OT: Interesting graphic on the economy

horshack.sixpack

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Noteworthy, but these metrics, CA and NY, responsible for 22% of our national GDP are "treading water". For those who have a penchant for arguing such things, I'm not sure if they rounded to the 20th or 100th decimal place.*** I am sure they applied the same metrics to all states so the comparative nature holds water. Also, there is a source note if you want to read the Moody's original.

1765984020484.png
 

GloryDawg

Heisman
Mar 3, 2005
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I noticed you left off Texas and Florida. Which Texas is number two and NY is number 3 followed by Florida. But considering 67% of our GDP is Personal Consumption it stands to reason the four populus states would be the highest. I think you posted this just to start a argument and I am a fool for adding to it. Technically it more ******** from someone who thinks they are an expert who will be wrong and never come out and admit it.
 

Drebin

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Aug 22, 2012
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Noteworthy, but these metrics, CA and NY, responsible for 22% of our national GDP are "treading water". For those who have a penchant for arguing such things, I'm not sure if they rounded to the 20th or 100th decimal place.*** I am sure they applied the same metrics to all states so the comparative nature holds water. Also, there is a source note if you want to read the Moody's original.

View attachment 1078839
Reel It In Jay Buhner GIF by Northwest Motorsport
 
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johnson86-1

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Noteworthy, but these metrics, CA and NY, responsible for 22% of our national GDP are "treading water". For those who have a penchant for arguing such things, I'm not sure if they rounded to the 20th or 100th decimal place.*** I am sure they applied the same metrics to all states so the comparative nature holds water. Also, there is a source note if you want to read the Moody's original.

View attachment 1078839
I'd be curious as to whether there's ever a time where you can't make a map that looks like this. I'm guessing there have been times that CA and NY would show up as green by these metrics and MS, AR, and AL still show as red. And probably less often, occasions when California or NY are red and those states are still treading water.

Also, I suspect in most states, you could pretty easily subdivide further. I'm sure TX and CA have regions that may not be doing as poorly as the MS Delta, but are still struggling as much or more than other regions in Mississippi.

Also, haven't found the actual source, but have found some other sources reporting on it, and he makes a lot of comments about people making between $25k to $35k feeling worse than in the past. Well no ****. We're in an inflationary environment and still spending and borrowing a **** ton of money at the federal level, and you are essentially moving down the income range if you're looking at a fixed bracket even from six months ago. Gas and supposedly rents are coming down, so maybe you'll start to see a reversal in that as those income ranges are probably hit the hardest by gas, rent, and food, but there's a reason inflation has been historically seen as worse than a recession. All the people that voted for the covid shutdowns and COVID spending should have their personal wealth confiscated.

ETA: Not sure it's the actual source, but here is a slide deck that I think is from Mood's discussing the source. https://ncreif.org/__static/jdj5jdewjdvored6mvv4vxjea09htk5n/NCREIF-Zandi-October-2025.pdf

Some interesting slides on immigration and federal debt.
 
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DoggieDaddy13

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But considering 67% of our GDP is Personal Consumption it stands to reason the four populus states would be the highest.
This is the answer - nobody's arguing ... yet. But we are hemorrhaging talent and labor in this state, folks that might earn enough of an income to consume goods and pay taxes (if you believe in that sort of thing).

Hopefully these data centers and potential ancillary businesses will help with creating more job opportunities.
 

dorndawg

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This is the answer - nobody's arguing ... yet. But we are hemorrhaging talent and labor in this state, folks that might earn enough of an income to consume goods and pay taxes (if you believe in that sort of thing).

Hopefully these data centers and potential ancillary businesses will help with creating more job opportunities.
I believe I read the six billion Dollar data center in Brandon will create a whole 60 jobs
 

johnson86-1

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Different states' economies are of course diffuse, but it does challenge the mind to come up with a set of circumstances in which Louisiana and Alabama expand their economies but Mississippi and Georgia enter a recession.
Yea, pretty easy to see the oil and gas having LA diverge from MS, AL, and GA (although I would assume with oil prices that would be downward pressure on LA's economy right now? Or is LA oil and gas cheap enough to produce that they don't lose production? Or does the cheap oil make the chemical manufacuring boom enough to offset it?), but you'd think they'd generally be tied closer together.
 
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The Peeper

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So what industries in Mississippi are going into recession?

Farming is hurting badly in MS, tariffs are limiting sales, high equipment prices, high chemical and seed prices, low wages for workers. The tariffs are hurting multiple industries from higher prices to layoffs.

Others w/ some degree of pain are MS oil companies from low pump prices, small towns hurting because of brain drain and graduates leaving, PACCAR Engine Plant in Columbus layed off workers in July and gave them a 12 month call back time after that they need to find something else to do, federal workers given furloughs or jobs eliminated.
 
