OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
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I think 2 of the best ETFs of 2024 were the Pelosi ETF and Inverse Cramer ETF.
Volatility will be significant during this earnings period. If not a solid beat, or if there is mixed or negative guidance, downside volatility will be significant as multiples are highish. In my estimation, it will be a “stock pickers” market.Nice day with the market pulling mostly back into the green. Tomorrow is PPI and Wednesday is CPI. Back to ATHs or legit correction?
My SLB leap calls are booming and CVX is up nicely. What's the story with DVN? Oil or nat gas play?
Yeah, the market seems jittery, but after two great years, I guess it is natural to be cautious.
PPI comes in super light. So, the inflation appetizer was yummy. Tomorrow is the main course (CPI).
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said headline PPI rose 0.2% M/M in December 2024, versus a consensus of +0.4% and November's reading of +0.4%. Even more notably, core PPI was flat M/M, significantly lower than the expected rise of 0.3%.
PPI "will be worth watching as tariffs develop because trade taxes will increase input costs for US companies," UBS chief economist Paul Donovan said. "If tariffs succeed in reducing imports, the loss of competition to US firms may also increase pricing power."
While not as influential as Wednesday's consumer price index report, the PPI will likely move Fed expectations. Currently, the market is pricing in a coin flip of the next quarter-point cut coming in June or July and a one-in-three chance of no moves at all this year.
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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics said headline PPI rose 0.2% M/M in December 2024, versus a consensus of +0.4% and November's reading of +0.4%. Even more notably, core PPI was flat M/M, significantly lower than the expected rise of 0.3%.
PPI "will be worth watching as tariffs develop because trade taxes will increase input costs for US companies," UBS chief economist Paul Donovan said. "If tariffs succeed in reducing imports, the loss of competition to US firms may also increase pricing power."
While not as influential as Wednesday's consumer price index report, the PPI will likely move Fed expectations. Currently, the market is pricing in a coin flip of the next quarter-point cut coming in June or July and a one-in-three chance of no moves at all this year.
CPI core comes in light:
Excluding food and energy, core CPI gained 0.2% from a month earlier, slightly trailing the +0.3% consensus and the prior month's +0.3%. The core measure's Y/Y rise of 3.2% inched down from 3.3% in November and fell short of the +3.3% consensus.
CPI headline was a little higher, but that includes food and energy which bounces around quite a bit.
Also - first round of bank earnings kicked freaking ***. Wells, GS, JPM, Citi, and Blackrock. All excellent reports!
Excluding food and energy, core CPI gained 0.2% from a month earlier, slightly trailing the +0.3% consensus and the prior month's +0.3%. The core measure's Y/Y rise of 3.2% inched down from 3.3% in November and fell short of the +3.3% consensus.
CPI headline was a little higher, but that includes food and energy which bounces around quite a bit.
Also - first round of bank earnings kicked freaking ***. Wells, GS, JPM, Citi, and Blackrock. All excellent reports!
Scumbags are probably rich enough they never need to work another day in their lives.
Our favorite falling knife was up 38% today.
Below 1x price to revs(at least prior to today) with this upcoming qtr expected to be the low point of the current trough. 35% rev's jump expected next year. FCF positive expected next year. EPS positive expected the year after.
Those are merely expectations, and it's currently bleeding money, but it is really cheap on rev's, so if it can turn it around........
Below 1x price to revs(at least prior to today) with this upcoming qtr expected to be the low point of the current trough. 35% rev's jump expected next year. FCF positive expected next year. EPS positive expected the year after.
Those are merely expectations, and it's currently bleeding money, but it is really cheap on rev's, so if it can turn it around........
I wasn’t sure what you meant and thought maybe it’s WOLF and yup that’s it’s lol.
Like I said if you like the company, single digits isn’t a bad place to take a flyer and that’s in general imo not just for this stock. At that low it’s pretty defined what potential losses could be, even if bankruptcy was a threat. Any sort of positive news would be a boon though.
Could someone explain why a stock would momentarily drop/spike?
Example: Stock ABC is $100 a share. It usually trades between $99 and $101. If you look at the stock chart there might have been one minute where it dropped to $90. There was not any big news like the VP at UNH getting shot or a BA plane crash. Those spikes I get.
