OT: Stock and Investment Thread

T2Kplus20

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May 1, 2007
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Added to amzn, google, nvda.

Started positions in PLTR and abbv.
Added to my entire stock basket (32 holdings) across the board. With a little extra to NVDA, META, AMZN, GS, JPM, AVGO, and American Express (AMX?). Added to HOOD. I'll check out PLTR and a few others in extended.

Also did some spring cleaning in our E-Trade account. Dumped VB and reallocated to the other ETFs (VONE, VONG, MGV, VIG, and IGM). Steady as we go. Long hold account.
 

BossNJ

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Oct 6, 2020
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Like I said, I have no idea what I own. I always have subscribed to the idea of hire someone who knows what he’s doing and leave him alone to do his thing. Only reason I even looked those two days was because of what I was seeing here. It had been so long since I checked that I had to change my password because I couldn’t remember how to log in.
So you have a financial advisor. What a novel idea.

Congrats
 

patk89

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Jul 25, 2001
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So you have a financial advisor. What a novel idea.

Congrats
Just looked on my Bloomberg. The S&P is above the level from one year ago. Is that the end of retirement? I took some major pain but will get over it. Extremely happy about the total returns over the last 10/20/25 years. Definitely could go lower, but do not panic. Don't try to catch the absolute bottom or you will miss the bounce.
 
Oct 19, 2010
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Added to my entire stock basket (32 holdings) across the board. With a little extra to NVDA, META, AMZN, GS, JPM, AVGO, and American Express (AMX?). Added to HOOD. I'll check out PLTR and a few others in extended.

Also did some spring cleaning in our E-Trade account. Dumped VB and reallocated to the other ETFs (VONE, VONG, MGV, VIG, and IGM). Steady as we go. Long hold account.

I got burned on the buy the dip mentality in late 2021/22. I sincerely hope this works for you.

I personally stick to dollar cost averaging in all market conditions.

 
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Oct 19, 2010
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Just looked on my Bloomberg. The S&P is above the level from one year ago. Is that the end of retirement? I took some major pain but will get over it. Extremely happy about the total returns over the last 10/20/25 years. Definitely could go lower, but do not panic. Don't try to catch the absolute bottom or you will miss the bounce.

On retirement, I’ve read a number of analyses on how people can go broke in retirement. The biggest vulnerability is a sharp downturn in the first/second years of retirement. So yeah, a lot of people thinking about retiring very soon will probably need to delay that decision.
 

rutgersdave

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Pimco cofounder and “Bond King” Bill Gross is warning investors away from plunging into the market bloodbath and trying to root around for less expensive securities.

“I think there will be time to buy many of these bargains over the next few days, weeks, or months,” said Gross, speaking on CNBC. During his interview and in posts on social media, Gross recommended investors to stay calm because the tariff event is something everyone will have to live with as long as the U.S. continues its stance.

“President Trump, to be very blunt, is a macho male,” said Gross. “And this macho male is not going to back down tomorrow simply because the Nasdaq is down 5%.”

Given the serious implications for currencies, world markets, economic policy around the world, and the volatility of the situation, it’s not a great time to hunt for deals, said Gross.

“Investors should not try to 'catch a falling knife,'” Gross wrote on X. “Today’s appealing ‘bargains’ will be around tomorrow and the next day.”

 
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T2Kplus20

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Caliknight

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The only way it doesn't work is if you get scared and panic sell, especially with ETFs and funds. You gotta buy when it feels awful.

Yep. Warren Buffett said it best. If he's not buying, he lied about his strategy.
 
Oct 19, 2010
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The only way it doesn't work is if you get scared and panic sell, especially with ETFs and funds. You gotta buy when it feels awful.

I agree with pretty much all of this. My problem a few years ago was buying too much small cap/RUT-type stocks. One idea that always works is just buy QQQ. I’m more disciplined now. But the present situation feels different. A weakening dollar definitely adds to the gloomy thoughts.

I hope you are right.
 
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patk89

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On retirement, I’ve read a number of analyses on how people can go broke in retirement. The biggest vulnerability is a sharp downturn in the first/second years of retirement. So yeah, a lot of people thinking about retiring very soon will probably need to delay that decision.
Absolutely true about getting hit early in retirement. But they should never had put themselves into that position. Ease off equities and don't be greedy. Easy to ***** after the fact when they were chasing techs.
 

T2Kplus20

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I agree with pretty much all of this. My problem a few years ago was buying too much small cap/RUT-type stocks. One idea that always works is just buy QQQ. I’m more discipline now. But the present situation feels different. A weakening dollar definitely adds to the gloomy thoughts.

