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Baylor at Texas Tech: How to watch, odds, predictions from ESPN, KenPom

On3 imageby: Tyler Mansfield02/16/22TMansfieldMedia

No. 7 ranked Baylor hits the road to Lubbock, Texas on Wednesday for a marquee Big 12 matchup with No. 11 Texas Tech at United Supermarkets Arena. Ahead of the game, which will be broadcast live on ESPN2, predictions and betting odds – including KenPom analytics – are rolling in.

How to watch Baylor at Texas Tech

Tip-off: 9 p.m. ET

Location: United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, Texas

Channel: ESPN2

Vegas odds

Texas Tech is a 2-point favorite over Baylor, according to Vegas Insider. The over-under is set at 136.5 points.

ESPN BPI prediction

Predicted winner: Texas Tech

Predicted point differential: 0.4

Win probability (for Texas Tech): 51.5%

Matchup quality: 98.1

ESPN’s College Basketball Power Index (BPI) is a tool that measures team strength and uses that to predict outcomes of future performances. ESPN’s BPI has Baylor at Texas Tech as the highest-rated game on Wednesday’s slate in terms of matchup quality.

KenPom prediction

Predicted final score: Texas Tech 67, Baylor 66

Win probability (for Texas Tech): 52%

KenPom is another tool that provides advanced analysis across college basketball. Just like ESPN, KenPom projects that Texas Tech comes away with a victory over Baylor.

Bears have bounced back with two big wins

After suffering a humiliating 83-59 loss to Kansas on Feb. 5, Baylor has bounced back with two straight big wins over Kansas State and Texas and is sitting at 21-4 overall with a 9-3 mark in Big 12 play heading into Wednesday night’s showdown with Texas Tech.

In the Bears’ last outing, a 80-63 victory over Texas, they shot 50% from the field, outrebounded the Longhorns by 10 and were led by Adam Flagler – who scored 20 points while knocking down four 3-pointers. Alongside Flagler, Baylor’s entire starting five scored in double figures.

Red Raiders have won four of their last five

Although it suffered a 70-55 loss at Oklahoma last Wednesday, Texas Tech has won four of its last five games and heads into its crucial matchup with Baylor fresh off a 82-69 win over TCU on Saturday. The Red Raiders played nearly flawless against the Horned Frogs – shooting 53.8% from the field and 55.6% from 3-point range while forcing TCU into 20 turnovers.

Terrence Shannon Jr. led the way for Texas Tech with 20 points off the bench, while Bryson Williams scored 16 points and Davion Warren added 12.