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BoDawg.sixpack

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It's unfortunate so many of our graduates are trying to leave the state. The best I can tell it's close to an all-time record high but that's anecdotal admittedly.
 
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Dawgg

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I believe I read the six billion Dollar data center in Brandon will create a whole 60 jobs
All of these Meta data center commercials (“I want my kids to live and work in Altoona”) make me cringe. Yeah, there will be some infrastructure jobs to build the thing and the roads that lead to it, then some basic maintenance jobs, but implying there are going to be abundant and sustained good paying jobs is criminally misrepresenting what will happen. That being weighed with skyrocketing power and water costs just doesn’t sit well with me.

Also, yes, I know… ad valorem taxes… I still think these data centers will be a net negative to the states and communities where they’re placed. In Texas, we’re already seeing warnings from ERCOT that these data centers are putting a strain on our power grid (which famously and fatally failed just a few winters ago).
 

GloryDawg

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This is the answer - nobody's arguing ... yet. But we are hemorrhaging talent and labor in this state, folks that might earn enough of an income to consume goods and pay taxes (if you believe in that sort of thing).

Hopefully these data centers and potential ancillary businesses will help with creating more job opportunities.
Not adding in 2025 Mississippi GDP has grown 2% over the past five years and in 23 and 24 it grew 6.7%. Four of those years saw the highest inflation in 40 years. On the flip side SS has increased by the same amount of inflation during that time. Sad to say our state had 19% living below the poverty rate. With the lowering of gas prices their spending power will increase. As long as gas prices keeps going down, I don't see a recession in Miss. Just saying I don't believe anything anymore. It has to happen for me to beleive it will happen.
 
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Dawgg

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It's unfortunate so many of our graduates are trying to leave the state. The best I can tell it's close to an all-time record high but that's anecdotal admittedly.
I’ve looked into moving back many times. The biggest problem is “where are we gonna work”?

I work in web analytics. Positions like mine generally occur in a corporate environment or some kind of web consulting firm. I don’t know where I would find that in Mississippi and if I did, I would be hesitant to relocate because I don’t know that I would have a backup plan if I ever got laid off. I don’t really have that problem in the DFW area (at least not yet).

The next option would be remote work, but I know some companies block certain states from remote work because of the cost of having employees in that state. Mississippi has been absent the list of “acceptable locations” on quite a few remote jobs that I’ve looked into.

Also, it’s not just college graduates. The population decline in Mississippi is too large to place it all on college graduates.
 
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BoDawg.sixpack

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I’ve looked into moving back many times. The biggest problem is “where are we gonna work”?

I work in web analytics. Positions like mine generally occur in a corporate environment or some kind of web consulting firm. I don’t know where I would find that in Mississippi and if I did, I would be hesitant to relocate because I don’t know that I would have a backup plan if I ever got laid off. I don’t really have that problem in the DFW area (at least not yet).

The next option would be remote work, but I know some companies block certain states from remote work because of the cost of having employees in that state. Mississippi has been absent the list of “acceptable locations” on quite a few remote jobs that I’ve looked into.

Also, it’s not just college graduates. The population decline in Mississippi is too large to place it all on college graduates.
The best thing Mississippi has going for it right now is the real estate price differential. You can sell a home in Colorado or Florida and move to Mississippi and bank enough profit to set yourself up with interest payments if you invest it properly. You just have to make sure that in your future you don't see yourself moving back to another state that has high housing prices. For most that's a hard no.
 

horshack.sixpack

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Different states' economies are of course diffuse, but it does challenge the mind to come up with a set of circumstances in which Louisiana and Alabama expand their economies but Mississippi and Georgia enter a recession.
Thought LA was odd as well, particularly considering all the new large investments we are seeing recently. Perhaps those aren't accounted for yet, or have not had time to produce measurable impact. Alabama has Huntsville which is growing at a rate that is fast enough to swing the entire state's metrics. I've long said that Huntsville is the only difference in MS/AL. Otherwise, they are basically the same state.
 
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horshack.sixpack

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I noticed you left off Texas and Florida. Which Texas is number two and NY is number 3 followed by Florida. But considering 67% of our GDP is Personal Consumption it stands to reason the four populus states would be the highest. I think you posted this just to start a argument and I am a fool for adding to it. Technically it more ******** from someone who thinks they are an expert who will be wrong and never come out and admit it.
I didn't leave them off. They are clearly growing. I just pointed out that 22% of our GDP is "at risk" according to the Moody's guys. That doesn't mean they are right. It's just interesting.
 
