College Football Playoff: CBS Sports projects 12-team field, full bowl slate after Week 11

Week 11 of the 2025 college football season has come and gone, and the College Football Playoff picture continues to take shape. Many of the top teams continue to separate themselves from the rest of the pack. Others are making their final push for the playoffs.

Some notable outcomes this week include No. 2 Indiana escaping Penn State on the road with a 27-24 win. Elsewhere in the Big Ten, No. 9 Oregon snuck past No. 20 Iowa and Wisconsin upset No. 23 Washington. In the SEC, No. 3 Texas A&M dominated No. 22 Missouri. The ACC saw both ranked Louisville and Virginia teams lose to unranked opponents. And finally in the Big 12, Texas Tech defeated BYU in a top 10 matchup.

In turn, CBS Sports has shaken up their predictions for the College Football Playoff. Here are the updated projections, along with a projection list of every bowl game:

College Football Playoff First Round Game #1

No. 12 North Texas at No. 5 Georgia

Georgia becomes the last team out of the top-four in CBS Sports’ latest projection. The Bulldogs are currently 8-1 and have won its last five games this season. This sets up a Week 12 matchup against Texas that will have major College Football Playoff implications.

North Texas becomes the favorite to win the group of six bid into the CFP. They’re currently 8-1 and beat a previously undefeated Navy team 31-17 last week.

College Football Playoff First Round Game #2

No. 11 Georgia Tech at No. 6 Ole Miss

Ole Miss is coming off a 49-0 win over The Citadel during Week 11, helping the Rebels to a 9-1 record having won its last three games. The Rebels have Florida and Mississippi State left on its regular season schedule.

Georgia Tech was among college football’s last undefeated teams before losing to NC State last week. Still, they’re in first place in the current ACC standings after Week 11 after Virginia lost to unranked Wake Forest on Saturday.

College Football Playoff First Round Game #3

No. 10 Texas at No. 7 Texas Tech

A matchup between two teams from the state of Texas in the College Football Playoff, these two former Big 12 rivals have matched up many time in the past. The Longhorns, however, have largely dominated the series with a 55–18 all-time series lead.

The last meeting came in 2023 with a 57-7 win for the Longhorns. The Red Raiders don’t expect such a lopsided outcome if they meet next month in the CFP.

College Football Playoff First Round Game #4

No. 9 Notre Dame at No. 8 Oregon

This game would be between two of the marquee programs in college football today. Notre Dame vs. Oregon in the College Football Playoff sells itself.

A CFP-bound Irish team would have to have on a 10-game winning streak, while Oregon currently has one loss. There’s little room for error for either team at this point in the season 

CFP Quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl

No. 1 Ohio State vs. TBA

Ohio State defeated Purdue 34-10 on Saturday to improve to 9-0 this season. They continue their nearly year-old undefeated streak.

That being said, the Buckeyes have three games left in their regular season — the finale being The Game against Michigan on the road. That’s a hurdle Ohio State hasn’t been able to get past in the last four matchups.

CFP Quarterfinal at the Sugar Bowl

No. 2 Texas A&M vs. TBA

The Aggies improved to 9-0 after beating a ranked Missouri team 38-17 during Week 11. The Aggies now have consecutive wins over ranked teams, and three overall.

Texas A&M still has several opportunities to prove why they should be ranked No. 1 in the CFP this season. That includes a matchup at Texas to end the regular season and, if they remain undefeated, a SEC Championship game against likely another playoff team.

CFP Quarterfinal at the Orange Bowl

No. 3 Indiana vs. TBA

Indiana came back to defeated Penn State in one of the most miraculous comebacks this season in college football. Fernando Mendoza completed a touchdown strike to Omar Cooper Jr., who tip-toed on the back of the end zone to secure the win.

Indiana is now 10-0 with two games left on their schedule against both Wisconsin and Indiana. Both of those teams have one combined Big Ten win this season.

CFP Quarterfinal at the Cotton Bowl

No. 4 Alabama vs. TBA

Alabama has won nine-straight games following Week 11’s 20-9 win over LSU on Saturday. They’re tied with Texas A&M at 6-0 against the SEC this season, but have one loss on their record that breaks the tiebreaker with the Aggies.

The Crimson Tide will host a ranked Oklahoma team this weekend in Tuscaloosa. A win there would only help solidify Alabama’s status as a top-four College Football Playoff seed.

