Regarding Friday. Nevermind!
Stock futures rebound from Friday’s rout after Trump says China situation ‘will all be fine’
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
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Stock futures rebound from Friday’s rout after Trump says China situation ‘will all be fine’
I like Taco's.Regarding Friday. Nevermind!
Stock futures rebound from Friday’s rout after Trump says China situation ‘will all be fine’
Street tacos are my go-to lunch! On Friday, I bought more SHAK and leaps calls for CMG and NKE. Eyeing LULU for a turnaround, but not sure if more pain is coming.
Openai has deals with everyone.
Can they and if so when do they flip that switch to start generating revs to justify this spend?
Quantum stocks just don't quit. It is insane how much these have run up
By the way, DECK is down to a forward P/E of 15. Have you looked into RKT? Josh B keeps pushing it like crazy. His narrative makes sense.
I havent heard his take regarding RKT pist investigation announcement. Whats his thoughts on that?
RKT a decent size holding for me. I agree with Josh Brown just need rates to tick down
I need to start a position. It's dipped a bit recently, so probably a good time to do so.
Pretty sure this post coincided with the timing of the late day dip. Posted at 3:37 pm
Oh my god! No more Chinese cooking oil. Sell, sell, sell! LOL.
From Tom Lee:
I am traveling in Latin America this week, meeting with institutional investors. The meetings have been insightful so far, and my overall takeaway is that investors are generally constructive but are keeping an eye out for signs of “froth.”
I am traveling in Latin America this week, meeting with institutional investors. The meetings have been insightful so far, and my overall takeaway is that investors are generally constructive but are keeping an eye out for signs of “froth.”
- Stocks were hit early on Tuesday due to China’s statement regarding trade, and in particular, their statement:
“”If you wish to fight, we shall fight to the end; if you wish to negotiate, our door remains open.” - This caused the VIX to spike to above last Friday’s highs. And raised concerns about a trade war heating up. But as we highlight below, this same statement was made in April 2025 and May 2025. So, this is not necessarily escalation of rhetoric. But President Trump made an escalatory statement on truthsocial.com noting that China is not buying soybeans and he threatened further action. This put more pressure on stocks.
- In our view, this is not thesis changing. And while we cannot predict the ultimate outcome, what is evident to me, is that equities tend to sell-off on fears of trade wars but eventually recover their footing. I believe this will be the case again.
- In the meantime, the underperformance of fund managers in 2025 is striking. Only 22% of managers are beating their benchmark, and as the Bloomberg.com article highlights, this is the worst performance in decades and pre-2000.
- Why are managers underperforming? It is not surprising to us — after all, this is why it is the “most-hated V-shaped rally” ever. Many managers were too cautious at the April lows. And many ignored our work showing waterfall declines lead to V-shaped bounces.
- Now the latest BofA Fund Manager survey shows that 33% of fund managers see an AI bubble. We think this is healthy skepticism. And given NVDA -4.19% forward P/E is only 27X, seems reasonable considering Costco COST +1.17% is 49X and Walmart WMT +4.98% is 35X. This is hardly bubble territory. And keep in mind, in 2000, Cisco CSCO +1.78% P/E peaked at 218X. Yup.
- Due to the shutdown, it looks like we won’t be seeing the scheduled inflation data this week.
+1
Banks are blowing up with earnings. I don't have MS, but own JPM and GS. Also American Express and S&P Global (for my 4 main financial positions).
I own JPM, MS, C, and now BLK, which I'm still trimming after fat fingering into a position 10x's the size I wanted. Potential pitfalls of having too much cash in the account.
Use a laptop for trading, not a phone!
Overall, good day even with some trade/tariff silliness still lingering.
I trade from the hip.Use a laptop for trading, not a phone!
Overall, good day even with some trade/tariff silliness still lingering.
I'm going to start a brokerage called Pocket Trade.You use a 1990's pager?
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A modest move on the news, but it looks like it could help lift it past ATH's set early this year.
VLY. Valley National. I guess it's considered a regional bank? 6B market cap.
Been OK. Original position started Aug 2024. Up 16%. Plus 4% div. That sounds like slight underperformance.
Was thinking maybe sell? But it is pushing right up against 3 year highs. 13x p/e. .84 price to book.
Going to hang in a bit longer. Truthfully given the break out is right at my fingertips, a 20ish% one year return in the previous 12 months is pretty good. (I say "pretty good" because that is under performing the overall market.)
Been OK. Original position started Aug 2024. Up 16%. Plus 4% div. That sounds like slight underperformance.
Was thinking maybe sell? But it is pushing right up against 3 year highs. 13x p/e. .84 price to book.
Going to hang in a bit longer. Truthfully given the break out is right at my fingertips, a 20ish% one year return in the previous 12 months is pretty good. (I say "pretty good" because that is under performing the overall market.)
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Same boat here. LABU is up almost 20% since I bought it and CURE is down 0.5%. I put in 60% allocation in CURE and 40% in LABU. I think CURE is underperforming because it has too many large cap biopharma.