OT: Stock and Investment Thread
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INTC appoints new CEO and getting a nice bump after hours.
The House of Representatives will soon consider a budget resolution for Fiscal Year (FY) 2025, which was reported favorably out of the House Budget Committee on February 13. The budget’s reconciliation instructions pave the way for a bill that could add at least $2.8 trillion to deficits through FY 2034, or $3.4 to $4 trillion of debt including interest costs.
Your a broken record market is high. You say a great opportunity to buy. Market sucks it’s a great opportunity to buy. As much as you post you can’t possibly be buying much.
The United States borrowed $1.1 trillion in the first five months of fiscal year 2025, including $307 billion in February, according to the latest Monthly Treasury Statement from the Treasury Department.
The following is a statement from Maya MacGuineas, president of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget:
The Treasury Department confirmed today that we have borrowed a total of $1.1 trillion in the first five months of the fiscal year – or nearly $8 billion a day. What needs no confirmation is that we are almost halfway through the fiscal year and yet we have done nothing in the way of making progress toward getting our skyrocketing debt under control.
I read about him back months ago when in articles mentioning potential candidates for CEO. He came off as a solid option and a serious one not one who is potentially a caretaker until any sort of acquisition but we’ll see.
Almost everyone is in agreement the nuclear power especially Small Module Reactors SMRs is the future energy source but it looks like it still several years away.
Everyone from the U.S. energy secretary to Big Tech touts small modular nuclear reactors as a potential answer to booming power demand, but the technology is struggling to become commercial due to costs and regulatory hurdles.
Energy-hungry data centers powering artificial intelligence are expected to spike electricity demand, including in the United States where its use has been mostly flat for two decades.
Backers of small modular reactors say the technology will eventually be cheaper and faster than today's nuclear power plants because it would be built out of mass-produced parts rather than as massive bespoke projects. The reactors can theoretically produce virtually emissions-free electricity.
But the only countries that have built SMRs also have centralized governments, which has helped projects secure financing and decide which SMR fuel types and coolants to use. Russia opened a floating SMR in the Arctic in 2019 and China opened an SMR in 2023.
The U.S. regulatory framework is underdeveloped, other power sources are cheaper, and there are nagging concerns about uranium supplies and radioactive waste.
It can take years for the NRC to approve reactors, which generate radioactive waste and must control operating and proliferation risks. Complicating matters, many plan to operate with special fuels, new technologies, and alternative coolants.
But even an NRC license is not a guarantee of success. The only commercial SMR that the NRC has approved so far axed its project. NuScale terminated its Idaho project in 2023 after costs nearly doubled, despite a 2020 Energy Department contract for $1.35 billion over 10 years.
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S down double digits in extended on earnings. Been a dog but I still like it. I added last night around $16, and that looks like a good add at the moment, with the stock in the mid $17's at 9AM.
This from Barrons:
entinelOne reported quarterly earnings that beat analysts' estimates but the stock was falling sharply in premarket trading. Wall Street said there was plenty to be positive about at the cybersecurity company.
SentinelOne stock fell 14% to $16.64 in premarket trading Thursday.
For its fourth quarter, the cybersecurity company reported adjusted earnings of 4 cents a share, beating Wall Street's call for profit of 1 cent, according to FactSet. Revenue of $225.5 million was above the consensus estimate for $222.2 million. Annualized recurring revenue, or ARR, increased 27% from the year prior.
Guggenheim analysts led by John DiFucci praised the quarter and maintained a Buy rating but trimmed its price target to $28 from $31.
"This was the first full year of positive net income, EPS, and FCF," analysts wrote. "Management highlighted that F4Q competitive win rates were strong and improved compared to prior quarters and average deal size and ARR per customer continued to increase."
William Blair analysts led by Jonathan Ho, who rate the stock at Outperform, chimed in on another element of the business.
"SentinelOne's AI solution had over 300 deals signed in the quarter, which we view as a positive sign of the company's generative AI capabilities from early adopter customers," they wrote.
For its fiscal first quarter ending April 30, SentinelOne said it expects revenue of $228 million, while analysts expected $235 million.
