OT: Stock and Investment Thread

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
55,607
51,272
0

That's funny because it's Sam Jackson more than funny due to the silly manufactured point it's trying to make. As if folks who spend a bunch of time arguing online over when to buy or sell their stocks are suffering greatly from inflation.

"Look here! Look at the price of this Filet Mignon and Lobster! And the Caviar? (sigh) Ah well, I suppose I shall only get dozen of each instead of the usual thirteen, this week. This inflation is crushing us, Muffy. Just crushing us. "
 

RUinPinehurst

All-American
Aug 27, 2011
8,395
7,915
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That's funny because it's Sam Jackson more than funny due to the silly manufactured point it's trying to make. As if folks who spend a bunch of time arguing online over when to buy or sell their stocks are suffering greatly from inflation.

"Look here! Look at the price of this Filet Mignon and Lobster! And the Caviar? (sigh) Ah well, I suppose I shall only get dozen of each instead of the usual thirteen, this week. This inflation is crushing us, Muffy. Just crushing us.
Crudités.... 😉
 

RUinPinehurst

All-American
Aug 27, 2011
8,395
7,915
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Ew. Vegetables aren't food. They're what food eats.
Dr. Oz disagrees, per his infamous campaign stop at a supermarket in PA. LOL. He'll have some time to discuss it with you, now.... I believe you'll find him back "home" in NJ, now....
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,660
9,161
113
Another nice day. Up around 1%. Lagged the nasdaq but inline with the s&p.

Have a few positions called away and got put back into the SQQQ. I’ll sell puts on the positions i lost and calls on the SQQQ.

I have been tinkering with the idea of buying calls instead of selling them when the premium doesn’t seem worth it for a desired strike price. Reasonable idea?
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,103
12,266
82
Another nice day. Up around 1%. Lagged the nasdaq but inline with the s&p.

Have a few positions called away and got put back into the SQQQ. I’ll sell puts on the positions i lost and calls on the SQQQ.

I have been tinkering with the idea of buying calls instead of selling them when the premium doesn’t seem worth it for a desired strike price. Reasonable idea?
That’s two opposites trades. Premium should not be a factor.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,660
9,161
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Just made note of this in the crypto thread.

But look at golds 30 year chart. Does that not look like its ready for a big run?
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
19,257
113
Another nice day. Up around 1%. Lagged the nasdaq but inline with the s&p.

Have a few positions called away and got put back into the SQQQ. I’ll sell puts on the positions i lost and calls on the SQQQ.

I have been tinkering with the idea of buying calls instead of selling them when the premium doesn’t seem worth it for a desired strike price. Reasonable idea?
Just buy TQQQ and let it ride! :)
 

rurahrah000

All-Conference
Aug 21, 2010
3,248
2,200
88
At the risk of making this political, with the election coming up it is very likely that the House and possibly even the senate will go to the Republicans. This would at the very least help certain sectors like health care. Anyone have favorites (outside if large cap companies) with high beta? I am looking at LABU, NVTA amongst others.
Hopefully some of you guys followed me into this trade. Made insane amount of money the past 2 days. I see a nice rebound and strong rally for the next 6 weeks. The big thing that can derail this rally is Powell coming out and saying something stupid. I would look to buy out of the money call options on the most beaten down and high beta stocks and keep rolling them. Any dips for the next 6 weeks should be considered strong buys.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
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Hopefully some of you guys followed me into this trade. Made insane amount of money the past 2 days. I see a nice rebound and strong rally for the next 6 weeks. The big thing that can derail this rally is Powell coming out and saying something stupid. I would look to buy out of the money call options on the most beaten down and high beta stocks and keep rolling them. Any dips for the next 6 weeks should be considered strong buys.
I bet Powell is going to try to say something stupid, but sooner or later, the market is going to call his bluff. The data rules the day. Unfortunately, I didn't buy LABU on Wednesday. However, since I work at a biotech company, I got to enjoy my options and RSUs blowing the f up! :)

I will start a LABU position at the slightest dip.
 
Jul 31, 2001
835
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Update from The Man:


Tom Lee is not wrong.

