OT: Stock and Investment Thread

jtung230

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Xi is a dumbass. Everyone is Asia hates China with a passion with the exception of like North Korea and Iran. They just put up with them due to desperation to borrow, hence why China ends up extorting them afterwards. If there's ever a war with them, everyone in Asia will happily stick a knife in their backs, especially Russia and its satellite countries like Kazakhstan and Kygyzstan who both are furious over the way that China has their brothers and sisters in concentration camps in East Turkestan/Xinjiang and Mongolia who also want to get their lands back.
Can say the same for Putin and Russia. They are in a war and no body (including the US) wants any part of it.
 

RU05

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Sold a silver miner. AG. Been a dog but up 6% today. Putting half into AEM which has been a beast. If the group drops ill add that other half into AEM as well.
 
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RU05

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Conversely FCX is a nightmare on the one year chart. But looks like it might near support on the 5 year.

Up 7% today.
 

T2Kplus20

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Sold a silver miner. AG. Been a dog but up 6% today. Putting half into AEM which has been a beast. If the group drops ill add that other half into AEM as well.
Missed out on GLD's continued rally over the past 24-hours. Sold yesterday to book profits. Will jump back in once it dips $75-100. I should just let the contracts ride for the next few months, but I had too many for my comfort. LOL!
 

RUinPinehurst

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Tom Lee released an assessment this Wednesday. that included... “In the last few days, we have had many conversations with macro fund managers.
And their concern is that the White House is not acting rationally, but rather on ideology."
“Some even fear that this may not even be ideology,” Lee wrote. “A few have quietly wondered if the President might be insane.”
 

Caliknight

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Sep 21, 2001
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Musk stated at a cabinet meeting the amount is $150 billion.

I expect that several sources will review that claim.

So, not a couple as was stated. He's also said his goal is to cut $1T and that he's going to reach that goal.
 
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Postman_1

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Tom Lee released an assessment this Wednesday. that included... “In the last few days, we have had many conversations with macro fund managers.
And their concern is that the White House is not acting rationally, but rather on ideology."
“Some even fear that this may not even be ideology,” Lee wrote. “A few have quietly wondered if the President might be insane.”
I read that. Maybe you should sell everything then and do no investing for the next 3+ years
 

drewbagel423

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Oct 30, 2006
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Tom Lee released an assessment this Wednesday. that included... “In the last few days, we have had many conversations with macro fund managers.
And their concern is that the White House is not acting rationally, but rather on ideology."
“Some even fear that this may not even be ideology,” Lee wrote. “A few have quietly wondered if the President might be insane.”
Um, probably more than a few

So, not a couple as was stated. He's also said his goal is to cut $1T and that he's going to reach that goal.
But also closer to a couple billion than the 500B that was also claimed.
 
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Xi is a dumbass. Everyone is Asia hates China with a passion with the exception of like North Korea and Iran. They just put up with them due to desperation to borrow, hence why China ends up extorting them afterwards. If there's ever a war with them, everyone in Asia will happily stick a knife in their backs, especially Russia and its satellite countries like Kazakhstan and Kygyzstan who both are furious over the way that China has their brothers and sisters in concentration camps in East Turkestan/Xinjiang and Mongolia who also want to get their lands back.

I pretty much agree with this post - except the first sentence. Xi and the ChiCom Politboro are anything but dumb. We underestimate them at our own risk.
 

GoodOl'Rutgers

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Let’s see where the wind up. Elon says they are on track for $1T. Wanna make a bet they get there?
While I won't bet... I fear how the Dem judge-operation to "resist" cuts that expose their shenanigans... and not just DEMS... I should say "the Swamp".. I would be shocked if the US Senate on both sides is NOT full of corrupt deals that need to be hidden and could be exposed through cuts.
 
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Caliknight

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While I won't bet... I fear how the Dem judge-operation to "resist" cuts that expose their shenanigans... and not just DEMS... I should say "the Swamp".. I would be shocked if the US Senate on both sides is NOT full of corrupt deals that need to be hidden and could be exposed through cuts.
They’ve been getting neutered consistently in court. Of course that won’t stop them from continuing to try.
 

Caliknight

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I would take that bet, but I was taught not to take advantage of the mentally challenged, like you. Musk's campaign promise a week before the election of $2 trillion in DOGE savings dropped to $1 trillion in early January - and as of today, his new estimate is $150 billion in savings for FY 2026. Epic fail. He also promised his cuts would have "no impact on the American public." I'm pretty sure most of the 70 million SS recipients would disagree with that, as would everyone worried about how their cuts to govt/academic science and medical research are going to destroy the technological innovation engine that has made the US the envy of the world.

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow...y-lowers-doge-spending-cut-targets-rcna200813

https://theconversation.com/cuts-to...is-essential-for-medical-breakthroughs-252150
Hahaha MSNBC, the company that just settled another defamation case lol.

