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OT: Stock and Investment Thread

T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,576
19,617
113
rurahrah000 said:
Moreover, portfolio performance depends on how well your biggest investments perform and how well someone manages loses. Too often folks hold on to their losers for too long.
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I’ve been using tight levels of support as stop losses and they have served me well. I’ve definitely had more losers than winners in my personal account but it’s still up quite nicely YTD due to my energy and gold positions (and AVAV calls!).

Do you have a specific process for setting stop loss levels?
 
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T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,576
19,617
113
RU in IM said:
Yep, it’s not just how you perform on the upside, it’s also how you’re positioned in a time of weakness. Energy and energy represent over 12% of my equities, and have led my portfolio YTD. But this weak, not so much, although it did reduce the blow somewhat.
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^^^ Know the market has been in trouble when this guy starts posting! :)
 
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Bueller

Sophomore
Nov 28, 2025
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And away we go....

"New York – Over the past few months, investors and analysts have been closely watching the shadowy corner of finance known as private credit, where warning signals feed fears of a repeat of the 2008 crisis."

mezha.net

Private Credit Turmoil Deepens as Major Funds Scramble to Meet Withdrawals | Ukraine news - #Mezha

An in depth look at the private credit market growth and rising liquidity stress, examining Blue Owl Blackstone and peers as investors weigh potential systemic risks in a 1.8 trillion sector.
mezha.net mezha.net


 
J

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,142
12,306
82
rurahrah000 said:
Moreover, portfolio performance depends on how well your biggest investments perform and how well someone manages loses. Too often folks hold on to their losers for too long.
Click to expand...
Disposition effect. Investors hold on to their losers or even add and sell winners/take profit due to loss aversion. Human psychology is the main reason why people should hire a financial advisor.
 
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R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,779
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SCO, 2x inverse of WTI. Down 50% since the start of the year. Was a great trade when oil tanked in the early stages of Covid. 4x in a couple months. A near double if you timed it just right from June 2022 to Sept 2022.

Or maybe puts in USO, which is up about 40% in a couple weeks.

Not there yet, but I'll be watching.
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,779
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rurahrah000 said:
Oil at $100. Can’t be good for inflation. Will the Trump fed still cut interest rates if the war and oil prices persist for several months?
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Someone mentioned that given the price of oil being so high the fed may cut to help lower prices. elsewhere.

But their final take was the fed will likely take a wait and see approach.

Maybe the Trump Fed uses the former logic when they are in place.
 
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,576
19,617
113
RU05 said:
Funny but I just mentioned this above.

I think $120 might be a level, as that is where it went after Russia invaded Ukraine.
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That sounds about right. HOOD and COIN have micro oil futures. Look like 6.1x leverage and $100 multiplier. So a move of $1 would generate profit/loss of $100 for each contract you hold.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,779
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Bueller said:
And away we go....

"New York – Over the past few months, investors and analysts have been closely watching the shadowy corner of finance known as private credit, where warning signals feed fears of a repeat of the 2008 crisis."

mezha.net

Private Credit Turmoil Deepens as Major Funds Scramble to Meet Withdrawals | Ukraine news - #Mezha

An in depth look at the private credit market growth and rising liquidity stress, examining Blue Owl Blackstone and peers as investors weigh potential systemic risks in a 1.8 trillion sector.
mezha.net mezha.net


Click to expand...

Past few months? Private credit stocks topped out 14 months ago. MSDL is in a downtrend 20 months deep.
 
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rurahrah000

All-Conference
Aug 21, 2010
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RU05 said:
Someone mentioned that given the price of oil being so high the fed may cut to help lower prices. elsewhere.

But their final take was the fed will likely take a wait and see approach.

Maybe the Trump Fed uses the former logic when they are in place.
Click to expand...
What? Cutting interest rates will lower prices!!!
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,779
9,209
113
rurahrah000 said:
What? Cutting interest rates will lower prices!!!
Click to expand...
That is certainly a thought in regards to cars and houses.

Though there is certainly some that will argue against it.

Do remember we went through a long stretch of low rates and minimal inflation.
 
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