CBS Bowl Projections after Week 11

Date TBA

Bahamas Bowl (TBD)
TBD
TBD
Buffalo vs. Kennesaw State

Saturday, Dec. 13

LA Bowl
SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, California)
9 p.m., ESPN
San Diego State vs. Washington

Tuesday, Dec. 16

IS4S Salute to Veterans Bowl
Cramton Bowl (Montgomery, Alabama)
9 p.m., ESPN
Western Michigan vs. Troy

Wednesday, Dec. 17

StaffDNA Cure Bowl
Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
5 p.m., ESPN
Marshall vs. Central Michigan

68 Ventures Bowl
Hancock Whitney Stadium (Mobile, Alabama)
8:30 p.m., ESPN
FIU vs. Southern Miss

Friday, Dec. 19

Myrtle Beach Bowl
Brooks Stadium (Conway, South Carolina)
Noon, ESPN
Old Dominion vs. Western Kentucky

Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
3:30 p.m., ESPN
UConn vs. Memphis

Monday, Dec. 22

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Albertsons Stadium (Boise, Idaho)
2 p.m., ESPN
Ohio vs. New Mexico

Tuesday, Dec. 23

Boca Raton Bowl
Flagler Credit Union Stadium (Boca Raton, Florida)
2 p.m., ESPN
Coastal Carolina vs. Utah State

New Orleans Bowl
Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
5:30 p.m., ESPN
Jacksonville State vs. James Madison

Scooter’s Coffee Frisco Bowl
Frisco, Texas
9 p.m., ESPN
UTSA vs. Wyoming

Wednesday, Dec. 24

Sheraton Hawaii Bowl
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex (Honolulu)
8 p.m., ESPN
Hawaii vs. Tulane

Friday, Dec. 26

GameAbove Sports Bowl
Ford Field (Detroit)
1 p.m., ESPN
Rutgers vs. Miami (OH)

Rate Bowl
Chase Field (Phoenix)
4:30 p.m., ESPN
Minnesota vs. Iowa State

SERVPRO First Responder Bowl
Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Dallas)
8 p.m., ESPN
Liberty vs. East Carolina

Saturday, Dec. 27

Go Bowling Military Bowl
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Maryland)
11 a.m., ESPN
Pitt vs. Navy

Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl
Yankee Stadium (Bronx, New York)
Noon, ABC
Clemson vs. Northwestern

Wasabi Fenway Bowl
Fenway Park (Boston)
2:15 p.m., ESPN
Wake Forest vs. Temple

Pop-Tarts Bowl
Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
3:30 p.m., ABC
BYU vs. Miami

Snoop Dogg Arizona Bowl
Arizona Stadium (Tucson, Arizona)
4:30 p.m., CW Network
Boise State vs. Toledo

Isleta New Mexico Bowl
University Stadium (Albuquerque, New Mexico)
5:45 p.m., ESPN
UNLV vs. Washington State

TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
EverBank Stadium (Jacksonville, Florida)
7:30 p.m. ABC
Louisville vs. Vanderbilt

Kinder’s Texas Bowl
NRG Stadium (Houston)
9:15 p.m., ESPN
Houston vs. LSU

Monday, Dec. 29

Birmingham Bowl
Protective Stadium (Birmingham, Alabama)
2 p.m., ESPN
USF vs. Duke

Tuesday, Dec. 30

Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
Independence Stadium (Shreveport, Louisiana)
2 p.m., ESPN
Kansas State vs. Louisiana Tech

Music City Bowl
Nissan Stadium (Nashville, Tennessee)
5:30 p.m., ESPN
Illinois vs. Tennessee

Valero Alamo Bowl
Alamodome (San Antonio)
9 p.m., ESPN
USC vs. Utah

Wednesday, Dec. 31

ReliaQuest Bowl
Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Florida)
Noon, ESPN
Iowa vs. Missouri

Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium (El Paso, Texas)
2 p.m., CBS
SMU vs. Arizona

Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
Camping World Stadium (Orlando, Florida)
3 p.m., ABC
Oklahoma vs. Michigan

SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl
Allegiant Stadium (Las Vegas)
3:30 p.m., ESPN
Nebraska vs. Cal

Friday, Jan. 2

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Amon G. Carter Stadium (Fort Worth, Texas)
1 p.m., ESPN
Army vs. Baylor

AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (Memphis, Tennessee)
4:30 p.m., ESPN
TCU vs. Fresno State

Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, North Carolina)
8 p.m., ESPN
NC State vs. Cincinnati

Holiday Bowl
Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego)
8 p.m., Fox
Virginia vs. Arizona State