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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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ORCL hit on a report that their business segment which rents out NVDA chips is resulting in 14% margins.

But Goldman Sachs says that low margin is due to the costs for the racks being upfront while the revenue needs time to ramp up. Says this is a buying opportunity.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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RU05 said:
ORCL hit on a report that their business segment which rents out NVDA chips is resulting in 14% margins.

But Goldman Sachs says that low margin is due to the costs for the racks being upfront while the revenue needs time to ramp up. Says this is a buying opportunity.
Click to expand...
+1
That report seems like clickbait or just a hit piece. Very fishy.
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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T2Kplus20 said:
Did you see the weekend TCAF episode with the Fidelity Quant lead? She was freaking awesome. Great data and insights.

Click to expand...

I haven't. There's been a bunch of vid's this week, Lynch, the SOL guy, and the regular WAYT, so I missed this one, thanks for the reminder.
 
R

RU05

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I have ARBE up 20% today. Jewish robots.

RR, a US robot company, which has been outperforming, down 3.5% today.

Not seeing any news. Maybe just a catchup trade?
 
R

RU05

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Jun 25, 2015
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Stephanie Link likes ROK in the automation space.

A much more established company then the likes of RR and ARBE. Though not exactly cheap at 40x pe.

It is trying to break out past resistance which dates back 4 years. ATH's on the other side if it can.

Edit: Cash flow expected to double from 2024 ($7 per share) to 2026 ($14 per share).
 
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R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Some guy from I think Melius, on CNBC this morning.

"AI is eating software"

"we see hardware companies getting an above market multiple, while SAAS companies become the old hardware and get single digit multiple, that's how much disruption there is".

Paraphrasing, but very interesting.

Likes Dell, which is popping today, IBM, and INTC although they don't have a visible AI strategy just yet.
 
R

RU05

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Jun 25, 2015
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Did I mention I sold FCX when it tanked 2 weeks ago? Well it's up 20% since. Effing amazing.
 
T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,733
18,742
113
RU05 said:
Some guy from I think Melius, on CNBC this morning.

"AI is eating software"

"we see hardware companies getting an above market multiple, while SAAS companies become the old hardware and get single digit multiple, that's how much disruption there is".

Paraphrasing, but very interesting.

Likes Dell, which is popping today, IBM, and INTC although they don't have a visible AI strategy just yet.
Click to expand...
This is somewhat true, at least for now. I have NOW in my custom basket. It's down 15-20% from the peak and chopping around.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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RU05 said:
Did I mention I sold FCX when it tanked 2 weeks ago? Well it's up 20% since. Effing amazing.
Click to expand...
Seems like you are picking the right stocks.....just not holding them long enough. :)

As for me, I'm still looking to bottom fish some of the non-tech laggards. But no buys just yet.
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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T2Kplus20 said:
Seems like you are picking the right stocks.....just not holding them long enough. :)

As for me, I'm still looking to bottom fish some of the non-tech laggards. But no buys just yet.
Click to expand...
Some stocks that is def true.

FCX was a dog though, and recently had a mud slide which killed workers on it's resume.

But whatever. Jewish Robots!!!
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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RU05 said:
Some stocks that is def true.

FCX was a dog though, and recently had a mud slide which killed workers on it's resume.

But whatever. Jewish Robots!!!
Click to expand...
This market is so much fun. CMG is down today. Those $40 Jan 2028 calls are getting close to my limit order. The new NKE CEO was on CNBC a few days ago. He seemed to have a good handle on what it will take to turn the company around.
 
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RU05

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LAZR. Lidar. Automotive supplier, but probably robots too? One year chart is terrible, but maybe it has found a bottom. Up 14% today.

Not profitable, but cheap on price to rev's (2x) with big growth expected in the coming years.
 
C

cioffineverrana43

Junior
Mar 23, 2017
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RU05 said:
Stephanie Link likes ROK in the automation space.

A much more established company then the likes of RR and ARBE. Though not exactly cheap at 40x pe.

It is trying to break out past resistance which dates back 4 years. ATH's on the other side if it can.

