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Auburn vs. Vanderbilt odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Tigers, Commodores

Stephen Samraby: Steve Samra01/17/24SamraSource
Auburn | Vandy
Auburn © Jake Crandall/ Advertiser / USA TODAY NETWORK | Vandy © Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The Auburn Tigers will take their successful start to the 2023-2024 campaign on the road for an SEC clash on Wednesday, facing off against the Vanderbilt Commodores.

Auburn is on a heater at the moment. The Tigers sit at 14-2, and haven’t lost an SEC game yet. On the other hand, the Commodores are looking for a spark to begin a run. Vanderbilt is currently 5-11 on the campaign, and the team hasn’t won a conference game yet.

Many believes it’s Auburn’s game to lose when they travel to Nashville on Wednesday. Nevertheless, there’s a reason why we play the game on the court, and not on paper. Here’s everything you need to know before the Tigers and the Commodores do battle.

Odds for Auburn vs. Vanderbilt

Coming into the game, Auburn is an 11.5-point favorite over Vanderbilt, per FanDuel. The Tigers are also currently listed at -800 for the money-line, right now, while the Commodores are sitting at +540. 

The point total for the game is currently set at 146.5 points. We’ll see if these two SEC rivals can get their scoring up and reach that number on Wednesday.

Final score predictions for Auburn vs. Vanderbilt

BPI Predicted winner: Auburn
BPI Predicted point differential: 17.0
BPI Win probability (for Auburn): 92.9%
BPI Matchup Quality: 65.1

ESPN’s BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. It agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. Leading into the game, BPI is projecting a point differential of 17 points in Auburn’s favor. It also gives the Tigers a 92.9% percent chance to win the game over the Commodores. 

BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 65.1, which isn’t one of the best for Wednesday, but there’s still potential for a solid showing.

KenPom Predicted final score: Auburn 81, Vanderbilt 65
KenPom Win probability (for Auburn): 93%

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Auburn and Vanderbilt, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Commodores to lose.

How to watch Auburn vs. Vanderbilt

Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Nashville (TN)

Auburn and Vanderbilt are set to tip off at 9:00 p.m. EST. It will be played at the Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, Tennessee, and a raucous crowd should be ready to make the Tigers have fits during the game.

TRY FUBO FOR FREE: For a limited time, new subscribers can save $20 on Fubo’s Pro, Elite, and Premier plans 

For fans outside of Nashville, the game can be watched on SEC Network. It’s also going to be available to fans on streaming through FuboTV, which does have an option for new subscribers to save on their plans.