I hope you are right.
If you are buying QQQ or another broad index then I am definitely right. Just can't tell you how long it will take to be right. :)

The market goes up 75% of the time. Trust the math.
 
Feb 9, 2004
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On retirement, I’ve read a number of analyses on how people can go broke in retirement. The biggest vulnerability is a sharp downturn in the first/second years of retirement. So yeah, a lot of people thinking about retiring very soon will probably need to delay that decision.
It is called sequence of return risk. It is a big risk if you are living off your assets and need to sell something to take your 4% withdrawal. This holds true with a 60/40 portfolio.
 

RUBlackout

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Sounds like we might be in the same PCS group lol
Step Brothers Ryan GIF
 
Oct 19, 2010
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Absolutely true about getting hit early in retirement. But they should never had put themselves into that position. Ease off equities and don't be greedy. Easy to ***** after the fact when they were chasing techs.

True. I suggest that anyone contemplating retirement have at least a two year amount of money in cash. Not in stocks or bonds or whatever, but two-plus years’ worth of straight cash.
 

Knight Owl

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Your post makes no sense. No surprise.
The post I was responded to was attempting to blame the Fed alone for the Great Depression. If you’d like to seriously discuss Fed policy, you start. I don’t simply regurgitate right wing talking points. Perhaps we should be on the gold standard? Or better yet in order to suit the Broligarchs who bought the election maybe the Bitcoin standard?🤣
W Bush’s legacy of being above ‘47’ is sadly secure.
 

BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine

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The post I was responded to was attempting to blame the Fed alone for the Great Depression. If you’d like to seriously discuss Fed policy, you start. I don’t simply regurgitate right wing talking points. Perhaps we should be on the gold standard? Or better yet in order to suit the Broligarchs maybe the Bitcoin standard?🤣
No, you simply don't understand the argument by Milton Freedman and agreed to by Ben Bernanke. If you'd like to seriously discuss how they are wrong, start a new thread on it. The floor is yours.
 
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Knight Owl

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No, you simply don't understand the argument by Milton Freedman and agreed to by Ben Bernanke. If you'd like to seriously discuss how they are wrong, start a new thread on it. The floor is yours.
The basic distilled argument is that the Fed of 1930 was primitive by today’s Feds tools standards. I completely agree. Calls to limit the Feds tools are really calls for a more primitive and thus more dangerous and ineffectual Fed.
 

BIGRUBIGDBIGredmachine

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The basic distilled argument is that the Fed of 1930 was primitive by today’s Feds tools standards. I completely agree. Calls to limit the Feds tools are really calls for a more primitive and thus more dangerous and ineffectual Fed.
Nope, the Fed can still misguidedly raise rates and tighten money supply today. Try again.
 

ScarletNut

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True. I suggest that anyone contemplating retirement have at least a two year amount of money in cash. Not in stocks or bonds or whatever, but two-plus years’ worth of straight cash.
That's why the 3 bucket approach for retirement portfolios works so well. In the chart you posted earlier, the longest bear market was 37 months. The 3 bucket system keeps one bucket in fixed income to fund withdrawals for 3 years, the second bucket has a 3-5 year growth horizon and the third bucket is for >5 years. As the short term bucket depletes, equities/cash moves from the middle bucket to the short term and equities/cash move from the long term to the middle bucket. I've been retired 5 years, withdrawing 5-6% annually on a monthly basis and my total portfolio's principal is higher than when I started.
 

tom1944

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On retirement, I’ve read a number of analyses on how people can go broke in retirement. The biggest vulnerability is a sharp downturn in the first/second years of retirement. So yeah, a lot of people thinking about retiring very soon will probably need to delay that decision.
This is my second year of retirement (kind of) but we are able to save money every month. We do not plan to take any IRA retirement distributions until we meet the RMD age.

We have a pension, social security and our IRAs all for retirement and I have a very small business and so does my wife. I also have a paid position for a building trades Local. Very minor income but I love the work. We actually can cover all our bills from these 3 sources but we use them for free spending vacations.
 
Feb 9, 2004
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This is my second year of retirement (kind of) but we are able to save money every month. We do not plan to take any IRA retirement distributions until we meet the RMD age.

We have a pension, social security and our IRAs all for retirement and I have a very small business and so does my wife. I also have a paid position for a building trades Local. Very minor income but I love the work. We actually can cover all our bills from these 3 sources but we use them for free spending vacations.
Have you run an RMD calculator? If not, you may want to check one out. you might be surprised by the amount you have to take out and the potential tax ramifications.