Red bank area.
People- helps to say your general area when you say my area.
Please post your exact address, phone number, date of birth and social security number so that the models remain accurate!!!!!
OT: Tracking Winter Storm Fern 1/25-26
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
People- helps to say your general area when you say my area.
Please post your exact address, phone number, date of birth and social security number so that the models remain accurate!!!!!
NWS Mount Holly seems to be giving in. Previously they forecast for my Cherry Hill zip code that the switch from all snow would happen at 1 p.m. Sunday -- now it's 10 a.m. Sunday. Their snow forecast is also a little smaller -- 1 to 2 inches Saturday night, then an accumulation of up to 6-10 inches of snow and sleet on Sunday.
There is also a new briefing from them, issued at 2:30. They say that "sleet and freezing rain chances continue to
increase for the I-95 corridor southward into Delmarva, increasing potential for some isolated power outages." Their previous forecast of 12-18 inches is now for only north of a line extending roughly from Flemington to Long Branch. South of there, it will be, they say, 8-12 inches, with 6-8 in Cape May. Not surprisingly, what is driving the reduction is the increased anticipation of a changeover from snow to snow/sleet/freezing rain.
They still see close to a 90% chance of 6 or more inches of snow in Philadelphia, but only a 66% chance of 8 or more, and a 35% chance of 12 or more.
Their ice forecast is for accumulations of 0.1 to 0.3. Winds gusting up to 20-30 miles per hour increase the potential for fallen trees and power lines. They continue to forecast a long stretch of cold weather after that.https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
There is also a new briefing from them, issued at 2:30. They say that "sleet and freezing rain chances continue to
increase for the I-95 corridor southward into Delmarva, increasing potential for some isolated power outages." Their previous forecast of 12-18 inches is now for only north of a line extending roughly from Flemington to Long Branch. South of there, it will be, they say, 8-12 inches, with 6-8 in Cape May. Not surprisingly, what is driving the reduction is the increased anticipation of a changeover from snow to snow/sleet/freezing rain.
They still see close to a 90% chance of 6 or more inches of snow in Philadelphia, but only a 66% chance of 8 or more, and a 35% chance of 12 or more.
Their ice forecast is for accumulations of 0.1 to 0.3. Winds gusting up to 20-30 miles per hour increase the potential for fallen trees and power lines. They continue to forecast a long stretch of cold weather after that.https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/current_briefing.pdf
It’s going to be all about the initial thump of snow. We’re likely all going to change to sleet and possibly freezing rain - but how much snow falls before that is what to monitor.
00z models coming in with a very heavy initial thump of snow. So even with the change over - I think someone in central Jersey can see a foot or more if the heavy bands find them, the intensity of snow for the first several hours is going to be insane
00z models coming in with a very heavy initial thump of snow. So even with the change over - I think someone in central Jersey can see a foot or more if the heavy bands find them, the intensity of snow for the first several hours is going to be insane
It could be anywhere from 5-12 but i like 8 or 9...but even that might be bullish if we sleet quicker
So I heard some commentary that it may be so cold that salt may not be very effective against frozen precipitation.
Been listening to Lionel on WABC. He a a Geophysicist on and he discussed the weather and chemtrails.
What does this even mean? Some more context would be very helpful for the non-weenies.
I think it means all the Europeans are running from the storm. Vietnam is snow free tho.
I like nothing better than seeing snow weenies cry. They completely disregard the fact that lives are going to be disrupted, roads are going to be unpassable and there will be nowhere to park for weeks if they get all the snow they want
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Just saw that. Everything has been “trending” that way since Thursday. We will see if the Euro caves next
Stop it. Now we have cave men go f'ing something? Nobody except 3 people know what this means
TWC is still saying 12-18 inches up by me. So maybe they lowered their estimates a little but not much.
This! There are people who HAVE to get out and get to work…ie health care workers among others. It’s not fun.
No we are still on track for 6 plus but the GFS which has been consistent 12-16 now is one of the least snowiest models. Either way its a terrible model to be used in this stormIs it all falling apart now?