You’re a broke joke. The offer is $1T cut. Proof of funds first. Might have to cut that pornhub subscription lol
 
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RU848789

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can't read it because it is behind a pay wall. These re-prints of just un-vetted articles for accuracy are just laughable. As I posted above from yahoo...writers are just making 4hit up and people are just latching onto it like fact. Even people are consider fairly intelligent. Sad.
Here's a non-paywalled version. And below that is a different estimate of $160 billion in lost income annually. Of course, the error bars on these are large, but do you not think that cutting IRS staff by ~25% will lead to major impacts in tax collection?

https://www.usatoday.com/story/mone...ge-irs-layoffs-tax-audits-budget/82754087007/

https://www.cbpp.org/blog/on-tax-day-reject-doge-led-cuts-to-the-irs-workforce-and-budget#:~:text=The Yale Budget Lab estimated,reductions in voluntary tax compliance.
 

Caliknight

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I'd be more likely to bet that we won't be able to agree on a source we both find honest about the final amount.

I will say though that he started out looking to cut $2T, and then revised that down to $1T within the first 130 days and we're about 80 days in. Not looking good so far as most the low hanging fruit is probably gone.
DOGE puts everything on X and their website. It’s completely transparent.
 

Caliknight

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I read your 2 articles above. I didn't see anything about saving 1-2 trillion in 1 year. What's the time frame? Budgets and deficits are often discussed in Washington as 1 and 10 year terms. So $150 in 2026 could be right on par. Sourcing maddow and MSNBC... lol. That article is so full of opinion and weak. I can't believe you fall for this stuff as someone who is so comprehensive on the most minute detail of weather activity.

And as far as the Australian based Conversation..."Numerous scientists and health professionals have noted that changes will have far-reaching, harmful outcomes for the health and well-being of the American people". That's a shocker. Let's ask the teachers who are so money strapped about cutting funds to education while they contribute millions to their unions.

BTW, count me and my wife as two of the SS recipients that have ZERO concern about what is going on and even more relevant the same goes for Medicare which is more associated with Medical funding than SS.
Great post and factual. The only people concerned about losing SS are the people who have been stealing it. And they should be very concerned because unlike Sleepy Joe’s administration, President Trump is going to go after them.
 

ashokan

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So financial news..which I used to respect, is turning into the same bullcrap as main stream media. Exhibit A from yahoo. (and this crap is feeding the frenzy and lazy).

from today at 2:18 "tesla stock moves lower as EV maker pulls US cyber made cars from China".
The stock closed down (according to them) .04% today which I still haven't figured out how -$.09 on $252.40 is not -.000356.
Then goes on to say this....

"Tesla stock was lower Friday but is up around 5% over the past five days in a volatile week for the markets fueled by President Trump’s erratic changes in trade policy.

While Tesla’s sales in China rebounded in March with the launch of the refreshed Model Y, Tesla's total retail sales in China for the first quarter hit 134,607 units, up only 1.7% year over year but down 31.6% sequentially compared to Q4 2024.

But somehow they forgot that apparently each Q1 is also down vs. Q4 hence the increase year over year. Or this chart showing the dramatic fluctuations in sales month to month. Just making a freaking headline for the sake of making one and NOT even close to accurate.




I don't do any MSM news for most part. I like Rick Santelli when I randomly catch him. Bloomberg is ok and CNBC business can surprise. I never liked Cramer. I can see him going home at night and crying before an alter like in "Midnight Cowboy" lol.

I like people who do macro well and know history (the meatball, market Brahs on YouTube are bad at that). I hate math and like the Buffet focus vs the daily churners . All that said, my fav people have been Ed Dowd, James Rickards. EJ Antoni, Bessant - people who "tell the secrets" and clear the smoke

Just this week I watched an hour of Dowd (spent 10 years at BlackRock and took 2 billion to to 14 in his decade) and he covered longer term market trends (stocks, real estate, metals etc). Ed doesn't do happy lab or sad puppy - he's like a rock and will "slay his darlings" from prior calls when he has to.

From 2:30 on

 
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xWVU2010x

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Musk stated at a cabinet meeting the amount is $150 billion.

I expect that several sources will review that claim.
Just stop dude, no one here is interested in something that does not fit their world view.

DOGE and China tariffs will save us so much money that we simultaneously will pay so much less in taxes and shrink the deficit (despite $4t debt ceiling increase) that we’ll be rich. Other countries are at the beck and call of whatever whim Trump is on and won’t reestablish atleast some semblance of significant trade elsewhere with more stable partners. Stocks tank, it’s because we need a depression to purge out bad money and bring back factory jobs or something, stocks go up and it’s because Trump is a genius. Got it now?

TBH just continue to buy through the BS, it will probably fully rebound within the year, Trump does seem to be reigned in by falling stock prices so anything really silly he does he will reverse on if the market doesn’t like it.
 
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jtung230

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Saw that Trump is now considering pausing the 10% as well. This will help the market. Brings us back to where we started on tariffs.