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dorndawg

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The next option would be remote work, but I know some companies block certain states from remote work because of the cost of having employees in that state. Mississippi has been absent the list of “acceptable locations” on quite a few remote jobs that I’ve looked into.
What's the deal with this? Slow internet, bad airport access, and healthcare come to mind. I would've guessed companies would jump at being able to peg COL to states like Mississippi
 

horshack.sixpack

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It's unfortunate so many of our graduates are trying to leave the state. The best I can tell it's close to an all-time record high but that's anecdotal admittedly.
If it were not for family, I would still be working in Huntsville, or likely some other tech hub. Ironically, I'm all but certain that I would be making less money now.
 

horshack.sixpack

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Not adding in 2025 Mississippi GDP has grown 2% over the past five years and in 23 and 24 it grew 6.7%. Four of those years saw the highest inflation in 40 years. On the flip side SS has increased by the same amount of inflation during that time. Sad to say our state had 19% living below the poverty rate. With the lowering of gas prices their spending power will increase. As long as gas prices keeps going down, I don't see a recession in Miss. Just saying I don't believe anything anymore. It has to happen for me to beleive it will happen.
If I bought doomsday seeds every time an economist predicted tragedy, I'd have to build a grain silo.
 

horshack.sixpack

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What's the deal with this? Slow internet, bad airport access, and healthcare come to mind. I would've guessed companies would jump at being able to peg COL to states like Mississippi
Years ago, I was denied the opportunity to move to MS with a job that required a lot of air travel because of the cost of flying out of JAN. I know plenty of people who do it, and I've never heard of anyone else having that experience.
 
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Villagedawg

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The next option would be remote work, but I know some companies block certain states from remote work because of the cost of having employees in that state.
Interesting. Can you elaborate on what you mean by the increased cost of having someone live in say Mississippi? Curious about what the costs are.
 

mstateglfr

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All of these Meta data center commercials (“I want my kids to live and work in Altoona”) make me cringe. Yeah, there will be some infrastructure jobs to build the thing and the roads that lead to it, then some basic maintenance jobs, but implying there are going to be abundant and sustained good paying jobs is criminally misrepresenting what will happen. That being weighed with skyrocketing power and water costs just doesn’t sit well with me.

Also, yes, I know… ad valorem taxes… I still think these data centers will be a net negative to the states and communities where they’re placed. In Texas, we’re already seeing warnings from ERCOT that these data centers are putting a strain on our power grid (which famously and fatally failed just a few winters ago).
What now? Altoona where?...like Altoona Iowa where there actually is a Meta data center? Is that really well known?

Holyshit, I didnt realize their Altoona campus was well known, or featured on commercials that apparently air nationally.
Yeah- Altoona is a safe place to live and all, but its hardly appealing in almost any other way. And the number of jobs there are very few. I know 2 people that work there- it is exactly what every datacenter should be- a very limited crew and high automation.

Mindblow that someone happens to know Meta has an Altoona datacenter.
 
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johnson86-1

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Doomsday never comes in America. We've gotten so comfortable we've lost sight of what real human tragedy feels like. This isn't a complaint just an observation.
Mostly true. That was partly why we made COVID so much worse than it should have been. The idea that there was a tragedy and all we could do was mitigate it the best we can just was unfathomable to people, so you had them destroy a bunch of lives and unnecessarily hammer our economy to make people feel like they had some control.
 
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615dawg

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The main issue in this state continues to be brain drain.

The legislature needs to consider a plan to entice our college graduates in all fields (not just education and nursing) to stay in the state, since there are no attractive city options.
 

johnson86-1

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Interesting. Can you elaborate on what you mean by the increased cost of having someone live in say Mississippi? Curious about what the costs are.
I'm guessing in Mississipp it's not a cost issue but an access issue. Depending on whether you're living close to MEM, JAN, GPT, or MSY, lots of the places where full time remote work is acceptable are not easy to get to. Not sure if this is common, but I have talked to a couple of remote workers that had to live something like within an hour of an airport with a direct flight to their headquarters. They don't want to lose basically two days of work everytime somebody needs to travel for an in person meeting.
 

Darryl Steight

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All of these Meta data center commercials (“I want my kids to live and work in Altoona”) make me cringe. Yeah, there will be some infrastructure jobs to build the thing and the roads that lead to it, then some basic maintenance jobs, but implying there are going to be abundant and sustained good paying jobs is criminally misrepresenting what will happen. That being weighed with skyrocketing power and water costs just doesn’t sit well with me.

Also, yes, I know… ad valorem taxes… I still think these data centers will be a net negative to the states and communities where they’re placed. In Texas, we’re already seeing warnings from ERCOT that these data centers are putting a strain on our power grid (which famously and fatally failed just a few winters ago).
There are already plans for the water to be net 0 effect on the state and current water systems out there. Hopefully these new guys are going to employ those methods.

Power is getting more efficient. And the data center will be a paying customer for new power generation.