For fiscal 2026 ending Jan. 31, the company anticipates revenue of $1.007 billion to $1.012 billion, while analysts had penciled in $1.027 billion.
BTIG analysts Gray Powell and Trevor Rambo weighed in on the financial outlook in a note titled "It's Not That Bad." The team cut its price target to $27 from $30 and reiterated a Buy rating.
"We pressed management on overall visibility and the level of conservatism within guidance. We liked the answers. The company stressed they have bigger deals in the pipeline than ever before with the average deal size up double digits," analysts wrote. "More importantly, S is putting more scrutiny on deals that get into the pipeline.
This from Barrons:
entinelOne reported quarterly earnings that beat analysts' estimates but the stock was falling sharply in premarket trading. Wall Street said there was plenty to be positive about at the cybersecurity company.
SentinelOne stock fell 14% to $16.64 in premarket trading Thursday.
For its fourth quarter, the cybersecurity company reported adjusted earnings of 4 cents a share, beating Wall Street's call for profit of 1 cent, according to FactSet. Revenue of $225.5 million was above the consensus estimate for $222.2 million. Annualized recurring revenue, or ARR, increased 27% from the year prior.
Guggenheim analysts led by John DiFucci praised the quarter and maintained a Buy rating but trimmed its price target to $28 from $31.
"This was the first full year of positive net income, EPS, and FCF," analysts wrote. "Management highlighted that F4Q competitive win rates were strong and improved compared to prior quarters and average deal size and ARR per customer continued to increase."
William Blair analysts led by Jonathan Ho, who rate the stock at Outperform, chimed in on another element of the business.
"SentinelOne's AI solution had over 300 deals signed in the quarter, which we view as a positive sign of the company's generative AI capabilities from early adopter customers," they wrote.
For its fiscal first quarter ending April 30, SentinelOne said it expects revenue of $228 million, while analysts expected $235 million.
For fiscal 2026 ending Jan. 31, the company anticipates revenue of $1.007 billion to $1.012 billion, while analysts had penciled in $1.027 billion.
BTIG analysts Gray Powell and Trevor Rambo weighed in on the financial outlook in a note titled "It's Not That Bad." The team cut its price target to $27 from $30 and reiterated a Buy rating.
"We pressed management on overall visibility and the level of conservatism within guidance. We liked the answers. The company stressed they have bigger deals in the pipeline than ever before with the average deal size up double digits," analysts wrote. "More importantly, S is putting more scrutiny on deals that get into the pipeline.
Most cyber security plays will be big winners due to generational trends. I see that CyberArk is down nicely from its high. This is the one Dan Ives pumps all the time.
Is the US consumer market so powerful that every other country in the world cannot exist without selling here? I just saw that DT says he will put 200% tariffs on all wines being sold from EU countries. What would happen if every country cut down as much as possible any US purchases and structured as much of their sales and purchases between each other including countries the US has placed sanctions on?
I would think that the other countries, Canada, Mexico, Europe, China, SE Asia and India are increasing their trade among themselves going around the US. All the countries people are also buying their country products like the Chinese are buying from Chinese companies.
I sold my TSLA and NFLX. Now at 65% cash and 10% dividend stock assuming stocks still go lower.
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China's economy would be destroyed. The EU probably would be fine overall since trade with the US is rather modest.
I’m surprised NFLX has not held up better. If a recession hits one of the last things people bail on is NFLX.
Another outstanding inflation print this morning. Very light PPI. Add this to the CPI from yesterday and it sets up another nice decrease for PCE later this month (you can calculation 80-85% of PCE directly from the other 2 inflation metrics).
Still up 50% over the past year. More then 3x over the last 2 years. Still pretty expensive at 46x PE.
Run of the mill pull back considering that run.
Truflation fans knew this already and Trumpers on TwitX and “Truth” Social pounding their chests about falling inflation are silly. But hey, Shill baby shill ! is the actual mantra!
In other news, MSFT appears to have hit a floor and I’m reading that they should lead the Mag7, now Lag6, back from the depths of the correction. Hopeful for a slow grind higher from here as price targets remain $450-$525 for the little business software monopoly who could. Falling rates and weaker dollar should help but the bond market obviously doesn’t trust DOGE for much as stagflation is the new paradigm…maybe. Of course tariffs aren’t technically inflation and only act to raise the general price level.