Example: Stock ABC is $100 a share. It usually trades between $99 and $101. If you look at the stock chart there might have been one minute where it dropped to $90. There was not any big news like the VP at UNH getting shot or a BA plane crash. Those spikes I get.
Been thinking about short term calls to catch one of these temporary pumps. Will keep watching. However, so far so good on my SLB and ZETA leap calls.
Agreed, low liquidity (especially with small caps) and a relatively big buy/sell at the right time.
Yea but if a stock isn’t so liquid I’d think you’d likely get more volatility and a wider range as opposed to a couple bucks he mentioned.
I see that kind of thing more at the open too as opposed to midday trading.
I think it was approaching that 550 resistance level as well which is more reason for a pullback.
I don’t think it’s out of the regulatory woods yet either. It was in a trading range for awhile until a somewhat recent breakout but now back in that range once it definitively broke down through 550.
Yeah, I was going to ask about that. Regardless of the chart, how is Polestar doing as a business? They probably would have went "Fisker" by now if it wasn't for their connection to Volkswagen.
Very nice quarter for SLB:
SLB Announces Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Results, Increases Dividend and Initiates $2.3 billion in Accelerated Share Repurchases
The stock of SLB, the oil services company formerly known as Schlumberger Ltd, rose 3% early Friday after the company posted better-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter, driven by strength in its international business.
Chief Executive Olivier Le Peuch said the company’s digital and integration revenue rose 10% from a year ago, driven by 20% growth in digital revenue to $2.44 billion for the year.
The business is gaining traction thanks to artificial intelligence and autonomous operations, a trend he expects will continue.
“AI is the X factor for our industry, and I am confident that SLB will continue to be a leader in this area, enabling us to deliver sustained outperformance for our customers, partners and shareholders,” Le Peuch said in prepared remarks.
SLB Announces Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2024 Results, Increases Dividend and Initiates $2.3 billion in Accelerated Share Repurchases
The stock of SLB, the oil services company formerly known as Schlumberger Ltd, rose 3% early Friday after the company posted better-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter, driven by strength in its international business.
Chief Executive Olivier Le Peuch said the company’s digital and integration revenue rose 10% from a year ago, driven by 20% growth in digital revenue to $2.44 billion for the year.
The business is gaining traction thanks to artificial intelligence and autonomous operations, a trend he expects will continue.
“AI is the X factor for our industry, and I am confident that SLB will continue to be a leader in this area, enabling us to deliver sustained outperformance for our customers, partners and shareholders,” Le Peuch said in prepared remarks.
I have to admit, its been fun trading NUKK. I haven't been involved in a stock behaving like a meme stock but there is some validity to this company's investment in Israel's Iron Dome. Got in a couple days ago around 23 and sold it premarket today at 35. This is my second trade with NUKK in 2 weeks and both have been quite profitable. If it dips back into the mid 20's I'm gonna give another go.
P.S. I got out too early with CYFRF. Its now over 3.60.
P.S. I got out too early with CYFRF. Its now over 3.60.
INTC had been holding support in that 19-20 area after being rejected from that resistance about 4-5 bucks higher.
Bouncing off now from that area on news of it being an acquisition target. Up about 10%..this will be the second it will have gotten a pop off potential acquisition news.
I’m still skeptical about regulators but new admin might be more friendly to mergers.
Bouncing off now from that area on news of it being an acquisition target. Up about 10%..this will be the second it will have gotten a pop off potential acquisition news.
I’m still skeptical about regulators but new admin might be more friendly to mergers.
GEV broke $400 today. How is the chart looking?
Some news that may push the rally even higher:
Breaking new ground, don't know. Looks like it consolidated for a couple months and bounced off the 50DMA and is making another move. It is overbought but last time it was like this it stayed that way for about a couple months before it went into that consolidation for the next couple months. I don't know what to say lol. Let it run and use a trailing stop on some of it or all of it, depending on your tolerance. It's crazy to think this one time albatross around the neck of GE (GE Power) is what it is now haha. I thought it would be a solid company after the spinoff but nothing close to this.GEV broke $400 today. How is the chart looking?
Some news that may push the rally even higher:
I had a stop loss at $320, but this afternoon moved it up to $360. Even I'm getting nervous with this one. The fwd PE is 150'ish (which is PLTR territory).
It caught the AI/need more power narrative and just ripped.