OT: Stock and Investment Thread
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I'm currently up about 120% on RDDT. I bought it with HOOD, SHAK, and MRVL during the March/April tariff crash. What a great dip that was!
I like TEM a lot. Been reading up on AI applications for healthcare. TEM and Natera come up all the time.
PLTR running wild, mostly govt and defense contracts. I got in and out 4 years ago with very little profit. I wasn’t patient and didn’t see the big picture.
I see BBAI is doing something with the DOD. Anyone dipping their toes? I’m in at 7.24. Hoping it pops through its upper upper resistance.
I see BBAI is doing something with the DOD. Anyone dipping their toes? I’m in at 7.24. Hoping it pops through its upper upper resistance.
A big part of this post earnings move is their non gov’t contacts were up nearly 100%.
Not sure the ratio between the two but non gov’t is actually the faster grower at the moment.
Is the fact that its healthcare AI keeping it from getting any love right now?
Side note: Thoughts on VRTX which got smashed on earnings last night?
Yeah, I think the HC overhang is impacting these names. The entire sector is super lagging, but that should change sooner or later.
VRTX had great numbers, clean double beat. But they also announced a clinical trial failure of their second experimental pain medication. The first one was approved. VRTX is in my custom stock basket and even it’s the only holding that’s underwater, I’m holding for now. Likely a great entry point.
UPDATE - I added to my VRTX position at $390. Vertex is an amazing company that has a $10B+ annual monopoly with its CF franchise (patent goes way into next decade). Great foundation to build upon.
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I own SOUN, IONQ (Quantum), DNA, BKSY - couple hundred shares of each
Was also trying to buy ASTS but Fidelity wont allow it
See some folks here in on PLTR. How many others are on this bus? This bus better keep on going. What unbelievable growth!!
I have been trading BBAI since it was in the $1 range. My current cost basis is $2.50 and will take some profit here before getting back in at a lower price range
I have been trading both SOUN and IONQ. I have scaled back on IONQ with the recent uptick. I am surprised that the quantum stocks just continue to go up and likely creating a bubble. SOUN has been great investment as well. I was in it initially around $4-5 and then sold at $15. Bough back around $8 and will be holding it until close to earnings. I'll decide at that point what to do about SOUN.
Special shout-out to AXON. My largest holding in my custom stock basket (30 holdings). I'm up over 200% now. These are my long hold positions, dating back to mid-2023.
Axon Enterprise
— The maker of tasers and other police products climbed 14% after second-quarter earnings beat Street expectations and it raised full-year financial guidance. Axon earned $2.12 per share, excluding one-time items, on $669 million in revenue, while analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated $1.45 per share on $641 million in revenue. For the full year, Axon sees revenue ranging between $2.65 billion and $2.73 billion, up from an earlier outlook for $2.60 billion to $2.70 billion and analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.66 billion.
Axon Enterprise
— The maker of tasers and other police products climbed 14% after second-quarter earnings beat Street expectations and it raised full-year financial guidance. Axon earned $2.12 per share, excluding one-time items, on $669 million in revenue, while analysts surveyed by FactSet had estimated $1.45 per share on $641 million in revenue. For the full year, Axon sees revenue ranging between $2.65 billion and $2.73 billion, up from an earlier outlook for $2.60 billion to $2.70 billion and analysts’ consensus estimate of $2.66 billion.
Not bad, but down 4-5% in extended. Most likely due to the massive rally.
RIVN is also down with a pretty gloomy report. It really seems they are running out of cash on hand.
Yup I saw that. AMD had a great run the past month or so. I think it was the top performer for GRNY recently
SMCI plunging
Firefly is interesting, but not sure about Bullish. Do we need another crypto exchange? Two others are going public soon.
qk glance at RIVN didn’t look terrible. Tariffs and lack of ev credits but we knew that.
they did miss on eps but revs in line. Both were up yoy. FY production guidance pretty much in line.
The R2 platform needs to hit quickly. IIRC they went public with $14B in cash and now down to $4.5B. Still, love their product and would be happy to buy at the right time, which I haven’t figured out yet.
Rivian makes a really nice product but where is the EV world headed at this point? Gov’t handouts kept the industry afloat. Nobody even talks about the charging infrastructure anymore. Tesla auto numbers are pathetic. China EVs are flooding the international markets and cost less than some golf carts. I could see cheap EVs becoming like the disposable razors of the auto industry, especially if the battery technology doesn’t make massive advances. Definitely glad I decided against EVs and have two hybrids.
I’ve been buying energy ETFs. Also went heavy on RKT around $13 as a rate-cut play. My gut tells me now is a good time to start buying housing/mortgage related stocks. Also bought USAR as I think the rare earth minerals issue isn’t going away no matter what trade deals are struck.
I own RKT as well as a couple other mortgage/housing plays.
RKT has been on a nice run. COMP has been great. Z pretty good.
UWMC im way in the red, so if anyone is looking for a potential catch up this may be a good play. Big div too.
Was digging into UWMC seeing if it was worth adding to, and as is often the case, I was side tracked by another stock.
RITM. It's in the REIT sector as opposed to banking service like UWMC, but it is a more diversified company with mortgage origination being one of the businesses they are involved in.
