ESPN’s FPI predicted the winners of every top 25 game in Week 4 and boy it is a loaded slate with great games.
Some games feature heavy favorites, some razor thin margins and percentages that look at teams taking a road trip. Of course, throw predictions out the window once the games start, but there are significant lines this weekend.
Below are the predictions for all of the teams within the top 25 that are in action this week, starting with the No. 1 team in the country.
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2)
Spread: Georgia (-42)
FPI prediction: Georgia – 98.6%
The Bulldogs are a massive favorite here and anything short of a blowout would be borderline stunning, nothing against UAB. This should be an opportunity for Carson Beck to really get into a groove.
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (Big Ten Network)
Spread: Michigan (-24)
FPI prediction: Michigan – 84.9%
Jim Harbaugh returns for this game after three games on suspension. Expect him to break it all out and let the offense loose against a 3-0 Rutgers team likely to be way overmatched.
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Texas (-15)
FPI prediction: Texas – 90.1%
No. 4 Florida State at Clemson
Kickoff: 12:00 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Florida State (-2.5)
FPI prediction: Florida State – 57.3%
Clemson is reeling at this point based on previous success and Florida State could very well be the new kings of the ACC. But, going to Clemson is a challenge for the Seminoles. Can Mike Norvell and crew keep it rolling?
No. 5 USC at Arizona State
Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET (FOX)
Spread: USC (-34.5)
FPI prediction: USC – 98.1%
Boy, welcome back to action USC. This is a massive line and ESPN’s FPI is nearly at 100% for the Trojans and Caleb Williams. Lincoln Riley’s crew might roll into Tempe and leave unscathed, completely.
No. 6 Ohio State vs. No. 9 Notre Dame
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (NBC)
Spread: Ohio State (-3)
FPI prediction: Ohio State – 65.8%
The spread is pretty close but ESPN’s FPI has this heavily in the favor of Ohio State. We’re talking closer to 70% of victory. This has a shootout written all over it.
No. 7 Penn State vs. No. 24 Iowa
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET (CBS)
Spread: Penn State (-15)
FPI prediction: Penn State – 86.8%
The Nittany Lions are the best team in the Big Ten, if you don’t count Michigan or Ohio State. Iowa is stout defensively, but going to Penn State is a different animal. Good luck.
No. 8 Washington vs. California
Kickoff: 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
Spread: Washington (-21)
FPI prediction: Washington – 84.6%
Cal plays host and Justin Wilcox’s team is ready, but that’s pretty much it. The Huskies are a huge favorite with Michael Penix Jr., a Heisman Trophy candidate, at the controls of that offense.
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC)
Spread: Oregon (-21)
FPI prediction: Oregon – 93.9%
Oh boy, look at the chances for Oregon in this one. The Ducks are a huge favorite against one of the biggest stories in recent college football memory. Colorado is without Travis Hunter for a few weeks.
Predictions for rest of Top 25 slate
So there you have it for Week 4. Make sure to place your bets, there are some intriguing ones this week, and good luck. Buckle up for the best weekend in college football to date.