I think that is an incomplete statement and a stretch. Shak, was the more dynamic points scorer hands down, but was also a bit injury prone and came up a bit lacking against more solid, strong and powerful competition. I have my doubts that Shak would have beat Moore and help earn us the victory over tOSU in the dual of the century.
It's pretty clear that we didn't fully know what we had in Cassar at the time. He showed flashes, but came up short of Shak in head to head and what we heard of wrestleoffs. Room familiarity is definitely something very difficult to wrap your arms around. Is anyone today saying that Desmond is really the superior wrestler to Lilledahl?
Moore was #1 in the country when Cassar took him out. Sure a 197 lb Cassar may not have been the same nimble, powerful, gorilla strong beast he was at 230, but he was pretty close. There is no doubt in my mind with the benefit of retrospect that Cassar would have AAed and might he been able to shock the world in the way he did the following year? Certainly, maybe.
He beat Gable, twice to prove it was no fluke. I am glad it worked out the way it did, since winning that dual without Nolf was one for the ages, and beating Gable and going on to win the NC for Cassar at heavy was legendary.
Most likely, if Cassar won the 197 slot, he would not have bulked up to heavy that next year, Gable wins another title easily, ends up undefeated, and probably doesn't even come back later in life to lose once again. Flo would forever be touting him as greater than Cael.
Many dominoes in this chain, much like something so innocuous as a singlet pull for Zahid vs Brooks. Had that not happened just maybe DT is still at M2 and the NLWC.
I don't have the confidence in ' he would have lost' that you do.