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AP Poll Prediction: Projecting Top 25 ranking after Week 7 of college football

FaceProfileby: Thomas Goldkamp18 minutes ago
AP POLL AFI2 (3)

We’re officially at the midway point of the 2025 season and the slate of games on Saturday certainly reflected that. There were a slew of matchups between top 25 teams, giving us a better picture in the rankings.

There were about a half dozen matchups that involved two ranked teams, giving us some juicy viewing throughout the day. There were a few top 25 upsets, though perhaps not as many that were totally out of the blue as in prior weeks.

There was a lot to digest. Today, On3 stops to break down some of the changes anticipated in this week’s AP Top 25. Let’s dig into our projections for the new edition of the top college football poll below.

1. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-0)

RESULT: 34-16 win at Illinois
Ohio State took charge early in the contest, jumping out to a 20-0 lead before finally allowing Illinois to chip away at it. The Fighting Illini managed to cut that deficit in half, but the Buckeyes responded late in the third quarter and early in the fourth to put it away for good.

Ryan Day and his squad have stood up to every test so far this season, though there haven’t been too many overly stiff ones just yet. Some of that is a product of the schedule, some is Ohio State being really good. A test against an extremely desperate Penn State in three weeks will tell us more. Maybe.

2. Miami Hurricanes (5-0)

Carson Beck and the 'Canes travel to Tallahassee. (Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images)
(Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images)

RESULT: BYE
Miami was on a bye this week after surviving a then-tricky road test at Florida State. Of course, with Florida State now having lost three straight games, that win has lost a little luster. Still, you can only win the games they put in front of you.

The Hurricanes are arguably the most complete team in the country, and it starts in the trenches. Until someone can hold their own up front, Miami could continue to cruise.

3. Texas A&M Aggies (6-0)

RESULT: 34-17 win vs. Florida
Texas A&M took charge early on against Florida and though it took a while to put the game away for good, the Aggies did just that. Another impressive win in conference play for Mike Elko and company.

The Aggies really don’t have many weaknesses, and they seem to be improving on a weekly basis. That’s what legitimate top 25 teams do, and Texas A&M is very much legitimate at this point. Maybe even one of the favorites to win it all.

4. Ole Miss Rebels (6-0)

RESULT: 24-21 win vs. Washington State
Ole Miss entered as an absolutely massive favorite over Washington State, but it got everything it wanted and then some. The Cougars had the lead at various points in the contest, including for much of the third quarter.

But the Rebels answered as Trinidad Chambliss came through when needed. And then they clung to the lead at the end of the game and managed to avoid any flukiness on the final play of the game to seal the win.

5. Indiana Hoosiers (6-0)

Curt Cignetti Indiana
Rich Janzaruk/Herald-Times / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

RESULT: 30-20 win at Oregon
Indiana needed a signature result after rolling through the first half of the schedule mostly untested (though there was a top 25 blowout of Illinois in there). It got one in a major way, going to Eugene, Ore., and coming out with the most impressive win of the weekend.

It wasn’t even a perfect game for the Hoosiers, and that’s perhaps the most impressive thing about the win. It was just a flat-out dominant performance by a very solid team all the way around.

6. Alabama Crimson Tide (5-1)

RESULT: 27-24 win at Missouri
Alabama knew it would have a tough test on the road against a top 25 Missouri team, and that’s how it played out. The Crimson Tide led the majority of the way but was still pushed until the final minute, when Beau Pribula was picked off by Dijon Lee to seal the game.

The resume for Alabama is looking excellent at this point, with three straight wins over ranked opponents. The loss to Florida State is looking a bit more suspect, but that won’t matter if the Crimson Tide keep taking care of business.

7. Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-0)

RESULT: 42-17 win vs. Kansas
Texas Tech rolled up 18 points in the first quarter against Kansas and then cruised from there. Once again, the Red Raiders were absolutely dominant in the trenches on both sides of the ball.

The program rolled up more than 300 yards on the ground, led by a monster outing from Cameron Dickey. Dickey broke off a 71-yard run and finished with 263 yards in the contest. Up next: a road trip to take on a top 25 Arizona State team.

8. Oregon Ducks (5-1)

Oregon Head Coach Dan Lanning
Oregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning against the Indiana Hoosiers. (Photo by: Eric Becker/ScoopDuckOn3)

RESULT: 30-20 loss vs. Indiana
For the first time all year, Oregon ran up against a team that was able to match its physicality in the trenches. Indiana showed early on that it wasn’t going to be bullied in the matchup, asserting itself on the road.

Oregon was held to just 267 total yards of offense in the contest, unable to generate much on the ground. Quarterback Dante Moore was picked off twice, compounding matters. Oregon has no remaining top 25 teams left on the schedule, so everything is still in front of it.

9. Georgia Bulldogs (5-1)

RESULT: 20-10 win at Auburn
Georgia struggled to move the football for most of the first half against Auburn. It very nearly went down 17-0 until a controversial call on a fumble at the goal line by the Tigers gave the Bulldogs life.

From there, Kirby Smart‘s squad buckled down and pitched a second-half shutout, grabbing a huge road win. Now it’s a meeting with undefeated Ole Miss in a game that could determine the top of the pecking order in the SEC.

10. LSU Tigers (5-1)

RESULT: 20-10 win vs. South Carolina
LSU still hasn’t looked like a dominant team, and Saturday was more of the same. Yet it was another win for the Tigers against a conference foe. The Tigers will come away feeling good about the win but knowing there’s work to be done.

Quarterback Garrett Nussmeier threw two interceptions, but he also finished with 254 yards and two touchdowns in the win. LSU’s schedule is about to get very difficult, with games against ranked Vanderbilt, Texas A&M and Alabama squads up next.

Rest of the AP Top 25 Projections

  1. Tennessee Volunteers (5-1)
  2. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (6-0)
  3. Oklahoma Sooners (5-1)
  4. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-2)
  5. BYU Cougars (6-0)
  6. Missouri Tigers (5-1)
  7. Virginia Cavaliers (5-1)
  8. Vanderbilt Commodores (5-1)
  9. Memphis Tigers (6-0)
  10. USF Bulls (5-1)
  11. Texas Longhorns (4-2)
  12. USC Trojans (5-1)
  13. Michigan Wolverines (4-2)
  14. Utah Utes (5-1)
  15. Cincinnati Bearcats (5-1)