Inflation on housing, durable good and medical decelerating. But Lee still sees inflation settling at 3.5%. I been saying 4%-5% over the next couple of years. I guess we will see. However, last weekend after a soccer game in upstate NY we stopped at a pizzeria to get four regular slices and a Sicilian (no drinks). The price $24. The pizza guy was a little surprised by the look I gave him and pointed out that the slices were big and yes, they were at least 20% bigger than your normal slice. Last night (again coming from soccer) called in a pepper steak and onions (combo) and a can of soda … $18.25. I also need to find a better place to buy me some free range chicken. I’m paying $12 a pound.

Lee also sees the next hike at .25/.50 instead of .50/.75 bps and possibly done after that. I been saying fed does not have much room to raise and that rates have pretty much peaked.

Tom Lee is now 2 for 2.

Tom also says we may be looking at a 25% spike from the lows to S&P 4400. He’s right again. Well, possibly. Bear market rallies (10%-25%} are the norm. As a matter of fact, fast 25% moves (weeks to a couple of months) only happen in bear markets.

Now, Tom says that we may go even higher than 4400. Well, I’m not so sure about that one Tom, but I’ll still give you a 3 for 3. Well done.

Disclaimer: These comments are not trading or investment advice, but for general entertainment purposes only. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Consult with your financial advisor.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,103
12,266
82
Tom Lee is not wrong.

Inflation on housing, durable good and medical decelerating. But Lee still sees inflation settling at 3.5%. I been saying 4%-5% over the next couple of years. I guess we will see. However, last weekend after a soccer game in upstate NY we stopped at a pizzeria to get four regular slices and a Sicilian (no drinks). The price $24. The pizza guy was a little surprised by the look I gave him and pointed out that the slices were big and yes, they were at least 20% bigger than your normal slice. Last night (again coming from soccer) called in a pepper steak and onions (combo) and a can of soda … $18.25. I also need to find a better place to buy me some free range chicken. I’m paying $12 a pound.

Lee also sees the next hike at .25/.50 instead of .50/.75 bps and possibly done after that. I been saying fed does not have much room to raise and that rates have pretty much peaked.

Tom Lee is now 2 for 2.

Tom also says we may be looking at a 25% spike from the lows to S&P 4400. He’s right again. Well, possibly. Bear market rallies (10%-25%} are the norm. As a matter of fact, fast 25% moves (weeks to a couple of months) only happen in bear markets.

Now, Tom says that we may go even higher than 4400. Well, I’m not so sure about that one Tom, but I’ll still give you a 3 for 3. Well done.

Disclaimer: These comments are not trading or investment advice, but for general entertainment purposes only. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Consult with your financial advisor.
Tom Lee is 2 for 2 after going 0 for 50. LOL.
 
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RUAldo

All-Conference
Sep 11, 2008
4,666
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Tom Lee is not wrong.

Inflation on housing, durable good and medical decelerating. But Lee still sees inflation settling at 3.5%. I been saying 4%-5% over the next couple of years. I guess we will see. However, last weekend after a soccer game in upstate NY we stopped at a pizzeria to get four regular slices and a Sicilian (no drinks). The price $24. The pizza guy was a little surprised by the look I gave him and pointed out that the slices were big and yes, they were at least 20% bigger than your normal slice. Last night (again coming from soccer) called in a pepper steak and onions (combo) and a can of soda … $18.25. I also need to find a better place to buy me some free range chicken. I’m paying $12 a pound.

Lee also sees the next hike at .25/.50 instead of .50/.75 bps and possibly done after that. I been saying fed does not have much room to raise and that rates have pretty much peaked.

Tom Lee is now 2 for 2.

Tom also says we may be looking at a 25% spike from the lows to S&P 4400. He’s right again. Well, possibly. Bear market rallies (10%-25%} are the norm. As a matter of fact, fast 25% moves (weeks to a couple of months) only happen in bear markets.

Now, Tom says that we may go even higher than 4400. Well, I’m not so sure about that one Tom, but I’ll still give you a 3 for 3. Well done.

