a challenge to hit the over/under win totals figure, though it’s definitely doable.

Remaining Over/Under Win Totals

Kentucky Wildcats – 6.5
Arkansas Razorbacks – 5.5
Florida Gators – 5.5
South Carolina Gamecocks – 5.5
Mississippi State Bulldogs – 4.5
Vanderbilt Commodores – 2.5

Kentucky leads the way among the remaining SEC teams at 6.5 wins. A trio of coaches who are on the hot seat will need to show some progress and probably hit the over on their win totals, at a minimum, to feel safe going into 2025. That’s Sam Pittman, Billy Napier and Shane Beamer with their respective squads. Vanderbilt brings up the rear with a 2.5 over/under win total.