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That’s insanity and in NJ that $150K threshold is a joke. The wealthy states will basically subsidize society more-so than we already are?
I brought it at its low a few days ago and took my profits. I think the market is slowly going down.
Well, Trump has said that he wants to eliminate income taxes and replace with tariffs. Tariffs fight sounds like 2-3 year mission. I had arguements with Republicans for the last 10-15 years on this board have wanted a VAT, sales tax, or tariffs to replace income tax which is regressive. The poor and middle class would pay more than the rich. Now, Trump ready to implement , no longer just an idea.
Added a little META down 20%. AMZN, GOOG AND META down 20% from highs. Will buy more at 22-23% down.
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They’d rather cut federal spending via DOGE than raise the top tax bracket. The grift is hiding in plain sight. Without raising the top tax bracket rate you’re left with a lot of poor choices. AOC and her kind parroting left wingers about taxing billionaires out of existence has led to the billionaires buying this Imperial Presidency.
Well, so many poor or middle class voted for him for other issues and didn't realize they were voting against their own interest. They might have voted against illegal immigration or trans/ gays or any other social issues but didn’t listen to his total message. I understand business owners voting for Trump since he gave them an extra tax break of 20% but not the poor. Actually more people income over $100k voted for Harris and under $100k voted for Trump, None of the policies will hurt me but I know what right or wrong.
No household under 400K would have seen a tax increase under Biden/Kamala/Walz/et Al. And here we are raising taxes bigly on the upper middle class and below.
Take the TDS to the CE board. Always the same people
IDK why anyone would want to put money to work in this environment. Everything I nibbled on over last two weeks is heavy in red. There was a CNBC article this morning that said hedge funds are liquidating positions at a record pace and buying protection. With that said, I’m sure there will be a few massive up days thanks to a Trump tweet but none of what Trump is doing favors the market and could be causing damage that will take a few years to fully repair. I loved the COVID dip because that was a global phenomenon that hit everyone hard. Trump however is picking a choosing winners and starting fights across the world.
I agree no taxes on any income below $150k. Any income above that is a flat rate and all types of income is taxed at the same rate. Such as wages, capital gains and carried interest.
Actually, the middle class got a tax cut under the 2017 legislation. First, by the new rate schedule. Second by the increase in the standard deduction. In terms of dollars, sure, the rich got a lot more. But in percentages they did as well or better, depending on the individual situation. Maybe that's what they were looking at along with illegal immigration. The truly poor don't pay income taxes under either scenario.
I moved to 65% cash and 10% defensive dividend stocks. Waiting till rurahah tells me capitulation happens.
As a retiree, none of the current policies will hurt me. Any changes to social security will be for future retirees. Policies changes probably will help my relatives, I was shocked when one of my nephew told me he pays about $100k in taxes. Easier for their kids to get into better colleges with less competition from kids that need student loans. I think they moved into the upper middle class like T2K except them don’t think their kids need to go to private schools.
If “no taxes on Social Security” happens, there will be funding problems regarding SS benefits well before the current 2035 status quo funding problem date. Amazing how glib some people are regarding the dangers of what’s going on.
There’s plenty of dangers depending on your situation, the more assets you have or safety net, the less danger. Can’t do much until the next election.
That could be an interesting dynamic about student loans (or lack thereof in the future). It would come with a lot of positives and drive tuition costs down as colleges compete for a small student pool.
Article from Bergen Record
Public universities and community colleges in New Jersey received more than $725 million in federal financial aid that to help nearly 144,000 students statewide last year.
Nearly 10,000 students received federal work-study grants, and 38,295 students received Supplemental Educational Opportunity Grants in 2022-23, according to data from the National Association of Independent Colleges and Universities.
A joint hearing in Trenton Monday of the state Senate and Assembly Higher Education Committees was the first public discussion organized by lawmakers to understand the potential impacts of the Trump administration's efforts to shrink or even eliminate the federal Department of Education and target higher education spending for cuts.
When POTUS stops doing what every credible economist said would wreck the market, and now after he did it the market is in fact getting wrecked, then we’ll stop talking about him in the stock thread.