The western panhandle has improved to the "abnormally dry" category in the latest drought monitor. Baby steps.
US Drought
- Thread starter DFSNOLE_rivals
- Start date
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore
Big Bust Potential 
Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.
So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.
This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
Big Bust Potential Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore
So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
The Tampa Shield in effect early?
Sunday, we got .25" while Freeport, 20 miles south, got 2.5"
We're still in the Abnormally Dry category.
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Current Map | U.S. Drought Monitor
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Suck it up buttercups. We had heat index of 125 two weekends ago. 115 is a walk in the park.
Getting fugan sick of the rain here in Iowa. Seems more like spring recently than the middle of August. Usually by now the grass is starting to turn brown but that sh*t’s going to be needing mowed for weeks to come. Just mowed Tuesday and need to mow again whenever it stops actually raining.
I would be glad to see some of the moisture from SC humidity shared.
A rapidly intensifying "super" El Niño developed in June 2026 and is on track to become one of the most powerful climate events in decades by late 2026.
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Tampa weatherman
Tropical Moisture from #Dolly looks to gang up on an already saturated #Florida atmosphere in about a week. It means plenty of stormy periods across the state for the next ~2 weeks. There’s some chance Dolly will regenerate near Florida later next week, so stay tuned. It doesn’t necessarily mean a strong #storm is coming. It may be just what the doctored ordered - downpours to continue to ease our longterm #drought
Tropical Moisture from #Dolly looks to gang up on an already saturated #Florida atmosphere in about a week. It means plenty of stormy periods across the state for the next ~2 weeks. There’s some chance Dolly will regenerate near Florida later next week, so stay tuned. It doesn’t necessarily mean a strong #storm is coming. It may be just what the doctored ordered - downpours to continue to ease our longterm #drought
As I predicted, Dolly will be a storm that leaves the world better than it found it.
Did summer rain help cure our #drought in #Florida? Not really. As you can see, on the bottom, there are more browns than greens. Brown means below normal summer #rain. It was especially dry in the #Tampa Bay Area and South FL from West Palm to Ft Lauderdale and #Miami. The only place that really cashed in was the Big Bend.
We have had such a strange summer. Started out very wet, then went a long period without rain. Then we had a full week of rain. Then we went another long period with no rain. Now we are 3 days into a 10 day stretch with rain every day. 3" in the last 72 hours, and another 2 inches coming this week.
During our long stretch without rain I let my grass go dormant, and when it woke back up there were some large areas that just straight up died. I reseeded on saturday and now I'm a little concerned about getting too much rain. Might have to reseed along the street in a couple weeks.
We've had a bunch of rain the past six weeks but we remain in the abnormally dry category.
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
Current Map | U.S. Drought Monitor
droughtmonitor.unl.edu
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