Edit: Cash flow expected to double from 2024 ($7 per share) to 2026 ($14 per share).
Click to expand...
A lot depends on how you view "automation". Siemens, ABB, and Rockwell Automation have owned that space for a very long time and their equipment is in every factory & distro center. It isn't easy to migrate away from all that infrastructure either; plants don't switch to the latest & greatest, they run the old stuff until it catches fire and they can't buy replacement parts (used or otherwise). RR and ARBE are robotics companies. Next generation stuff. I wouldn't be shocked if one of the global players buys one of those little guys...
 
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RU05

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Jun 25, 2015
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T2Kplus20 said:
Did you see the weekend TCAF episode with the Fidelity Quant lead? She was freaking awesome. Great data and insights.

Click to expand...

Just listened. She was excellent. Only problem was she talks faster then I can think, so I should probably listen again.

Going to find her podcast, which unfortunately is only monthly.
 
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V

Vlife

Senior
Nov 20, 2001
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gmay8

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Nov 29, 2005
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I've been hanging onto and buying more RIVN for like 18 months... My buddy has been talking nonstop about RKLB... RIVN has been frustratingly boring, RKLB is a damn rocket.
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Brin Talkinton on closing bell noted markets typically don't bottom on Fridays, so she was expecting further slide on Monday, and that would be the buying opportunity.

She also talked about the slide in BDC's being overdone. And this was something I was thinking too, the negativity seems to be at a hyper pitch this week. I might go MSDL(Morgan Stanley's version) which pays a 12% div.
 
A

Anon1751565407

Redshirt
Jul 3, 2025
75
38
18
Question of the moment…are the tech giants immune to the TACO man? MSFT shed 2% Friday but bids seem to come in anytime it dips to $510/sh these days. Quarterly results coming soon but hopefully price action stays calm (unlike last qtr) because I don’t want to be forced to take profits and I ain’t selling a monopolyish outfit on a dip.
Oh…and F*** Fibonacci!🤣
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Anon1751565407 said:
Question of the moment…are the tech giants immune to the TACO man? MSFT shed 2% Friday but bids seem to come in anytime it dips to $510/sh these days. Quarterly results coming soon but hopefully price action stays calm (unlike last qtr) because I don’t want to be forced to take profits and I ain’t selling a monopolyish outfit on a dip.
Oh…and F*** Fibonacci!🤣
Click to expand...
AI says MSFT's cloud and software business is largely insulated from tariffs. Thus the modest drop on Friday. XBOX would be a tariff target, but just not that big a segment of MSFT's business.


Unlike Apple or AMZN who will see a ton of their products subject to Tariffs.
 
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A

Anon1751565407

Redshirt
Jul 3, 2025
75
38
18
RU05 said:
AI says MSFT's cloud and software business is largely insulated from tariffs. Thus the modest drop on Friday. XBOX would be a tariff target, but just not that big a segment of MSFT's business.


Unlike Apple or AMZN who will see a ton of their products subject to Tariffs.
Click to expand...
Yes. Agree wholeheartedly. I was actually surprised MSFT fell even as much as it did…but I’m sure it was based more on macro sentiment than anything.
And F*** Fibonacci!
Price action on MSFT last quarter was WILD as the price topped briefly at $560 ish for literally just a few minutes.
Ives and his pastel ‘fit keeps reiterating that the AI mania is still very young and I think he’s actually understating the truly long term growth impact it will have. There will still be companies 10 years from now that will finally come around and implement AI in a big way for the first time.
Personally I’m hoping MSFT in ten years is run 98% by AI agents.🤣 Its market cap would then be safely well above that of gold or even Bitcoin.🫣🤭
 
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T2Kplus20

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
30,733
18,742
113
RU05 said:
AI says MSFT's cloud and software business is largely insulated from tariffs. Thus the modest drop on Friday. XBOX would be a tariff target, but just not that big a segment of MSFT's business.


Unlike Apple or AMZN who will see a ton of their products subject to Tariffs.
Click to expand...
But I assume AWS is unaffected by tariffs, which is AMZN's growth engine. Did you buy anything on Friday?
 
R

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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T2Kplus20 said:
But I assume AWS is unaffected by tariffs, which is AMZN's growth engine. Did you buy anything on Friday?
Click to expand...
No, but I'll be buying some tomorrow.

I do have some cash, and I can sell SGOV in order to free more.
 
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