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Stats Breakdown: What some advanced data says about the 12 teams in the College Football Playoff

Joe Cookby:Joe Cook•12/10/24•

josephcook89

College Football Playoff Trophy
Adam Cairns | USA TODAY Sports

There will be time to assess how the stats view Texas vs. Clemson next week as all parties involved prep for the game, but the current time allows for an opportunity to see what advanced data like SP+, FEI, FPI, and other metrics think of all 12 teams that made the College Football Playoff.

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SP+

Overall SP+

1 Ohio State
2 Oregon
4 Texas
6 Georgia
7 Notre Dame
8 Tennessee
9 Penn State
10 Indiana
12 SMU
17 Clemson
22 Boise State
30 Arizona State

Offensive SP+

2 Oregon
4 SMU
5 Notre Dame
6 Georgia
8 Texas
9 Ohio State
11 Penn State
12 Boise State
13 Indiana
16 Clemson
18 Tennessee
35 Arizona State

Defensive SP+

1 Ohio State
2 Texas
3 Tennessee
5 Notre Dame
7 Penn State
8 Oregon
10 Indiana
11 Georgia
22 Clemson
26 SMU
27 Arizona State
46 Boise State

Special Teams SP+

7 Georgia
11 Indiana
19 Tennessee
21 Oregon
52 SMU
58 Ohio State
70 Penn State
99 Clemson
74 Boise State
101 Notre Dame
115 Texas
131 Arizona State

FEI

Overall FEI

1 Ohio State
2 Oregon
3 Notre Dame
4 Texas
6 Penn State
7 Indiana
8 Georgia
10 Tennessee
13 SMU
15 Arizona State
16 Clemson
22 Boise State

Offensive FEI

1 Oregon
3 Indiana
4 Ohio State
5 Penn State
7 Arizona State
8 Georgia
9 Notre Dame
12 Clemson
13 Boise State
19 Texas
24 SMU
35 Tennessee

Defensive FEI

1 Texas
2 Notre Dame
3 Ohio State
4 Tennessee
10 SMU
12 Penn State
13 Georgia
15 Oregon
19 Indiana
23 Clemson
30 Boise State
34 Arizona State

Special Teams FEI

9 Tennessee
17 Ohio State
18 SMU
25 Georgia
30 Oregon
33 Texas
59 Indiana
65 Notre Dame
76 Arizona State
85 Penn State
88 Clemson
106 Boise State

ESPN FPI

1 Texas
2 Notre Dame
3 Ohio State
5 Georgia
6 Oregon
7 Tennessee
9 Penn State
10 Indiana
13 SMU
15 Clemson
22 Arizona State
25 Boise State

FPI’s Best Chances to Win the National Championship

Texas – 23.9%
Notre Dame – 15.9%
Georgia – 15.8%
Ohio State – 11.8%
Oregon – 9.9%
Penn State – 8.7%
Tennessee – 3.6%
Indiana – 2.9%
SMU – 2.5%
Arizona State – 1.8%
Boise State – 1.8%
Clemson – 1.5%

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Odds to win the national championship

Texas +360
Oregon +360
Georgia +480
Ohio State +500
Penn State +550
Notre Dame +850
Tennessee +2500
SMU +4000
Indiana +4000
Arizona State +6000
Clemson +6000
Boise State +6000

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