Like UWMC it has a big div at 8%, but unlike UWMC it's profitable, cheap at 9x P/E and it looks like it is in the process of breaking out past post covid highs.
RITM. It's in the REIT sector as opposed to banking service like UWMC, but it is a more diversified company with mortgage origination being one of the businesses they are involved in.
Like UWMC it has a big div at 8%, but unlike UWMC it's profitable, cheap at 9x P/E and it looks like it is in the process of breaking out past post covid highs.
JB pushing Dominion Energy hard (D). I actually have a small position in our Roth IRA accounts (which are managed).
Oh wow, up 20% on earnings. Double beat, rev's up 35ish% yoy. Beat on guidance. Stock buy back in place.ZETA on the move again! Finally back in the black
I don't think this has been updated with the current stock move but price to sale's of 3.5x. Cheap.
Not GAAP profitable yet, but EBITDA jumped 50%.
This is right about where I sold it back when if I remember right.
Seeing price targets in the mid to high $20's.
DOCN continuing to grind higher after it ripped on earnings yesterday.
I'd think that is a good sign.
P/E or 27x
P/R of 3.8x.
MS has an overweight rating and a $44 price target.
"Strong Q2 results & an even stronger FY25 guide pushed shares materially higher given negative positioning into the print. Traction with larger deals, RPO growing ~4x Q/Q, continued product enhancements, strong AI/ML growth & migration trends all point to accelerating growth ahead. OW"
I'd think that is a good sign.
P/E or 27x
P/R of 3.8x.
MS has an overweight rating and a $44 price target.
"Strong Q2 results & an even stronger FY25 guide pushed shares materially higher given negative positioning into the print. Traction with larger deals, RPO growing ~4x Q/Q, continued product enhancements, strong AI/ML growth & migration trends all point to accelerating growth ahead. OW"
My suspicion is that no one talks about charging infrastructure anymore because most cars can use the Tesla network now and people who have ev’s have realized it’s mostly a non-issue.
This is a pre earnings analysis from Market Edge Second Opinion. Strictly technical.
"The current technical condition of DOCN is deteriorating, indicating demand for the stock is weakening. If momentum continues to slow, further slippage in the stock is likely to develop. The stock is underperforming the market when compared to the S&P 500 over the last 50 trading days. Though the technical condition of DOCN is deteriorating, MACDLT, an intermediate-term trend indicator, remains bullish at this time. If the stock closes below $26.86 a change in trend will be confirmed. Upside momentum, as measured by the 9-day RSI, is negative. The stock is in a short-term oversold condition based on a Slow % K stochastic reading of 20 or lower. Over the last 50 trading sessions, there has been more volume on down days than on up days, indicating that DOCN is under distribution, which is a bearish condition. The stock is trading below a falling 50-day moving average which confirms the deteriorating technical condition of DOCN. In addition, DOCN is below its declining 200-day moving average."
So technicals were telling us the market was extremely bearish heading into the print, and post earnings reaction tells us market expectations have now been reset. Second opinion had resistance at $29, blasted through that. 50 day was $28. 200 dma is $34, so just barely above that level. I'm going to say it's not extremely important it holds above the 200 day in the short term, but you at least want to see it hang around that level before breaking out past it in the intermediate term.
"The current technical condition of DOCN is deteriorating, indicating demand for the stock is weakening. If momentum continues to slow, further slippage in the stock is likely to develop. The stock is underperforming the market when compared to the S&P 500 over the last 50 trading days. Though the technical condition of DOCN is deteriorating, MACDLT, an intermediate-term trend indicator, remains bullish at this time. If the stock closes below $26.86 a change in trend will be confirmed. Upside momentum, as measured by the 9-day RSI, is negative. The stock is in a short-term oversold condition based on a Slow % K stochastic reading of 20 or lower. Over the last 50 trading sessions, there has been more volume on down days than on up days, indicating that DOCN is under distribution, which is a bearish condition. The stock is trading below a falling 50-day moving average which confirms the deteriorating technical condition of DOCN. In addition, DOCN is below its declining 200-day moving average."
So technicals were telling us the market was extremely bearish heading into the print, and post earnings reaction tells us market expectations have now been reset. Second opinion had resistance at $29, blasted through that. 50 day was $28. 200 dma is $34, so just barely above that level. I'm going to say it's not extremely important it holds above the 200 day in the short term, but you at least want to see it hang around that level before breaking out past it in the intermediate term.
It's an issue. It's an issue that some can work around, but for a lot of people it's not something they want to deal with.
Living in a condo, I don't even consider owning an EV.
I wouldn’t have bought one if I couldn’t have charged at home either. That said, now that I have lived without home charging here and there I see it’s not that hard to navigate.
There isn't a TSLA charging station within 20 minutes from me. I'd pass 30 gas stations before getting to one.
We rented a Mach E in Colorado and were this close to running out of charge while on the interstate.
Yes you can work around it, but gas stations are still WAY more prevalent and MUCH faster.
EVs are okay for your second car, but you still need an ICE vehicle for real driving.
I added yesterday. VRTX is a unicorn in the biotech industry. One of the very few companies that "went it alone/no partners" and hit a grand slam with their CF franchise. They have massive stable cash flow to build from and expand their product portfolio.