A few weeks ago after UF debacle

Perd Hapley

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
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I posted that we only had a 25% chance of finishing 4-8, based on ESPN analytics and future matchup predictors.

Some thought it was faulty, but here we are now and its 0% chance.

So what do the same predictive models say now? Here are the % chances of each possible final record:

5-7: 43.6% chance
6-6: 41.8% chance
7-5: 13.2% chance
8-4: 1.4% chance

Overall, chances of finishing 6-6 or better currently sit at 56.4%.
 

paindonthurt

All-Conference
Apr 7, 2025
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I posted that we only had a 25% chance of finishing 4-8, based on ESPN analytics and future matchup predictors.

Some thought it was faulty, but here we are now and its 0% chance.

So what do the same predictive models say now? Here are the % chances of each possible final record:

5-7: 43.6% chance
6-6: 41.8% chance
7-5: 13.2% chance
8-4: 1.4% chance

Overall, chances of finishing 6-6 or better currently sit at 56.4%.
Don’t get us acting emotional in the opposite direction!
 

UpTheMiddlex3Punt

All-Conference
May 28, 2007
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Jim Carrey Chance GIF
 

She Mate Me

All-American
Dec 7, 2008
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I posted that we only had a 25% chance of finishing 4-8, based on ESPN analytics and future matchup predictors.

Some thought it was faulty, but here we are now and its 0% chance.

So what do the same predictive models say now? Here are the % chances of each possible final record:

5-7: 43.6% chance
6-6: 41.8% chance
7-5: 13.2% chance
8-4: 1.4% chance

Overall, chances of finishing 6-6 or better currently sit at 56.4%.

I posted some similar analytics from Massey when we were 4-0. I think at the time the odds we would not win another game (even though we would clearly be underdogs in them all) was under 10%.

The odds we would win 6 or more were about 67% then if I recall correctly.
 

Perd Hapley

All-American
Sep 30, 2022
5,044
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Who gives a shlt about a bowl anyway? I'd rather us turn it down and spend our time crootin for next year. We're going to need it with all we are losing.
I don’t really care about the actual bowl as much as I do about simply being bowl eligible, if that makes sense. I haven’t cared about actual bowl games in years, actually.

But I think from 2-10 to 6-6 is a really solid step forward, and that’s not up for debate. I think this is true even though the SEC in general is a lot weaker than folks thought it was preseason.
 
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