Disclaimer: These comments are not trading or investment advice, but for general entertainment purposes only. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Consult with your financial advisor.
Issue is that another 10-20% move will def get the Fed’s wheels turning as more money in investment accounts is contrary to fighting inflation.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
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Issue is that another 10-20% move will def get the Fed’s wheels turning as more money in investment accounts is contrary to fighting inflation.
No it's not. The market can go up as inflation goes down or stays low. Years and years and year of data on this happening.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
19,257
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True, Tom pumped FANG for years, but never gave you an exit strategy. That’s a problem.
Buying Big Tech (I don't say FAANG since I mean MSFT instead of NFLX) has been the right move for years. If you did this, you made lots and lots of money even with this temporary dip. These are the most important companies in the entire world and impact day to day life. They are going nowhere and will be back at ATHs soon enough (well, perhaps except META, that one may take a while, LOL!).
 
Last edited:
Jul 31, 2001
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I’ll be in Big Tech, no argument there. However, Not expecting insane returns with the mega caps. Monster returns will come from new companies over the next decade or two. I prefer AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, etc. 15%-20% year. I’m good with that.

Unfortunately with many big tech names down 30%-60% YTD many will stay away. Sad.
 
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Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,103
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I’ll be in Big Tech, no argument there. However, Not expecting insane returns with the mega caps. Monster returns will come from new companies over the next decade or two. I prefer AAPL, AMZN, GOOG, etc. 15%-20% year. I’m good with that.

Unfortunately with many big tech names down 30%-60% YTD many will stay away. Sad.
As growth rate/margin grow at a slower pace, PE will come down. That’s why portfolio allocation is so important.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
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As growth rate/margin grow at a slower pace, PE will come down. That’s why portfolio allocation is so important.
Not necessarily. After the Volker bear market, through the rest of the 80s.....market went up 230%, but earnings only grew at 8%. Value is in the eye of the beholder.
 

RUinPinehurst

All-American
Aug 27, 2011
8,395
7,915
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Tom Lee is not wrong.

Inflation on housing, durable good and medical decelerating. But Lee still sees inflation settling at 3.5%. I been saying 4%-5% over the next couple of years. I guess we will see. However, last weekend after a soccer game in upstate NY we stopped at a pizzeria to get four regular slices and a Sicilian (no drinks). The price $24. The pizza guy was a little surprised by the look I gave him and pointed out that the slices were big and yes, they were at least 20% bigger than your normal slice. Last night (again coming from soccer) called in a pepper steak and onions (combo) and a can of soda … $18.25. I also need to find a better place to buy me some free range chicken. I’m paying $12 a pound.

Lee also sees the next hike at .25/.50 instead of .50/.75 bps and possibly done after that. I been saying fed does not have much room to raise and that rates have pretty much peaked.

Tom Lee is now 2 for 2.

Tom also says we may be looking at a 25% spike from the lows to S&P 4400. He’s right again. Well, possibly. Bear market rallies (10%-25%} are the norm. As a matter of fact, fast 25% moves (weeks to a couple of months) only happen in bear markets.

Now, Tom says that we may go even higher than 4400. Well, I’m not so sure about that one Tom, but I’ll still give you a 3 for 3. Well done.

Disclaimer: These comments are not trading or investment advice, but for general entertainment purposes only. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Consult with your financial advisor.
Kudos on your disclaimer. Hope everyone, always, processes the posts in this thread in this very important context. Always.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
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Detailed analysis on inflation over the next 4 years (hint.....it will fall like a ROCK). Plan accordingly:


 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,660
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True, Tom pumped FANG for years, but never gave you an exit strategy. That’s a problem.
Lee was also very early on energy. So even if he hung in too long on Mega Cap(as many others did) that's offset, to a large extent, by his call on energy.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
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Lee was also very early on energy. So even if he hung in too long on Mega Cap(as many others did) that's offset, to a large extent, by his call on energy.
If inflation falls like Morningstar and many others predict, you want to go heavy on big tech once again.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,253
19,257
113
If gold is about to go on a nice run I'll sit in a lazy boy and be a curmudgeon.
Define run? In a market where inflation is going down, there will likely be much better opportunities to take advantage of. Keep an eye on biotech. That HC sub-sector has been crushed beyond logical rationale.
 
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RUinPinehurst

All-American
Aug 27, 2011
8,395
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Given the current state of crypto, the relative recent decline of the dollar, and a peaking market, gold is positioned nicely. IAU, GLD, BAR....
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,660
9,161
113
Define run? In a market where inflation is going down, there will likely be much better opportunities to take advantage of. Keep an eye on biotech. That HC sub-sector has been crushed beyond logical rationale.
Be in the green and beat the S&P.