Dick. You should know better!I'm green at 10:06 am. Edit: Jinxed it. down .5% at 10:40.
LYB
MDB
DOW(bought it yesterday)
CRWD
S (some reason I still own this dog)
SNOW
at the top of my portfolio.
My bad.Dick. You should know better!![]()
What's pulling the Dow down so much?WTI at $79. Will it climb over $80?
The rise in oil is putting pressure on the idea that more rate cuts are near.
Rate sensitve stocks taking a hit. See FLG which I mention above.
This guy’s story is pretty fascinating. His stock picks are too
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nothing huge it appears. But GS JNJ and CAT all down 3%.What's pulling the Dow down so much?
WMT down? Might need to rush in and buy leaps.nothing huge it appears. But GS JNJ and CAT all down 3%.
Edit: WMT down 4.4%
Supposedly no oil ships went through on Wednesday.Meh. Seems like the Straight is secure and available for shipping.
Bunch of wusses!Supposedly no oil ships went through on Wednesday.
Probably a sign the market doesn't see this as a long term thing.Bunch of wusses!
Interesting that energy/oil was rather meh today. Up a little, but not much. I didn't sell any of my energy positions, but definitely thinking about it. I do believe this is a multi-year macro trend with XLE and its holdings moving higher, but maybe it dumps when oil eventually does so. Then buy back in. Or maybe I'm trying to be too cute. All of my positions are shares or Jan 2027 leaps (so plenty of time).
Yeah, very likely. I did read/see that Iranian missile and drone launches are done 80-90% already. So that's a good sign.Probably a sign the market doesn't see this as a long term thing.
If the war becomes a little messier then those price may continue to rise.
You can look at the live maritime map and see all the ships parked on either sideSupposedly no oil ships went through on Wednesday.
Didn’t age well.Meh. Seems like the Straight is secure and available for shipping.
US military ships are using the Straight at will. What's the problem?Didn’t age well.
Do they transport oil?US military ships are using the Straight at will. What's the problem?
Are you sure about that info?US military ships are using the Straight at will. What's the problem?
They facilitate the transport of oil. Don't be on the wrong side when the news drops.Do they transport oil?
$88. Messier?Probably a sign the market doesn't see this as a long term thing.
If the war becomes a little messier then those price may continue to rise.
We are allowing India to buy oil from Russia. Don’t make me look up how to post the nothing to see here meme.They facilitate the transport of oil. Don't be on the wrong side when the news drops.
We are allowing India to buy oil from Russia. Don’t make me look up how to post the nothing to see here meme.
What news? The WH has said they want unconditional surrender and the ability to name the next leader. Iran isn't going to roll over that easily. The only way to achieve that is use of ground forces.They facilitate the transport of oil. Don't be on the wrong side when the news drops.
That's probably a good bet at this point, given that all energy production in the region is at risk of shutting down.Good week... PLTR up quite a bit and headed higher. My oil hedge is working out well. It may go higher than $100.
+1Good week... PLTR up quite a bit and headed higher. My oil hedge is working out well. It may go higher than $100.
LOL! When the conflict ends, oil will be down to $65 and S&P back to $6,900 within a few trading days. Did you learn anything from last year? Also, Trump says a lot of things.What news? The WH has said they want unconditional surrender and the ability to name the next leader. Iran isn't going to roll over that easily. The only way to achieve that is use of ground forces.
Remember before anyone rushes to buy the dip: the market needs to rise by 11% to break even after a 10% drop.
Do you think production/supply is an issue right now? There are months and months already in process and 80-85% of oil continues to flow. Yes, if is doesn't end soon we will have a small deficit of oil which likely can be compensated for by other sources. The only big deal here is fear. Nothing more.You think production/supply is just going to immediately snap back to what it was? Something like four ships have crossed the strait this week. It could take months to fill the growing deficit. And that's assuming this ends soon. The longer it goes on, the worse it's going to get.
Yes, I do. 20-25% of the world's daily oil & LNG travels through that strait. It's been closed for five days already. Not to mention the refineries and other production infrastructure that's been attacked by drones. And if it weren't going to be a problem, what incentive would the WH have for ending the war early, like you predict? Why not just keep bombing them into submission?Do you think production/supply is an issue right now? There are months and months already in process and 80-85% of oil continues to flow. Yes, if is doesn't end soon we will have a small deficit of oil which likely can be compensated for by other sources. The only big deal here is fear. Nothing more.
Seems like submission is coming quickly (based on what Iran can and can't do anymore).Yes, I do. 20-25% of the world's daily oil & LNG travels through that strait. It's been closed for five days already. Not to mention the refineries and other production infrastructure that's been attacked by drones. And if it weren't going to be a problem, what incentive would the WH have for ending the war early, like you predict? Why not just keep bombing them into submission?
The Ayatollahs in Iran are more than just political leaders - they are also akin to Catholic popes in Shia branch of Islam. Iran is 99% of Iranian population ( 80% is Twelver Shias - Mamdani's crew). A reason Iran bombing a lot of other states is because they have US bases and or govs aligned with US. Those govs assumed US protected them militarily and Iran wanted to show them they weren't. The populations are also considerably more in step with Iran than the US aligned leaders. Most "experts" keep saying Iran just "striking out haphazardly in panic." I hope Iran doesn't hit the desalination plants in the other ME states (wary about sleepers in West). Some Israeli officials now saying "Turkey is the new Iran" and that's the view of the "greater Israel" expansion project. "Peace" is not an ultimate goal in ME imo. US "picking" a leader not in line with Iran's religious constitution could be a bull in glassware shop thing.You think production/supply is just going to immediately snap back to what it was? Something like four ships have crossed the strait this week. It could take months to fill the growing deficit. And that's assuming this ends soon. The longer it goes on, the worse it's going to get.
Yep, it’s not just how you perform on the upside, it’s also how you’re positioned in a time of weakness. Energy and energy infrastructure represent over 12% of my equities, and have led my portfolio YTD. But this weak, not so much, although it did reduce the blow somewhat.Good week... PLTR up quite a bit and headed higher. My oil hedge is working out well. It may go higher than $100.
Moreover, portfolio performance depends on how well your biggest investments perform and how well someone manages loses. Too often folks hold on to their losers for too long.Yep, it’s not just how you perform on the upside, it’s also how you’re positioned in a time of weakness. Energy and energy represent over 12% of my equities, and have led my portfolio YTD. But this weak, not so much, although it did reduce the blow somewhat.